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Author Topic:   Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia's dead. The maneuvering begins!
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 64 of 122 (778216)
02-18-2016 11:14 AM
Reply to: Message 3 by subbie
02-13-2016 7:35 PM


President until January 2017 inaugeration ...
... As of today, there are 269 days until election day. ...
Obama is president until a new one is inaugurated, not just elected.
Enjoy

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 3 by subbie, posted 02-13-2016 7:35 PM subbie has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 71 by subbie, posted 02-18-2016 3:27 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 68 of 122 (778221)
02-18-2016 12:03 PM
Reply to: Message 51 by NoNukes
02-16-2016 2:31 PM


Justice appointments in all Federal Court positions
One of Obama's greatest failures, in my opinion is represented by all of the open federal judge positions that he did not get filled. Not all his fault, but he gets some of the blame as do those of us who could not be bothered to vote in Senate races.
Indeed. Personally I think the death of Scalia will -- if nothing else -- make people aware of the importance of picking a president that will be appointing judges, and that the senate races are important for getting those appointments approved.
My personal favorite for an Obama nomination would be Loretta Lynch -- she was vetted and approved by this very senate on April 23, 2015.
quote:
Lynch would be the first black woman ever nominated to the nation's highest court and the GOP would have a political problem during an election year if the Republicans refused to even consider her nomination, Goldstein wrote.
"I think the administration would relish the prospect of Republicans either refusing to give Lynch a vote or seeming to treat her unfairly in the confirmation process," Goldstein wrote. "Either eventuality would motivate both black and women voters."
Obama could have made a recess appointment, but he specifically ruled that out. My impression is that he wants to hold the GOP delay tactics up in front of the nation to show their obstructionism and their willingness to skewer the constitution when it suits their regressive politics.
And it appears that they are living in a bubble again if they think one of their clown candidates can win the general, especially against Bernie.
As it stands it looks like the public is sick and tired of business as usual and massive campaign donations corrupting - or having the appearance of corrupting - the politicians to bend them to the will of big money.
Two candidates are not accepting big money donations: Bernie and Trump. Couple this with what sector of the economy is still left out of the recovery after losing savings, homes, jobs and you have a set of voters looking for real change. Which one people pick depends on their base political views.
And I think they will each win their nominations as a result. The establishment politicians and media don't see this - it is not on their radar because they were not badly affected by the recession: they may have lost some investment value at the time, but it has mostly recovered. The grass-roots people are off their radar, so they keep getting surprised by how well Trump and Bernie are doing.
And Trump is technically not doing as well as Bernie, he just happens to be doing much better than each of the other GOP, but his numbers against a single opponent would be significantly different.
Bernie has picked up some moderate (fiscal) republicans fed up with the current candidates, and a lot of independents, and that makes him more likely to win the election imho. I also think he will bring in more senate seats than Hillary because of his ability to attract new and young voters -- more voters usually benefits the democrats (which is why they lose off-year elections).
Pick up 4 seats and the Democrats win back the majority of the Senate, but win back 14 seats and they get a supermajority that would be filibuster proof.
Not likely to win back the House this year (especially with gerrymandered districts), but the senate is all you need to approve all those appointments.
Can you imagine the GOP *dismay* if Bernie is elected and nominates Cornell West ... (heads explode)
They should be careful what they wish for.
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : Loretta link

we are limited in our ability to understand
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RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 51 by NoNukes, posted 02-16-2016 2:31 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 69 by NoNukes, posted 02-18-2016 12:54 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 72 of 122 (778346)
02-19-2016 12:27 PM
Reply to: Message 69 by NoNukes
02-18-2016 12:54 PM


Re: Justice appointments in all Federal Court positions
Perhaps the person chosen won't be achieve anything except being forced to withdraw from consideration after an uncomfortable, degrading, and ridiculous spectacle in the senate, and then being out of consideration even if Bernie or Clinton wins. I'm far too pessimistic about the chances for confirmation of an Obama pick to even want to have a favorite candidate.
Another reason to pick Lynch -- she already has a federal position to fall back on -- is that she can wait out the process and let the people see their persecution as either racist, misogynist, or both. That would bring angry voters to the booths to elect senators as well as the president.
Yes that is political maneuvering, but the GOP is already politicizing this -- they still resent Bork ...
Interesting. I think getting 35% in a field of 8-10 candidates and coming close to tripling the next guy looks even better than Bernie's trouncing of Clinton in NH. And both Clinton and Trump seem set to do quite well in SC. Let's revisit this in two weeks.
Well I expect Dr Carson to be the next to drop out. I don't see his supporters going to Cruz but to Rubio (because of Cruz skulduggery re Carson ... and now Rubio). I expect Bush to keep hanging by his fingernails because he has the money and hopes to pick up in Florida and other "Bush-family-loving" states, especially now that brother Schrubia is welcomed into the campaign ...
Kasich may also drop out; I can see his supporters going to Rubio or Bush, as "best establishment" candidates. And as the field narrows I see voters clustering to "establishment" Rubio and Bush or to "anti-establishment" Cruz and Trump.
We'll see. Tomorrow Nevada for Dems, S.Carolina for GOPs.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by NoNukes, posted 02-18-2016 12:54 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 74 by NoNukes, posted 02-22-2016 1:19 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied
 Message 75 by NoNukes, posted 02-23-2016 1:02 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 77 of 122 (778820)
02-24-2016 3:54 PM
Reply to: Message 75 by NoNukes
02-23-2016 1:02 PM


Nevada Gov (R) ???
Some of the latest scuttlebutt involves Republican Nevada Gov. Brian
White House, GOP Lock Horns on Supreme Court Nomination - WSJ

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
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Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 82 of 122 (778996)
02-28-2016 8:20 AM
Reply to: Message 81 by NoNukes
02-27-2016 2:56 PM


Re: Judge Posner on the Supreme Court??
Interesting, I like the idea of an "elder statesman" tradition for picking a SC judge -- if it would catch on.
... an apparent moderate who might later out philosophically the opposite of what the President intended (as did Souter and Brennan) ...
You mean there is hope for Roberts? IIRC several judges became increasingly liberal over time.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1395 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 84 of 122 (779002)
02-28-2016 12:24 PM
Reply to: Message 83 by Percy
02-28-2016 9:51 AM


Re: Texas Law Comes Before the Supreme Court
Justice Kennedy can expect a lot of mail ... from both sides.
Yikes

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
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