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Author Topic:   The problem with science II
sidelined
Member (Idle past 5936 days)
Posts: 3435
From: Edmonton Alberta Canada
Joined: 08-30-2003


Message 14 of 233 (315147)
05-25-2006 2:31 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by fallacycop
05-25-2006 2:04 PM


Re: Monty Hall?
fallacycop
If I may take the opporunity to elaborate for Javaman, the monty hall problem is a puzzle dealing with counterintuitive concepts of probability.
You may or may not know of Monty Hall from the game show The Price is Right. On the show he has a selection of three doors behind one of which lies an automobile and behind the other two a less than desirable reward. First you are asked to pick one of the doors after which Monty will reveal one of the doors {since he is aware of the loction ofthe car} and lo you are presented with a box or some such non prize.
Now you are given the choice of keeping the door you originally chose or trading it for the other remaining door. People mistake the true odds of probabilty involved in taking the last door and giving up the one they originally chose.

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