So, the base odds are 20^14, correct?
If you want to know the probability of guessing a random amino acid fourteen times in a row, you are looking in the right direction. But that's not the problem facing you - it is much more fiendish than that, I'm afraid:
quote:
And remember that the basis of that calculation should not be 'The statistical odds of the exact same mutations being selected in both species' but rather the statistical odds off the same amino acid substitutions occuring in such a pattern that between 14 species of bat and 4 dolphin species they can find 14 well supported convergent sites.