Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
2 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,905 Year: 4,162/9,624 Month: 1,033/974 Week: 360/286 Day: 3/13 Hour: 1/0


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Induction and Science
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 552 of 744 (593023)
11-23-2010 6:53 PM
Reply to: Message 548 by Stephen Push
11-23-2010 6:15 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
nwr writes:
I only said that my position is similar to instrumentalism, and I quoted the part that fitted. I see nothing about unobservables there.
Stephen Push writes:
It is implicit in the definition.
It is not implicit in the part that I quoted.
I'll readily grant that I have studied the literature on instrumentalism.
Stephen Push writes:
Thus I believe you are not even close to being an instrumentalist.
You could be right.
Stephen Push writes:
Like an instrumentalist, you deny that science can describe objective reality.
But I do not deny that. I deny only that a scientific theory is a description.
Stephen Push writes:
But unlike an instrumentalist, you also deny science the use of the only reasoning technique that enables prediction.
That is just nonsense that you are making up.
Edited by nwr, : misattribution

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 548 by Stephen Push, posted 11-23-2010 6:15 PM Stephen Push has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 554 by Stephen Push, posted 11-24-2010 6:53 AM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 564 of 744 (593162)
11-24-2010 5:51 PM
Reply to: Message 553 by Panda
11-23-2010 8:04 PM


Re: Universal Principles
Panda writes:
You mean that the reply I gave to the request:
nwr writes:
Panda writes:
By definition: you cannot make general/universal rules/laws using deductive reasoning.
Provide a precise reference to the "definition" that you claim to be using.
Sigh!
Are we still on that bullshit. The reply you gave to that "by definition" claim did not support the claim. Moreover, the claim is obviously false, as shown in the last line of Message 502.
Panda writes:
You asked where my definition came from.
I gave several links.
Giving several links is worthless. Just give one link with a definition that actually supports your claim (if there is one). The definitions I saw in your links did not support your claim. The Pythagorus theorem is still a general principle that is derived by deductive reasoning.
Panda writes:
In the link you provided, you disagreed with the explanation of the definition.
Quite so. But the definition is fine, even if the explanation is defective.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 553 by Panda, posted 11-23-2010 8:04 PM Panda has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 577 by Panda, posted 11-24-2010 7:17 PM nwr has replied
 Message 620 by Modulous, posted 11-25-2010 8:32 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 565 of 744 (593163)
11-24-2010 5:58 PM
Reply to: Message 554 by Stephen Push
11-24-2010 6:53 AM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Stephen Push writes:
Do you believe that some method other than inductive reasoning provides a basis for predicting unobserved phenomena?
People make predictions using a Ouja board. You can, of course, make better predictions with science, but that does not require induction.
Here is the scoreboard thus far, as best I can tell:
Actual evidence of induction being used by science: zero.
Valid arguments supporting induction: zero.
Invalid arguments supporting induction: many - I didn't try counting them.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 554 by Stephen Push, posted 11-24-2010 6:53 AM Stephen Push has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 567 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:03 PM nwr has replied
 Message 578 by Stephen Push, posted 11-24-2010 10:12 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 566 of 744 (593164)
11-24-2010 6:01 PM
Reply to: Message 556 by Straggler
11-24-2010 12:31 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
You have changed the question and skirted around it continuously. But you have never answered it.
What you presumably mean, is that I have never answered it to your satisfaction. However, I have answered it.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 556 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 12:31 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 569 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:09 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 568 of 744 (593166)
11-24-2010 6:06 PM
Reply to: Message 560 by Straggler
11-24-2010 2:59 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
But if you provide a link to the specific post
I have honestly never seen you give a detailed position on anything. I don't even think you are capable of it.
But if you provide a link to the specific post in which you give this once-in-a-lifetime rarity I will of course be delighted to comment.

Message 480
Edited by nwr, : correct wrong quote

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 560 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 2:59 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 570 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:17 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 571 of 744 (593169)
11-24-2010 6:20 PM
Reply to: Message 567 by Straggler
11-24-2010 6:03 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
nwr writes:
You can, of course, make better predictions with science, but that does not require induction.
Straggler writes:
What do you mean by "better" and how do you explain the ability of science to make "better" predictions?
"Better" means a higher probability of being near correct.
Science does better because it use far more information, more in quantity in quality, when making its predictions.
Straggler writes:
Is science able to make reliable and accurate (albeit tentative) conclusions about the future behaviour of natural phenomena?
You switch from "prediction" to "conclusion".
nwr writes:
Actual evidence of induction being used by science: zero.
Straggler writes:
Ahem - Universal principles upon which the behaviour of my soon to be dropped pen can be scientifically derived.
You assert that is evidence of induction. ID proponents also make lots of assertions about evidence for ID.
So, sure, you are right up there on a par with the ID creationists in your use of evidence. That is to say, you have not provided any.
Straggler writes:
Define "valid" and "invalid".
"Valid" refers to an actual logic derivation that begins with clearly stated premises, and follows the accepted rules of logical deduction.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 567 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:03 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 574 by Modulous, posted 11-24-2010 6:30 PM nwr has replied
 Message 575 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:36 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 572 of 744 (593170)
11-24-2010 6:26 PM
Reply to: Message 569 by Straggler
11-24-2010 6:09 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
Where? Link to the answer to the question asked.
Oops!
I accidentally quoted the wrong text. My reply was intended to respond to a different part of your message. (I have since edited that earlier post).

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 569 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:09 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 576 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:38 PM nwr has seen this message but not replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 573 of 744 (593171)
11-24-2010 6:29 PM
Reply to: Message 570 by Straggler
11-24-2010 6:17 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Oops again. My reply to Message 569 was intended to be a reply to Message 570.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 570 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:17 PM Straggler has not replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 593 of 744 (593264)
11-25-2010 6:28 PM
Reply to: Message 575 by Straggler
11-24-2010 6:36 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
Can science reliably and accurately make conclusions about things which have not yet occurred based on the principles derived from what has gone before?
No. Or, as people sometimes express it, shit happens.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 575 by Straggler, posted 11-24-2010 6:36 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 595 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 6:38 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 596 of 744 (593267)
11-25-2010 6:38 PM
Reply to: Message 577 by Panda
11-24-2010 7:17 PM


Re: Universal Principles
Panda writes:
You claim that the definitions conflict?
I don't think I have suggested that. Rather, I have said that what you claimed to be true by definition, isn't.
Panda writes:
Pythagorus' theorem is a mathematical proof - it is called a theorem for a reason.
But in science you have theories not theorems.
Are you denying that the Pythagorus result holds for ordinary physical triangles?

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 577 by Panda, posted 11-24-2010 7:17 PM Panda has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 597 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 6:45 PM nwr has replied
 Message 603 by Panda, posted 11-25-2010 7:21 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 598 of 744 (593270)
11-25-2010 6:51 PM
Reply to: Message 578 by Stephen Push
11-24-2010 10:12 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Stephen Push writes:
Can you describe any method of making predictions that performs better than chance and does not require inference from the known to the unknown?
I'm not sure what's your point here. Any prediction is about the unknown.
Induction is supposedly the deriving of a general statement from specific statements. A prediction is not a general statement.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 578 by Stephen Push, posted 11-24-2010 10:12 PM Stephen Push has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 599 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 7:02 PM nwr has replied
 Message 617 by Stephen Push, posted 11-25-2010 8:21 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 600 of 744 (593272)
11-25-2010 7:10 PM
Reply to: Message 595 by Straggler
11-25-2010 6:38 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
Can science reliably and accurately make conclusions about things which have not yet occurred based on the principles derived from what has gone before?
nwr writes:
No.
Straggler writes:
Yet science does do this.
The "conclusion" sometimes turns out to be wrong, showing that the "accurately" requirement is not met.
Straggler writes:
Your non-inductive description of science spectacularly fails to deal with the indisputable fact that science as practised by real scientists makes inductive conclusions about the way nature will behave in specific as yet unobserved circumstances.
It is clearly not indisputable. It has been disputed.
Back in Message 509 you implied that I am anti-Popper, which I am not. You also implied that I am postmodern, which I am not. You seem to be jumping to conclusions not based on evidence.
Here's a quote from the Stanford Encyclopedia entry on Popper
quote:
Popper is unusual amongst contemporary philosophers in that he accepts the validity of the Humean critique of induction, and indeed, goes beyond it in arguing that induction is never actually used by the scientist. However, he does not concede that this entails the scepticism which is associated with Hume, and argues that the Baconian/Newtonian insistence on the primacy of ‘pure’ observation, as the initial step in the formation of theories, is completely misguided: all observation is selective and theory-ladenthere are no pure or theory-free observations. In this way he destabilises the traditional view that science can be distinguished from non-science on the basis of its inductive methodology; in contradistinction to this, Popper holds that there is no unique methodology specific to science.
It seems that I am in agreement with a lot of what Popper says.
If there is good evidence that induction is actually used by science, then there should be a peer reviewed scholarly article that thoroughly refutes Popper. Perhaps you can provide a citation.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 595 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 6:38 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 606 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 7:28 PM nwr has replied
 Message 655 by Stephen Push, posted 11-27-2010 3:53 PM nwr has seen this message but not replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 601 of 744 (593273)
11-25-2010 7:14 PM
Reply to: Message 574 by Modulous
11-24-2010 6:30 PM


Re: What would induction in science look like
Modulous writes:
What would be evidence of induction in science?
Something peer reviewed that clearly uses induction.
I made a suggestion in Message 600 on what you might look for.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 574 by Modulous, posted 11-24-2010 6:30 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 618 by Modulous, posted 11-25-2010 8:21 PM nwr has replied
 Message 624 by Stephen Push, posted 11-25-2010 11:54 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 602 of 744 (593275)
11-25-2010 7:18 PM
Reply to: Message 597 by Straggler
11-25-2010 6:45 PM


Re: Pythagoras Theorem
Straggler writes:
What is your point?
I am providing a counter example to an absurd claim made by Panda.
Do pay attention.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 597 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 6:45 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 611 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 7:35 PM nwr has replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 604 of 744 (593277)
11-25-2010 7:21 PM
Reply to: Message 599 by Straggler
11-25-2010 7:02 PM


Re: Nwr: "Scientific theories have nothing to say about how nature behaves"
Straggler writes:
You cannot make scientific predictions (or conclusions pertaining to future events) without first inductively concluding that nature will continue to operate as it has been observed to behave thus far.
Bullshit.
However, I do suggest you try to construct a clear valid logical argument supporting your bare assertion.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 599 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 7:02 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 605 by Panda, posted 11-25-2010 7:27 PM nwr has seen this message but not replied
 Message 608 by Straggler, posted 11-25-2010 7:32 PM nwr has replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024