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Author Topic:   Dating Methodology and its Associated Assumptions
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 76 of 217 (152082)
10-22-2004 6:42 PM
Reply to: Message 74 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 6:28 PM


Strength of Indictment: Total lack of any external benchmark dating determination.
Not in the least true. In addition to the Lake Suigetsu data, there's assorted dating from astronomy and dendrochronology.
In addition to the unplanned snapshot of the South African rock painting dating incident
I think Percy's raised enough doubt about that "incident" that if you want to use it to support your argument, you're going to have to actually substantiate it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 74 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 6:28 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

Coragyps
Member (Idle past 764 days)
Posts: 5553
From: Snyder, Texas, USA
Joined: 11-12-2002


Message 77 of 217 (152091)
10-22-2004 6:54 PM
Reply to: Message 71 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 5:50 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
Two responses in a row you have opted to get nasty and post insults.
I'm not being nasty or posting insults - I'm merely asking you to back up this claim of continuous, widespread fraud on the part of all of the hundreds of poor grad students worldwide that have worked in this field. Has every one of them been God-sense-ectomized? Really? And they're all willing to throw out data that cost sometimes a couple of thousand dollars per data point just to win schoolkids for the International Secularist Conspiracy?
I think you and/or Milton are making these claims up out of the whole cloth. Produce some evidence that discarding data is a widespread practice, or retract the claim.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 71 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 5:50 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3077 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 78 of 217 (152093)
10-22-2004 6:55 PM
Reply to: Message 73 by Percy
10-22-2004 6:23 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
Hi Percy:
Percy writes:
This story seems just transparently silly. Joan Ahrens painted on rocks in art class? She took the rocks and put them in her garden? The rocks were stolen and carted all the way out to the South African bush? Archaeologists discovered them and couldn't tell the rocks were anomalous to the area, couldn't tell they had only relatively recently been placed there, couldn't tell the art was not aboriginal in origin, and couldn't tell the paint was modern? And then at least two labs carbon dated the art to 1200 years? Is there anything you won't believe?
The story about Joan Ahrens appears at two websites. This one is from AskMoses.com - Torah, Judaism and Jewish Info - Ask the Rabbi:
"In 1991, Oxford University’s radiocarbon accelerator unit dated some rock paintings found in the South African bush as being around 1,200 years old. Almost as old as Guess Who. But then an art teacher named Joan Ahrens turned up and proved that they were her students’ paintingsthey had been stolen by vandals from her garden in Capetown."
Percy writes:
Hmmm. In one story she's an art student, in the other an art teacher. In one story she produced the art in art classes, in the other her students produced the art, in her garden I guess.
The real problem is that your annecdotal stories do not represent legitimate rebuttal to scientifically developed dating methods. If dating methods were truly unreliable or invalid then it would be easy to demonstrate this scientifically.
At least you are consistent.
Any evidence which refutes your sacred cows is asserted a lie.
Whether Ahrens was a teacher or student is irrelevant to the fact that the dating technique could not be anymore comparable to reliability but a black box.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 73 by Percy, posted 10-22-2004 6:23 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 80 by Percy, posted 10-22-2004 7:46 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied
 Message 86 by edge, posted 10-22-2004 11:16 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3077 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 79 of 217 (152097)
10-22-2004 7:04 PM
Reply to: Message 72 by crashfrog
10-22-2004 6:00 PM


If we're supposed to believe that, in fact, scientists cherry-pick results, then where are all the rejected results? If you're right, almost every time we have something dated, we should wind up rejecting the results. So where are all these rejected results?
In the waste basket.
Milton, page 51:
"Published dating figures always conform to preconceived dates and NEVER contradict those dates. If all the rejected dates were retrieved from the waste basket and added to the published dates, the combined results would show that the dates produced are the scatter that one would expect by chance alone."
This message has been edited by WILLOWTREE, 10-22-2004 06:05 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 72 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 6:00 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 81 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 8:34 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied
 Message 83 by edge, posted 10-22-2004 11:04 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 80 of 217 (152110)
10-22-2004 7:46 PM
Reply to: Message 78 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 6:55 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
WillowTree writes:
Any evidence which refutes your sacred cows is asserted a lie.
When I think the term "lie" is called for, then I will use the term myself. Please do not put words in my mouth. If you ascribe the term to me again then I will have my first occasion to use it at this board.
About the "any evidence" part, that's the problem with your story: it offers no evidence. A good deal of our discussions with you seems to revolve around your inability to understand what constitutes evidence.
Whether Ahrens was a teacher or student is irrelevant to the fact that the dating technique could not be anymore comparable to reliability but a black box.
It wasn't just whether she's a teacher or not. It's whether she actually painted them or not. It's that there's no mention of any actual scientists who did this work. It's that there's no reference to where the work was published. There's no way to check out this story. Basically it comes down to a story where some scientists dated aboriginal paintings to 1200 years old that were actually contempary from someone's garden. The stories are inconsistent and unsupported, not to mention difficult to believe. You believe them because you want to believe them, not because they offer any evidence.
On our side of the discussion, we can cite actual scientific literature supporting the validity of radiometric dating. If you recall, a couple weeks ago I posted a few pages from Dalrymple's book about the age of the earth that contained a large number of citations, probably at least 30. And that's just a tiny percentage of all the work that's been done on radiometric dating.
A convincing case supporting unreliabilty in radiometric dating would have to include citations to the original sources that contain the errors, and citations to how they were shown wrong, including explanations or speculations about the causes of the errors.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 78 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 6:55 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 102 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-27-2004 8:00 PM Percy has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 81 of 217 (152124)
10-22-2004 8:34 PM
Reply to: Message 79 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 7:04 PM


In the waste basket.
Says Milton, but has he looked there? Or isn't that just an assumption on his part? Actually, "vile unsubstantiated slander" would be more like it - after all, he's accusing literally every geologist of fraud.
Doesn't the fact that you're able to dig up these examples of bad dating pretty much prove that there's no sort of scientific "conspiracy" to conceal bad dating?
Show me all the dates that scientists are supposed to be rejecting - that is, the reams and reams of data you and Milton say they're tossing out. Surely you wouldn't make that claim without support, would you?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 79 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 7:04 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM crashfrog has replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3077 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 82 of 217 (152156)
10-22-2004 11:02 PM
Reply to: Message 81 by crashfrog
10-22-2004 8:34 PM


Show me all the dates that scientists are supposed to be rejecting - that is, the reams and reams of data you and Milton say they're tossing out. Surely you wouldn't make that claim without support, would you?
What about the discard dates in the KBS Tuff dating fiasco ?
Those discard dates ranged from one half million to 17.5 million years. (already posted - do you want me to retrieve them ?)
This is the precise context of the accusation.
Milton claims they were only discarded because they did not fit in with other previously known dating determinations.
How ironic that the accept dates fit in nicely with everything ever published ?
Now enter the unplanned snapshot dating incident and volcanic lava and even in archaeology where the date of Egyptian mummy's are known and a technique fails miserably.
Our only point is that these spot incidences provide an objective falsification that has yet to be satisfactorily answered or appeased.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 81 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 8:34 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 84 by edge, posted 10-22-2004 11:12 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied
 Message 85 by jar, posted 10-22-2004 11:13 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied
 Message 88 by Percy, posted 10-22-2004 11:35 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied
 Message 89 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 11:44 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

edge
Member (Idle past 1736 days)
Posts: 4696
From: Colorado, USA
Joined: 01-09-2002


Message 83 of 217 (152159)
10-22-2004 11:04 PM
Reply to: Message 79 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 7:04 PM


quote:
In the waste basket.
In that case, how do you know about these discordant dates?
(added by edit)
quote:
Milton, page 51:
"Published dating figures always conform to preconceived dates and NEVER contradict those dates. If all the rejected dates were retrieved from the waste basket and added to the published dates, the combined results would show that the dates produced are the scatter that one would expect by chance alone."
And how does Milton know this? Could it be pure biased speculation on his part?
THis is utter nonsense and you have fallen for it...
This message has been edited by edge, 10-22-2004 10:07 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 79 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 7:04 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

edge
Member (Idle past 1736 days)
Posts: 4696
From: Colorado, USA
Joined: 01-09-2002


Message 84 of 217 (152163)
10-22-2004 11:12 PM
Reply to: Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 11:02 PM


quote:
What about the discard dates in the KBS Tuff dating fiasco ?
As I asked above, if they were discarded, how do you know about them?
quote:
Those discard dates ranged from one half million to 17.5 million years. (already posted - do you want me to retrieve them ?)
Obviously, there weren't discarded, they were explained.
quote:
This is the precise context of the accusation.
Your context makes no sense.
quote:
Milton claims they were only discarded because they did not fit in with other previously known dating determinations.
No. They were not used because there was a valid reason that they were in error.
quote:
How ironic that the accept dates fit in nicely with everything ever published ?
Well, as I remember it didn't fit exactly. But that's not the point.
quote:
Now enter the unplanned snapshot dating incident and volcanic lava and even in archaeology where the date of Egyptian mummy's are known and a technique fails miserably.
Yes, when abused, radiometric dating does not work. Especially when conducted by avowed YECs determined to prove that they don't work. Doesn't this tell you something?
quote:
Our only point is that these spot incidences provide an objective falsification that has yet to be satisfactorily answered or appeased.
Nonsense, again. They prove that science cannot be trusted to YECs.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 424 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 85 of 217 (152164)
10-22-2004 11:13 PM
Reply to: Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 11:02 PM


What about the discard dates in the KBS Tuff dating fiasco ?
Those discard dates ranged from one half million to 17.5 million years. (already posted - do you want me to retrieve them ?)
This is the precise context of the accusation.
That too is false. You have been shown that is a false assertion by direct post to the interview with Ian McDougall who did the dating.
In case you missed it, here is the link one more time to the interview.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 116 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 5:01 PM jar has replied

edge
Member (Idle past 1736 days)
Posts: 4696
From: Colorado, USA
Joined: 01-09-2002


Message 86 of 217 (152167)
10-22-2004 11:16 PM
Reply to: Message 78 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 6:55 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
quote:
"In 1991, Oxford University’s radiocarbon accelerator unit ...
What the heck is a radiocarbon accelerator?
quote:
...dated some rock paintings found in the South African bush as being around 1,200 years old.
Found? By whom? How were they sampled? This story is so full of holes they create a negative gravity anomaly on this message board.
quote:
Almost as old as Guess Who.
I'd rather not.
quote:
But then an art teacher named Joan Ahrens turned up and proved that they were her students’ paintingsthey had been stolen by vandals from her garden in Capetown."
Riiiight! WT, your chain of custody on these samples grows more and more tenuous. And you trust Milton as a source?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 78 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 6:55 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 118 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 5:18 PM edge has not replied

edge
Member (Idle past 1736 days)
Posts: 4696
From: Colorado, USA
Joined: 01-09-2002


Message 87 of 217 (152168)
10-22-2004 11:22 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 4:18 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
quote:
Consider the Geological Column (Van Eysinga/1975) and look at the thickness of the rocks in each period compared with the length of time assigned to those periods.
Note that there is remarkable consistency between assigned age and thickness of deposit. For instance the Cretaceous period is said to have lasted 65 million years and is 15,000 meters thick - an average annual rate of deposition of 0.2 millimeters.
Now look at the Silurian period: this, too yields an average rate of deposition of about 0.2 millimeters per year - as does the Ordovician, the Devonian, the Carboniferous, and the rest. It is only when we come to relatively modern times in the Cenozioc era that rates of deposition vary much, and here they appear to speed up slightly.
This is a very remarkable finding. One naturally expects Uniformitarian geology to favor uniformity, but this is too much of a good thing.
WT, did it ever occur to you that perhaps column was scaled to time and not thickness? This is so silly, that I cannot fathom. You have been taken in by a professional here.
Geological systems are not the same thickness in every location. This is well understood by geologists. To make a general column it does not really make sense to assign a thickness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 68 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 4:18 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 119 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 5:50 PM edge has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 88 of 217 (152172)
10-22-2004 11:35 PM
Reply to: Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 11:02 PM


WillowTree writes:
Those discard dates ranged from one half million to 17.5 million years. (already posted - do you want me to retrieve them ?)
Your charge of fraud is kind of difficult to substantiate in the face of the openness with which it was conceded from the outset that the tuff would be difficult to date. Some dating is as easy as a photograph. Other dating is more like a jigsaw puzzle, and the tuff was like that.
How ironic that the accept dates fit in nicely with everything ever published ?
The consistency of the dating and the wide agreement about how old things are comes from the reliability of radiometric dating. If it weren't for the consistent benchmark it provides, scientists would long ago have fractured into divergent groups, each with their own set of favorite dates.
The only way that agreement could be reached without reliable dating techniques is if there were secret scientific meetings where it was decided how old everything was going to be, and where groups of scientists were assigned to conduct literally hundreds and hundreds of fake field studies so they could write fake papers announcing the predecided dates, and where after decades and decades no one has broken the code of silence. That must seem ridiculous even to you.
Radiometric decay is a very reliable clock, and other dating techniques like ice varves, tree rings and ice cores are also very helpful. The real world is a dynamic environment that stirs up all the data, oftentimes making it a real challenge to tease out the correct dates. But scientists and laboratories have all the necessary training and equipment, and this is why there are so many, many scientific papers providing reliable and consistent radiometric dates across all of earth's eras.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 90 by edge, posted 10-22-2004 11:45 PM Percy has not replied
 Message 121 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 6:16 PM Percy has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 89 of 217 (152176)
10-22-2004 11:44 PM
Reply to: Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 11:02 PM


What about the discard dates in the KBS Tuff dating fiasco ?
That's one. If you're right, there should be millions.
You're a little short. Keep working, though. The fact that there are so few proves us right, not you.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 91 by NosyNed, posted 10-23-2004 12:09 AM crashfrog has not replied
 Message 92 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-23-2004 5:23 PM crashfrog has replied

edge
Member (Idle past 1736 days)
Posts: 4696
From: Colorado, USA
Joined: 01-09-2002


Message 90 of 217 (152177)
10-22-2004 11:45 PM
Reply to: Message 88 by Percy
10-22-2004 11:35 PM


quote:
The only way that agreement could be reached without reliable dating techniques is if there were secret scientific meetings where it was decided how old everything was going to be, and where groups of scientists were assigned to conduct literally hundreds and hundreds of fake field studies so they could write fake papers announcing the predecided dates, and where after decades and decades no one has broken the code of silence. That must seem ridiculous even to you.
Not only that, but can you imagine the expense of conducting an indefinite number of analyses until you got the right one to satisfy the committe?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 88 by Percy, posted 10-22-2004 11:35 PM Percy has not replied

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