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Author Topic:   TOE and the Reasons for Doubt
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 220 of 530 (528229)
10-05-2009 9:06 AM
Reply to: Message 216 by jacortina
10-05-2009 8:45 AM


Re: Some facts that you may not be aware of
Rather than challenge well-entrenched evolutionary theory, paleontologists tacitly agreed with their zoological colleagues that the fossil record was too poor to do much beyond supporting, in a general sort of way, the basic thesis that life had evolved
Jacorinta, do you know what "tacitly" means? If so, why do you think they agreed "tacitly"?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 216 by jacortina, posted 10-05-2009 8:45 AM jacortina has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 221 by jacortina, posted 10-05-2009 9:11 AM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 247 of 530 (528455)
10-06-2009 8:01 AM
Reply to: Message 215 by lyx2no
10-05-2009 8:40 AM


Re: Physician, heal thyself.
I'd think the more important point here would be that if one is not competent to manipulate the math how can one believe they are competent to apply the math
Well, absolutely. And it's so easy to prove they are incompetent, isn't it? Simple problem. A one in four chance occurring 1000 times in succession.
What's the real answer, Iyx2no?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 215 by lyx2no, posted 10-05-2009 8:40 AM lyx2no has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 258 by Blue Jay, posted 10-06-2009 12:01 PM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 267 by lyx2no, posted 10-06-2009 6:00 PM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 272 by Dr Jack, posted 10-07-2009 3:52 AM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 248 of 530 (528458)
10-06-2009 8:22 AM
Reply to: Message 221 by jacortina
10-05-2009 9:11 AM


Re: Some facts that you may not be aware of
Rather than challenge well-entrenched evolutionary theory, paleontologists tacitly agreed with their zoological colleagues that the fossil record was too poor to do much beyond supporting, in a general sort of way, the basic thesis that life had evolved
Not so fast, Jacortina. I haven't apologised because it wasn't dishonest.
"Tacitly" Means silently or covertly (interesting way for scientists to behave). So what was it that paleontoligists "tacitly" agreed with zoologists? "that the fossil record was TOO POOR TO DO MUCH beyond supporting, IN A GENERAL SORT OF WAY, the BASIC thesis that life had evolved." (Emphasis mine).
That's a statement that is so laden with attenuating qualifications that it's almost unintelligible. But that's what they tacitly agreed, and you can understand why when their only other alternative was to (first part of the quote) "challenge well-entrenched evolutionary theory"
Which ever way you slice it, Jacortina, this quote is not a glowing endorsement of the fossil record as evidence for evolution.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 221 by jacortina, posted 10-05-2009 9:11 AM jacortina has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 250 by jacortina, posted 10-06-2009 9:01 AM Kaichos Man has not replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 249 of 530 (528462)
10-06-2009 8:42 AM
Reply to: Message 244 by Calypsis4
10-06-2009 1:46 AM


Re: Some facts that you may not be aware of
The Science that Dr. John Sanford (Cornell U., 50 peer reviewed papers, 25 patents, and inventor of the world renowned 'biolistic gene gun') believed in
Terrific post, brother. Have you read John Sanford's "Genetic entropy-Mysteries of the Genome?" I've read some reviews and I'm trying to get my hands on a copy.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 244 by Calypsis4, posted 10-06-2009 1:46 AM Calypsis4 has replied

Replies to this message:
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Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 273 of 530 (528842)
10-07-2009 8:34 AM
Reply to: Message 272 by Dr Jack
10-07-2009 3:52 AM


Re: The Bible is improbable!
There are roughly 750,000 words in the bible, in the original hebrew there were no vowels. If we assume an average of two vowels per word, that's 1,500,000 vowels. The chance of any given vowel being assigned in the right way are 1 in 5, so that means there is only a 0.21500000 probability of all the vowels in the Bible being correct!
G,day, Mr Jack.
If the vowels were wrong the meaning would be garbled and the entire Bible would be incomprehensible. Precisely my point. If the neucleotides are jumbled the gene won't function. They have to be placed in the correct order if the gene is to function, and the probability of that is the aforementioned laughingly-tiny number.
According to your logic the Bible would be composed of an entirely random collection of characters, from which readers would try to extract meaning, with each successive edition containing more and more of their guesswork until you finally wind up with a completely random and totally mindless collection of unrelated guesses.
Compare that to the real bible, in which the prophet Daniel pinpoints the exact years of Jesus Christ's ministry and execution 400 years before He was born.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 272 by Dr Jack, posted 10-07-2009 3:52 AM Dr Jack has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 276 by Dr Jack, posted 10-07-2009 9:01 AM Kaichos Man has not replied
 Message 278 by Theodoric, posted 10-07-2009 9:06 AM Kaichos Man has not replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 274 of 530 (528849)
10-07-2009 8:49 AM
Reply to: Message 258 by Blue Jay
10-06-2009 12:01 PM


Re: Physician, heal thyself.
You forgot selection.
Kicked in after a 0.5% improvement on the duplicated gene. Didn't you understand this?
And you forgot the population.
No I didn't. It wouldn't matter if the mutations were happening to an individual or a population until natural selection kicks in. The only difference in a population is that the incident of mutations would be greatly accelerated, which means that until natural selection kicks in THE GENE WOULD DETERIORATE FASTER.
And, you assumed that you could dictate, a priori, what counts as "good."
It's pretty simple:
Works towards the enabling of Natural Selection = "good".
Works away from the enabling of Natural Selection = "bad".

This message is a reply to:
 Message 258 by Blue Jay, posted 10-06-2009 12:01 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 277 by Izanagi, posted 10-07-2009 9:03 AM Kaichos Man has not replied
 Message 279 by Izanagi, posted 10-07-2009 9:13 AM Kaichos Man has not replied
 Message 280 by Blue Jay, posted 10-07-2009 11:18 AM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 275 of 530 (528852)
10-07-2009 8:58 AM
Reply to: Message 267 by lyx2no
10-06-2009 6:00 PM


Re: Physician, heal thyself.
(41000 - 1)/41000 1 for all intents and purposes
Thank you so much. That was the probability of the gene NOT evolving.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 267 by lyx2no, posted 10-06-2009 6:00 PM lyx2no has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 281 by lyx2no, posted 10-07-2009 5:06 PM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 283 of 530 (529021)
10-07-2009 10:10 PM
Reply to: Message 280 by Blue Jay
10-07-2009 11:18 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
G'day Bluejay.
Thank you for a reasoned and detailed post.
So, we don’t define natural selection that way: we define it as the pressures that can kill things, and survivors as things that natural selection hasn’t gotten yet.
Natural selection is bad for individual organisms, because it kills them or prevents them from breeding. And, if it is not enabled, that means the organism is surviving
This is "negative" selection. It is the process Kimura was almost exclusively concentrating on. As a Creationist I have absolutely no problem with it- it is logical that those organisms most damaged by mutations will be selected out.
Selection isn't something you just "enable" at some point: it's the result of pressures that are always present for all organisms (e.g. predators, pathogens, resources, competitors, mates, physiological constraints, etc.). Again, these pressures are always working on all organisms. Selection is always hovering over everybody's head, waiting for the chance to strike.
What is the difference between selection being "enabled" and selection "striking"? If you don't like the verb "to be enabled", then fine. Call it natural selection "coming into play".
As soon as you start changing your phenotype (the outward expression of your genes), you potentially make it easier or harder for natural selection to "get" you. If it doesn't "get" you, you survive and reproduce
Once again, if the changes to your phenotype make it easier for natural selection to get you, that's negative selection. If harder, that's positive selection.
Creationists have no problem with negative selection. It is positive selection we refute, with the attendant idea that mutation can create a superior phenotype (not just a "less damaged" phenotype) from the formation of new genetic material resulting in a feature or function additional to all those enjoyed by the original organism. That's why this exercise focussed on the statistical impossibility of the creation of a new gene.
The gene wouldn't deteriorate faster because it would mutate in multiple different directions simultaneously in different individuals in a population. This will result in multiple phenotypes in a single population, and the different phenotypes will be involved in an evolutionary game in which they have different chances to succeed.
Let's see. You have a population of fruitflies with no antennae (it was an antenna originally, it sort of evolved into a wing at some point, but I think that was my fault!)
So, fruitflies without antennae. The gene mutates "in multiple different directions simultaneously in different individuals in a population. This will result in multiple phenotypes in a single population."
Which gives us fruitflies with a host of interesting new phenotypical features, one of which may or may not be an antenna?
That is NOT observed!
Edited by Kaichos Man, : typos

This message is a reply to:
 Message 280 by Blue Jay, posted 10-07-2009 11:18 AM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 284 by Izanagi, posted 10-08-2009 12:18 AM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 287 by Dr Jack, posted 10-08-2009 5:29 AM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 309 by Blue Jay, posted 10-08-2009 11:06 AM Kaichos Man has not replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 285 of 530 (529067)
10-08-2009 4:47 AM
Reply to: Message 281 by lyx2no
10-07-2009 5:06 PM


Re: Physician, heal thyself.
Nice quote mine
I wasn't aware that you can quote-mine yourself!

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 281 by lyx2no, posted 10-07-2009 5:06 PM lyx2no has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 310 by lyx2no, posted 10-08-2009 12:17 PM Kaichos Man has not replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 286 of 530 (529069)
10-08-2009 5:15 AM
Reply to: Message 282 by Drosophilla
10-07-2009 8:04 PM


Re: ToE challenge to Creationsits
Question: Skin colour in humans range from the very dark skin of continental Africans to the blondest of blonde skins in Scandinavians. What do you think the ToE says is the 'good' skin tone, which is 'bad' and why. What predications do you think the ToE even makes in the situation I have painted above - and why?
Firstly, neither is good or bad, but each is the skin colour best suited to the respective climates. Skin colour is caused by mellanin (spelling?) which protects us from ultraviolet radiation.
I am not sure whether the ToE would suggest that dark-skinned Africans came about through the natural selection of people who produce more mellanin. I somehow doubt this. Human beings are too sophisticated to die out because their skin is the wrong colour (lilly-white Europeans have lived in sun-soaked Africa and Australia for 200 years without many problems). Also, there doesn't seem to be an advantage to white skin- dark skin should also be a plus in cold climates because it absorbs heat.
I'm guessing that you were asking for predictions, as without consulting a dictionary predications probably means "basings". I rather think that the ToE would agree with me that humans are too sophisticated to be selected out on skin colour, so it probably wouldn't make any predictions.
Edited by Kaichos Man, : avatar

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 282 by Drosophilla, posted 10-07-2009 8:04 PM Drosophilla has replied

Replies to this message:
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Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 289 of 530 (529075)
10-08-2009 6:26 AM
Reply to: Message 284 by Izanagi
10-08-2009 12:18 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
The theory does not deny the role of natural selection in determining the course of adaptive evolution" (Kimura, 1986)
"Does not deny" is pretty faint praise, isn't it. The fact is that Kimura's research showed that the vast majority of selection is negative, weeding out nearly neutral mutations that had accumulated through genetic drift.
As I have said before Kimura found "beneficial" mutations to be so rare he didn't even factor them into his comprehensive calculations on "fitness".
So why are you using a mechanism for evolution to bring doubt to evolution?
Because evidence can be a cumulative thing. I have heard evolutionists on this forum talk about "all the other evidence" when challenged on a given point. The same rules apply for those of us on the other side of the debate.
Darwin asserted that the Cambrian explosion could be used as a valid objection to his theory. Haldane showed mathematically that 300 times a population had to die out to fix a single mutation. Eldredge and Gould demonstrated that the fossil record did not exhibit gradualism and further observed that species spend 90% of their time in stasis. Kimura showed that the vast majority of natural selection is negative in nature; absolutely useless for molecule-to-man evolution.
All of these men are, or were, evolutionists. But each have also, probably unwittingly, contributed significant ammunition to the Creationist side.

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 284 by Izanagi, posted 10-08-2009 12:18 AM Izanagi has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 292 by greyseal, posted 10-08-2009 7:18 AM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 293 by Percy, posted 10-08-2009 7:38 AM Kaichos Man has replied
 Message 297 by Izanagi, posted 10-08-2009 8:37 AM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 290 of 530 (529078)
10-08-2009 6:33 AM
Reply to: Message 287 by Dr Jack
10-08-2009 5:29 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
Antannae evolved in much simpler organisms, through modification of the frontal appendages.
Wow- how fascinating. Can you give me reference for this, Mr Jack?

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 287 by Dr Jack, posted 10-08-2009 5:29 AM Dr Jack has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 291 by Dr Jack, posted 10-08-2009 7:10 AM Kaichos Man has replied

  
Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 294 of 530 (529090)
10-08-2009 8:01 AM
Reply to: Message 292 by greyseal
10-08-2009 7:18 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
this is a drive-by commenting, but puh-lease. darwin gave significant ammunition to the creationist side of the evolution debate?
Do you know how retarded that sounds?
"The number of intermediate varieties, which have formerly existed must be truly enormous. Why then is not every geological formation and every stratum full of such intermediate links? Geology assuredly does not reveal any such finely graduated organic chain; and this, perhaps is the most obvious and serious objection which can be urged against the theory." (Darwin, Charles, Origin of Species, 6th edition, 1902 p. 341-342)"
Kimura i don't know much about, but I sincerely doubt his work means what you think it means
Do you know how retarded that sounds?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 292 by greyseal, posted 10-08-2009 7:18 AM greyseal has replied

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Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 295 of 530 (529093)
10-08-2009 8:15 AM
Reply to: Message 291 by Dr Jack
10-08-2009 7:10 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
pretty much any decent undergraduate level or above text book covering the invertebrates will tell you that antennae are modified appendages.
Ah, yes, the text book. In there with embryonic recapitulation and the evolution of the horse, is it? Science based on artist's impressions...
Then you just have to look at the phylogenic distribution of antennae to confirm it evolved long before insects did.
Common organs. An argument for common descent. Oh, and, um, common design.
That your toy example of antennae emerging in antennae free fruitfly is nonsense?
This is a fairly obvious diversionary tactic, Mr Jack. Have it your way. The antenna did not emerge with the fruitfly. Now, will you agree that a 1000 base pair gene contributing to the antenna (or any other organ) on a fruitfly (or any other organism of your choice) would occur at odds of 1 in 41000?
Edited by Kaichos Man, : html

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 291 by Dr Jack, posted 10-08-2009 7:10 AM Dr Jack has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 299 by Izanagi, posted 10-08-2009 8:52 AM Kaichos Man has not replied
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Kaichos Man
Member (Idle past 4518 days)
Posts: 250
From: Tasmania, Australia
Joined: 10-03-2009


Message 298 of 530 (529099)
10-08-2009 8:38 AM
Reply to: Message 293 by Percy
10-08-2009 7:38 AM


Re: Selection Pressures
most evolutionary change is non-adaptive, a result of genetic drift.
Precisely my point, Perce.
Well, sure, obviously this is true, but it isn't scientific ammunition. The distortions of their viewpoints are only effective at persuading those unfamiliar with science and/or possessing a religious reason for rejecting science.
This statement would make no sense without the word "distortions". That's a pretty serious charge and I will ask you to substantiate it. In what ways have I distorted the views of these scientists?
Gould and Eldredge have often complained about creationist mischaracterizations of their views, and if Kimura, Haldane and Darwin were alive they would no doubt do the same.
If by "mischaracterizations" you mean Creationists arguing that these scientists spoke out against evolution, I would agree with you. As I have stated, all of these men were/are evolutionists.
But my point is this; if you take the problems posed by each of them and add them all together the ToE, rather like an organism bearing too many slightly deleterious mutations, is doomed. That was not the intention (or indeed, belief) of any one of them, but it could well be the cumulative effect of all of their observations.

"Often a cold shudder has run through me, and I have asked myself whether I may have not devoted myself to a fantasy." Charles Darwin

This message is a reply to:
 Message 293 by Percy, posted 10-08-2009 7:38 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
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