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Author | Topic: Evolution is Not Science | |||||||||||||||||||||||
mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: Our universe is the result of the explosive expansion of the "Cosmic Egg" billions of years ago. Reality: Explosions do not result in increased organization of matter. Has an explosion ever created ordered complexity? [/b][/QUOTE] Straw man. The Big Bang isn’t postulated as a conventional explosion. It is the coming into existence of a vast amount of basic particles, followed by expansion. I’m afraid a strongly exothermic reaction is nowhere to be seen in modern cosmology re. Big Bang.
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: The fossil record proves evolution. Reality: There are no clear transitions between vastly different types of animals in either the living world or the fossil record. Any three objects can be lined up but this does not prove that one turned into the other. [/b][/QUOTE] Straw man. Science doesn’t claim to prove anything, so wouldn’t, & doesn’t claim the fossil record proves evolution. It claims it provides supporting evidence for evolution, nothing more.
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: Structural and biochemical similarities prove common ancestry. Reality: Common ancestry is only one of two possible explanations for similarities. The lack of fossil transitions strongly refutes this belief. Purposeful design can explain the same features in a more direct way. In addition, totally different organism often display similar features. [/b][/QUOTE] Straw man. Again, science doesn’t prove anything. There is no lack of fossil transitions, here are a few:Invertebrate transitionals : http://www.gcssepm.org/special/cuffey_04.htm Consider the brachiopod Eocoelia from the Lower Silurian of Great Britain (Ziegler, 1966). We find two species both classified as Eocoelia based on the details of internal morphology. However, the shells of the older species are coarsely ribbed whereas the shells of the younger species are smooth (Ziegler, 1966). If we examine samples collected from geochronologically intermediate positions, we find a succession of Eocoelia that progressively reduced and ultimately lost the ribs (Ziegler, 1966). This morphologic progression can be illustrated both qualitatively with specimen illustrations and quantitatively by measuring rib strength and plotting the data as a series of histograms in stratigraphic order (Ziegler, 1966). Such sequences are the preserved remains of temporally successive populations of organisms that morphologically changed from one species into another. All of these intermediate forms thus qualifies as transitional fossils. The only logical conclusion is that such successive populations were produced by normal reproductive processes. That is descent with modification (Cuffey, 1984, p. 266-269). Research has provided many examples of successive species and genera (and in some cases families) linking major higher taxa of order or class rank (Cuffey, 1984, p. 266). For example, within Phylum Mollusca, transitional fossils have been found between [1] Class Monoplacophora and Subclass Nautiloidea (Pojeta, 1980; Runnegar & Pojeta, 1974), [2] Class Monoplacophora and Class Rostroconchia (Pojeta, 1980; Runnegar & Pojeta, 1974; Pojeta & Runnegar, 1976; Runnegar, 1978), [ 3] Class Rostroconchia and Class Pelecypoda (Pojeta, 1980; Runnegar & Pojeta, 1974; Pojeta & Runnegar, 1976; Pojeta, 1978), [4] Class Rostroconchia and Class Scaphopoda (Pojeta, 1980; Runnegar & Pojeta, 1974; Pojeta & Runnegar, 1976, 1979) , [5] Subclass Bactritoidea and Subclass Ammonoidea (Erben, 1966).
http://www.geo.ucalgary.ca/~macrae/talk_origins.html#trilobitesShowing Trilobite transitionals. Pikaia gracilens (Science & Earth History, Arthur N Strahler, 1999, p405)
http://www.asa3.org/ASA/topics/Evolution/PSCF12-97Miller.html The Cambrian lobopods occupy a transitional morphological position between several living phyla. The oldest known lobopod from the Early Cambrian is Xenusion. This organism bears similarities to both palaeoscolecid worms and to living onychophorans and tardigrads. Furthermore, lobo-pods also have morphological features in common with the arthropods, particularly with peculiar Cambrian forms such as Opabinia and Anomalocaris. Recent redescription of Opabinia has also disclosed the presence of lobopod limbs strongly suggesting a lobopod to arthropod transition. The discovery of a Cambrian gill-bearing lobopod reinforces this conclusion. These forms fall nicely into a transitional position between extant phyla. Another very important group of Early Cambrian fossils is represented by a wide variety of tiny cap-shaped and scalelike skeletal elements. It is now known that many of these belonged to slug-like animals that bore these hollow mineralized structures like a dermal armor. Two well-known, and well-preserved, examples of this group of organisms are Wiwaxia and Halkieria. Called the Machaeridia or the Coelosceritophora, these organisms are mosaics of phylum-level characteristics, and their taxonomic affinity is a matter of present debate. A strong case can be made for the assignment of at least some of these taxa to the Mollusca. However, a relationship to the polychaete annelid worms is also strongly suggested by some workers, as with Wiwaxia. The taxonomic confusion associated with these scale-bearing slug-like animals, and with the lobopods, is consistent with their stratigraphic position at the base of the Cambrian metazoan radiation.
http://www.natureasia.com/get.pl5/abstracts/issue991202/abstract991202_518.shtml An early Cambrian craniate-like chordateJun-Yuan Chen, Di-Ying Huang and Chia-Wei Li Since the identification of the Lower Cambrian Yunnanozoon as a chordate in 1995, large numbers of complete specimens of soft-bodied chordates from the Lower Cambrian Maotianshan Shale in central Yunnan (southern China) have been recovered. Here we describe a recently discovered craniate-like chordate, Haikouella lanceolata, from 305 fossil specimens in Haikou near Kunming. This 530 million-year-old (Myr) fish-like animal resembles the contemporaneous Yunnanozoon from the Chengjiang fauna (about 35km southeast of Haikou) in several anatomic features. But Haikouella also has several additional anatomic features: a heart, ventral and dorsal aorta, an anterior branchial arterial, gill filaments, a caudal projection, a neural cord with a relatively large brain, a head with possible lateral eyes, and a ventrally situated buccal cavity with short tentacles. These findings indicate that Haikouella probably represents a very early craniate-like chordate that lived near the beginning of the Cambrian period during the main burst of the Cambrian explosion. These findings will add to the debate on the evolutionary transition from invertebrate to vertebrate. Lets take the evolution of the horse, from: Hyracotherium (Eohippus), to Orohippus, to Epihippus, to Mesohippus, to Miohippus, to Parahippus, to Merychippus, to Pliohippus, to Modern Horse. Why is this sequence inferred? In all cases, a progressive reduction in side toe functionality appears, with increased emphasis on the middle toe. The side toes become increasingly vestigial, as the middle toe becomes more prominent, ending up as the hoof.Not enough? A similar progression is seen in size, skull shape, & teeth forms.Still not enough? The side toes on modern horses are represented today as splints at the back of the shins. The process can be seen in the flick book of horse evolution. If this sequence never occurred, why do the side toes appear in horse embryos? Also, they are present occasionally in adult horses, exactly where the fossil record predicted they would be, replacing the splints. (Science & Earth History. Arthur N. Strahler 1999). And, our old friend, Archaeopteryx. Present In Dinosaurs But Not In Birds: Pubic peduncle, long bony tail, abdominal ribs. Present In Birds But Not In Dinosaurs : Pygostyle, bony sternum, furcula (wishbone), hypotarsus, feathers. Present In Archaeopteryx : All of the above. If you don’t accept these, Jet, what WOULD you accept as a transitional?
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: The rock layers of the earth form the pages of earth's history showing millions of years of evolutionary progression. Reality: The fossil record does not show a clear, "simple-to-complex" of life forms. Life is complex and well developed wherever it is found in the fossil record. Major groups of plants and animals appear suddenly in the fossil record, with nothing leading up to them. Most rock layers and the fossils they contain can be explained better by a worldwide flood and subsequent events. [/b][/QUOTE] Not true, the fossil record clearly shows early life as single celled. Later life could be colonial (stromatolites), & multicellular. An increase in complexity, no less.
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: Radiometric dating methods are "absolute." They are accurate and reliable. Reality: Although radiometric dating methods seem to show a trend of great age, these methods depend upon numerous other assumptions. When used to date events of known age, such as lava flow in Hawaii or the Grand Canyon, they have been wrong by orders of magnitude. How can we be sure they are accurate for events of unknown age? Furthermore, the vast majority of dating method indicate a very young earth. [/b][/QUOTE] LOL!!! Give us this majority of dating methods indicating a young earth. What methods were used to date the lava flows? I bet it involved Argon See below....... If various dating methods were inaccurate, then they wouldn’t corroborate to such a high degree.. radiometeric_dating_does_work The Manson Meteorite Impact and the Pierre Shale In the Cretaceous Period, a large meteorite struck the earth at a location near the present town of Manson, Iowa. The heat of the impact melted some of the feldspar crystals in the granitic rocks of the impact zone, thereby resetting their internal radiometric clocks. These melted crystals, and therefore the impact, have been dated by the 40Ar/39Ar method at 74.1 Ma (million years; Izett and others 1998), but that is not the whole story by a long shot. The impact also created shocked quartz crystals that were blasted into the air and subsequently fell to the west into the inland sea that occupied much of central North America at that time. Today this shocked quartz is found in South Dakota, Colorado, and Nebraska in a thin layer (the Crow Creek Member) within a thick rock formation known as the Pierre Shale. The Pierre Shale, which is divided into identifiable sedimentary beds called members, also contains abundant fossils of numerous species of ammonites, ancestors of the chambered nautilus. The fossils, when combined with geologic mapping, allow the various exposed sections of the Pierre Shale to be pieced together in their proper relative positions to form a complete composite section (Figure 1). The Pierre Shale also contains volcanic ash that was erupted from volcanoes and then fell into the sea, where it was preserved as thin beds. These ash beds, called bentonites, contain sanidine feldspar and biotite that has been dated using the 40Ar/39Ar technique. The results of the Manson Impact/Pierre Shale dating study (Izett and others 1998) are shown in Figure 1. There are three important things to note about these results. First, each age is based on numerous measurements; laboratory errors, had there been any, would be readily apparent. Second, ages were measured on two very different minerals, sanidine and biotite, from several of the ash beds. The largest difference between these mineral pairs, in the ash from the Gregory Member, is less than 1%. Third, the radiometric ages agree, within analytical error, with the relative positions of the dated ash beds as determined by the geologic mapping and the fossil assemblages; that is, the ages get older from top to bottom as they should. Finally, the inferred age of the shocked quartz, as determined from the age of the melted feldspar in the Manson impact structure (74.1 0.1 Ma), is in very good agreement with the ages of the ash beds above and below it. How could all of this be so if the 40Ar/39Ar dating technique did not work? The Ages of Meteorites Meteorites, most of which are fragments of asteroids, are very interesting objects to study because they provide important evidence about the age, composition, and history of the early solar system. There are many types of meteorites. Some are from primitive asteroids whose material is little modified since they formed from the early solar nebula. Others are from larger asteroids that got hot enough to melt and send lava flows to the surface. A few are even from the Moon and Mars. The most primitive type of meteorites are called chondrites, because they contain little spheres of olivine crystals known as chondrules. Because of their importance, meteorites have been extensively dated radiometrically; the vast majority appear to be 4.4—4.6 Ga (billion years) old. Some meteorites, because of their mineralogy, can be dated by more than one radiometric dating technique, which provides scientists with a powerful check of the validity of the results. The results from three meteorites are shown in Table 1. Many more, plus a discussion of the different types of meteorites and their origins, can be found in Dalrymple (1991).There are 3 important things to know about the ages in Table 1. The first is that each meteorite was dated by more than one laboratory Allende by 2 laboratories, Guarena by 2 laboratories, and St Severin by four laboratories. This pretty much eliminates any significant laboratory biases or any major analytical mistakes. The second thing is that some of the results have been repeated using the same technique, which is another check against analytical errors. The third is that all three meteorites were dated by more than one method two methods each for Allende and Guarena, and four methods for St Severin. This is extremely powerful verification of the validity of both the theory and practice of radiometric dating. In the case of St Severin, for example, we have 4 different natural clocks (actually 5, for the Pb-Pb method involves 2 different radioactive uranium isotopes), each running at a different rate and each using elements that respond to chemical and physical conditions in much different ways. And yet, they all give the same result to within a few percent. Is this a remarkable coincidence? Scientists have concluded that it is not; it is instead a consequence of the fact that radiometric dating actually works and works quite well. Creationists who wants to dispute the conclusion that primitive meteorites, and therefore the solar system, are about 4.5 Ga old certainly have their work cut out for them! The K-T Tektites One of the most exciting and important scientific findings in decades was the 1980 discovery that a large asteroid, about 10 kilometers diameter, struck the earth at the end of the Cretaceous Period. The collision threw many tons of debris into the atmosphere and possibly led to the extinction of the dinosaurs and many other life forms. The fallout from this enormous impact, including shocked quartz and high concentrations of the element iridium, has been found in sedimentary rocks at more than 100 locations worldwide at the precise stratigraphic location of the Cretaceous-Tertiary (K-T) boundary (Alvarez and Asaro 1990; Alvarez 1998). We now know that the impact site is located on the Yucatan Peninsula. Measuring the age of this impact event independently of the stratigraphic evidence is an obvious test for radiometric methods, and a number of scientists in laboratories around the world set to work. In addition to shocked quartz grains and high concentrations of iridium, the K-T impact produced tektites, which are small glass spherules that form from rock that is instantaneously melted by a large impact. The K-T tektites were ejected into the atmosphere and deposited some distance away. Tektites are easily recognizable and form in no other way, so the discovery of a sedimentary bed (the Beloc Formation) in Haiti that contained tektites and that, from fossil evidence, coincided with the K-T boundary provided an obvious candidate for dating. Scientists from the US Geological Survey were the first to obtain radiometric ages for the tektites and laboratories in Berkeley, Stanford, Canada, and France soon followed suit. The results from all of the laboratories were remarkably consistent with the measured ages ranging only from 64.4 to 65.1 Ma (Table 2). Similar tektites were also found in Mexico, and the Berkeley lab found that they were the same age as the Haiti tektites. But the story doesn’t end there. The K-T boundary is recorded in numerous sedimentary beds around the world. The Z-coal, the Ferris coal, and the Nevis coal in Montana and Saskatchewan all occur immediately above the K-T boundary. Numerous thin beds of volcanic ash occur within these coals just centimeters above the K-T boundary, and some of these ash beds contain minerals that can be dated radiometrically. Ash beds from each of these coals have been dated by 40Ar/39Ar, K-Ar, Rb-Sr, and U-Pb methods in several laboratories in the US and Canada. Since both the ash beds and the tektites occur either at or very near the K-T boundary, as determined by diagnostic fossils, the tektites and the ash beds should be very nearly the same age, and they are (Table 2).There are several important things to note about these results. First, the Cretaceous and Tertiary periods were defined by geologists in the early 1800s. The boundary between these periods (the K-T boundary) is marked by an abrupt change in fossils found in sedimentary rocks worldwide. Its exact location in the stratigraphic column at any locality has nothing to do with radiometric dating it is located by careful study of the fossils and the rocks that contain them, and nothing more. Second, the radiometric age measurements, 187 of them, were made on 3 different minerals and on glass by 3 distinctly different dating methods (K-Ar and 40Ar/39Ar are technical variations that use the same parent-daughter decay scheme), each involving different elements with different half-lives. Furthermore, the dating was done in 6 different laboratories and the materials were collected from 5 different locations in the Western Hemisphere. And yet the results are the same within analytical error. If radiometric dating didn’t work then such beautifully consistent results would not be possible. Dating of The Mt Vesuvius Eruption In the early afternoon of August 24, 79 CE, Mt Vesuvius erupted violently, sending hot ash flows speeding down its flanks. These flows buried and destroyed Pompeii and other nearby Roman cities. We know the exact day of this eruption because Pliny the Younger carefully recorded the event. In 1997 a team of scientists from the Berkeley Geochronology Center and the University of Naples decided to see if the 40Ar/39Ar method of radiometric dating could accurately measure the age of this very young (by geological standards) volcanic material. They separated sanidine crystals from a sample of one of the ash flows. Incremental heating experiments on 12 samples of sanidine yielded 46 data points that resulted in an isochron age of 1925 94 years. The actual age of the flow in 1997 was 1918 years. Is this just a coincidence? No it is the result of extremely careful analyses using a technique that works. This is not the only dating study to be done on an historic lava flow. Two extensive studies done more than 25 years ago involved analyzing the isotopic composition of argon in such flows to determine if the source of the argon was atmospheric, as must be assumed in K-Ar dating (Dalrymple 1969, 26 flows; Krummenacher 1970, 19 flows). Both studies detected, in a few of the flows, deviations from atmospheric isotopic composition, most often in the form of excess 40Ar. The majority of flows, however, had no detectable excess 40Ar and thus gave correct ages as expected. Of the handful of flows that did contain excess 40Ar, only a few did so in significant amounts. The 122 BCE flow from Mt Etna, for example, gave an erroneous age of 0.25 0.08 Ma. Note, however, that even an error of 0.25 Ma would be insignificant in a 20 Ma flow with equivalent potassium content. Austin (1996) has documented excess 40Ar in the 1986 dacite flow from Mount St Helens, but the amounts are insufficient to produce significant errors in all but the youngest rocks. The 79 CE Mt Vesuvius flow, the dating of which is described above, also contained excess 40Ar. The 40Ar/39Ar isochron method used by the Berkeley scientists, however, does not require any assumptions about the composition of the argon trapped in the rock when it formed it may be atmospheric or any other composition for that matter. Thus any potential error due to excess 40Ar was eliminated by the use of this technique, which was not available when the studies by Dalrymple (1969) and Krummenacher (1970) were done. Thus the large majority of historic lava flows that have been studied either give correct ages, as expected, or have quantities of excess radiogenic 40Ar that would be insignificant in all but the youngest rocks. The 40Ar/39Ar technique, which is now used instead of K-Ar methods for most studies, has the capability of automatically detecting, and in many instances correcting for, the presence of excess 40Ar, should it be present. So the K-T Tektites were dated by no less than four methods, that corroborate. 40Ar/39Ar, K-Ar, Rb-Sr, and U-Pb . If that weren't evidence enough, lets take a look at how inaccurate they all must be, to fit a YEC world view. I'll assume, for the sake of simplicity that the K-T boundary is 60 mya, not 65 mya. Now, assuming a 6,000 year old YEC earth. This means that all the above methods, were ALL 1,000,000% inaccurate. Let me reiterate, the YEC movement requires these FOUR different, corroborating methods to be ONE MILLION PERCENT INNACURATE. That’s all of them inaccurate by the same amount. How can you explain such a colossal error in four separate methods, when radioactive decay rates are so constant? Do you not find it absolutely astonishing that FOUR different methods, each with their own foibles, are all able to be wrong by the same amount?
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Jet:
[b][QUOTE] Myth: The fossil record for human evolution is complete and clear. All too often the propagandists for evolution present their story with statements such as, "Every knowing person believes that man descended from apes. Today there is no such thing as the theory of evolution, it is the fact of evolution." (Ernst Mayr) Reality: The evidence for human evolution is fragmentary and reconstruction involves artistic license. Many competent scientists totally reject evolution. They acknowledge that it is not even a good scientific theory, much less a fact. [/b][/QUOTE] Straw man. Show a single palaeontologist that claims The fossil record for human evolution is complete and clear. Mark [Edited to fix too-long link name. --Percy] ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with. [This message has been edited by Percipient, 03-17-2002]
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: I attempted to show the so called myths you claimed, weren’t. My arguments fell into 3 categories. 1/ Exposing straw men (4)2/ Providing evidence contrary to your claims (By experts in their fields), at the same time asking what you would accept as good evidence. (1) 3/ Asking how a high degree of corroboration (again provided by an expert in his field) could be reasonably dismissed. (1) I thank you for your kind words, but fail to see how I have arbitrarily dismissed anything. I have provided evidence/points raised by experts in their fields, & find myself wondering how I have could possibly have breached etiquette & passed port the wrong way around the table in so doing? It may well be that my points have been a rehash of material that has been rebutted and refuted so many times that to do so again would be a truly pointless endeavor. But I have never seen them answered, despite pushing the million percent argument several times. Did it occur to you that your post was EXACTLY the same as you claim mine to have been? If my answers have been so obviously refuted before, why on earth did you think you were posting anything original deserving of a reply in the first place? Nevertheless, it was YOU who made those statements, it is for YOU to defend them. Put up or shut up. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: The same guideline as evasion. YOU made those statements in message 33, it is for YOU to defend them, no one else. If your not prepared to defend your own statements then there's no point you being here. If you want to simply transmit, write a book. If you want a debate, then stay in this DEBATE forum. But debate is a two way exchange. Put simply, this means a reply to message 36, OK? Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: KP, Fortunately for us evos, straw men do not make good soldiers. If they did creation "science" would already have taken the world by storm. Jet posted a set of "myths" which actually misrepresent the arguments they claim to refute. In so doing they refute nothing. Having shown no less than four straw men in Jets "myths", my point is made & no further effort is required on my part, the ball is in his/her court (now yours). If you think they're NOT straw men, bring it on. I made two other points regarding transitionals & radiometric dating, both invited a response. 1/ Perhaps you would be so kind to explain what you would accept as a transitional that wasn't in post 36. That is to say, if I brought a fossil sequence to you & said these are transitionals, what criteria would you apply that would potentially make you say, "Oh yeah, that's a transitional sequence"? 2/ Also, can you explain why four different radiometric methods show such close correlation? If you are going to deny the age they give, can you then explain how these four methods are all one million percent in error? That's a massive error to BEGIN with, let alone having four DIFFERENT methods, each with different potential sources of error to be so close in the ages given. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Evolution works on extant life. Evolution would begin EXACTLY one generation after either abiogenesis or creation. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: It is creationists that make the difference between micro & macro evolution, & that macro evolution cannot occur. Since the mechanisms are the same it is for them to show why there is this barrier, not for evolutionists, who never claimed it existed in the first place do prove it doesn't. What is being asked is separate to evolutionary evidence FOR macro evolution (see nearly any molecular/genetically derived phylogeny). I repeat, creationists have intimated that a barrier exists between micro & macro evolution, creationists need to show the barrier they claim to exist actually does. This is independent of pro macro evolutionary evidence. Mark (Sorry for labouring the point) ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Is that an admission? fossils dont show evolution occuring they just show the steps in it. No one claims fossils show evolution occurring, but we DO claim that it shows steps in it. Since we are in agreement, what would you accept as a step in evolution, fossilwise?
quote: The age they show ISN’T hypothetical, it is tentative, but as I hope to show, not very. The range of dates is from 64.4 mya to 65.1 mya giving a 0.7 my range. 65.1/0.7 = 93 The range of error is 93 times smaller than the maximum given date, giving us usable increments of time. Probabilistically speaking, we basically have four 93 sided dice. What are the odds of all four rolling a 93? On the familiar 6 sided die, the chance of rolling two sixes (or any two numbers, for that matter) is 6^2 = 36:1 (Number of sides to the nth power where nth = number of die). Therefore, the odds of four radiometric dating methods reaching the same date range by chance is..drum roll.. 93^4 (93*93*93*93)= 74,805,201:1 Do you therefore accept that radiometric dating accuracy is something more than merely hypothetical, or even chance?
quote: Does this mean you are an old earth creationist now? True, any scientific conclusion is tentative, but nearly 75,000,000:1 odds screams, & screams loud. The more methods you use, the less tentative the result. I hope to have shown that the results that the K-T Tektites are ~65 my old are highly corroborated, & it would be unreasonable to deny this conclusion. Mark ps {Added By Edit} The chance of all four methods being off by (chance) 65,100,000 years when the result SHOULD have been 6,000 years is truly staggering. 65,100,000/6,000 = 10,850 (following the previous example, we now have four 10,850 sided dice) 10,850^4 = 13,858,587,006,250,000 : 1 ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with. [This message has been edited by mark24, 03-18-2002]
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Spot on. Evolution stands alone from creation AND abiogenesis. God COULD have started the first organism off, AND evolution be true. I always thought that the "creation/evolution" debate was a bit wonky on this, but there you are... Of course the above assumes an OEC perspective, a YEC perspective generally asserts that genesis is true & happened inside the last 10,000 years. Meaning evolution is screwed on two counts, 1/ God created all life as developed organisms, & 2/ there isn't enough time for evolution anyway. This is the main argument, though evolution & creation are not exclusive unless you assume a literal interpretation of the bible (assuming your christian in the first place, of course). Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Yes, KP, you are wrong, it is the duty of the asserter to back up their claims, in this case the assertion is from creationists, & states that macro evolution cannot occur, but micro evolution can. Given the mechanisms are the same, I think we’re overdue some explanation, don’t you? Rank, unsupported, denial isn’t convincing me.
quote: --the fossil pattern merely provides a pattern for evolution but it does not show it occuring.[/B][/QUOTE] A pattern of snapshots IS evidence for evolution. Since expecting evolution to occur under your nose in solid rock is a bit silly, we look at the morphological patterns as evidence of evolution. So, you agree there is a pattern to the fossil record for evolution? And you said evolution was just assumption!? quote: How many theories of the atom have their been? Each one superseded the previous because of new information. Even evolution has changed because of new information. In fact, I doubt you can name a SINGLE theory that resists change despite the evidence. If you’re going to say evolution, you’ll need to present this new evidence that requires a total reinterpretation. ALL of the mechanisms for evolution are based on physical evidence, gene flow, recombination, natural selection, mutation. We’re talking heredity & genetics here. If you are asserting that there is blind assumption, with no supporting evidence for ANY of the mechanisms, then please bring them on. In saying that evolution hasn’t/isn’t happening, you must ponder what all that genetic machinery is actually doing when the allele frequencies change in populations, & new genes just pop up out of the ether. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: For the THIRD time, what would you accept as a transitional? Since you mention retro-evolution, how many RANDOM mutations do you think are required for noticeable morphological difference in species? What are the odds of a complete reversal in EXACTLY the same loci of those mutations, combined with the chance of those mutations being fixed in the respective populations in roughly 3,000,000,000 base pairs? When you give me the answer, I claim spontaneous generation of DNA to be positively LIKELY!
quote: Radiometric dating DOES PROVIDE A TIME SCALE. In this case 64.4 to 65.1 mya for the K-T tektites. I’m giving you corroborating evidence that IT DOES provide this time scale!! So, how do you REASONABLY explain this high level of corroboration? If you can’t, I may as well state that DNA arose spontaneously, because that involves unreasonable odds as well. How does the fact that radiometric dating is science detract from the sheer odds of it being wrong by chance, in this case by over 74,000,000 :1? Please address the odds. That you consider abiogenesis or the big bang to be laughable is irrelevant to the question in hand. HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN THE ODDS OF FOUR DIFFERENT RADIOMETRIC METHODS HITTING THE SAME AGE RANGE BY CHANCE ALONE? Let me state it again : 74,805,201:1 .
quote: I have provided the maths that four methods achieving the same age range by chance alone is 74,805,201:1 . Do you have a SINGLE evidence that the earth is in the order of 6,000 years old? If not you are NOT doing science (as you have claimed elsewhere), & are merely subscribing to an UNSUPPORTED belief. This belief is in the same order of support as yellow fairies made the earth 15,000 years ago.
quote: You mean sheer mathematical unlikelihood of your timescale is exactly matched by your lack of ANY positive evidence of a young earth? Pur-lease! Present YOUR positive evidence of a 6,000 year old earth & we’ll see which theory has the greatest corroboration. The odds you are arguing against are 13,858,587,006,250,000 : 1 for four methods to be so close by chance, I laughed at them too, when I saw them, but, I suspect, for an altogether different reason. Time is relative & easily altered? LOL! Would you accept this argument if I presented it against a 6,000 year old earth evidence? Not a chance! Even if you CAN show that time can be altered under 1G (earths gravity) by 1,000,000%, which I sincerely doubt, the even larger numbers simply make your position even more untenable. Can you show that time can be easily altered by 1,000,000% , which is the percentile margin you are required to defeat to make YEC time be true. If not, you still need to address the sheer odds AGAINST a 6,000 year old earth provided by this (from a YEC POV) unlikely corroboration. Let me repeat : 13,858,587,006,250,000 : 1 Let me be clearer. If 1% of 6,000 is 60 years, Then, 65,100,000 years = 1,085,000% So, if you are prepared to accept that radiometric dating is, say 900,000% inaccurate, then you are accepting an earth of at LEAST 11,100,000 years old. Radiometric dating in my cite MUST be 1,084,900% Inaccurate for a YEC creation date to be true. What rationale do you offer to continue believing in a YEC position? If you DON’T concede that the dating methods described are at least 1,084,000% (60,000 year old earth, for example), then you are not questioning the methods, which are different, but the underlying physics. This means you are questioning half life rates. One of the most constant of physical phenomena. Half lives have to be out by the order of 1 million percent to accommodate a YEC date, can you show this? If not, how do you accommodate such figures in your world view scientifically? Remember, this is an evidence based discussion, & Godidit means nothing. Creation science is extant to show evidence of biblical literalism, to be science we need evidence, claims of Godidit are not evidence. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: So you actually deny the POSSIBILITY that transitionals exist. KP, it isn’t possible to have a more closed mind. Alarm bells a ringin’!
quote: If anything’s possible, what about transitionals? You still haven’t answered the question. I’ve always been told by creationists that the number of mutations for macro evolution is vast. So, to support your statement that an organism could retro-evolve into what it was before you need at least to demonstrate it’s likelyhood. It’s that odds thing again. If it takes a thousand fixed mutations in a genome of say, 3 billion nucleotides then the chance of a mutation reversing it is 1/3,000,000,000. For that to happen ONLY 1,000 times is 3^9 to the 3^9th power. My scientific calculator can’t display this figure as it is so large. So would you agree that its probably as likely that a species could evolve into what it was before and mess up the order is NOT a feasible argument for explaining fossil record patterns?
quote: What are you on about? Half lives are demonstrably constant, why would you think they weren’t? Do you have any evidence that they weren’t from earths formation onwards? Saying it might have been, or Godidit is baseless assertion.
quote: Abiogenesis DOESN’T state DNA arose spontaneously. To do that it would have to appear in a solution of constituent molecules ready made. DNA requires a battery of enzymes to replicate efficiently. RNA has the property of self catalyation, & is a candiate for a predecessor of DNA, before that PNA, who knows? But DNA was never thought to have spontaneously appeared. In fact it is the sheer odds of such an occurrence that weighs against it. Why is it that evolutionists can accept such bad odds, & dismiss an argument, but you can’t dismiss a 6,000 year old earth hypothesis in the face of 13,858,587,006,250,000 : 1 odds? If science is a gift from God why does it contradict the bible? Like turkeys voting for Christmas? Also science in the form of the scientific method is demonstrably man made.
quote: It COULD be, but would you back this horse with your life savings? You’re stating the obvious. How can these methods be MORE THAN LIKELY HORRIBLY WRONG? The odds suggest they are more than LIKELY right!
quote: Sorry, KP, drivel, utter unsubstantiated drivel. Radiometric dating methods measure time, by definition, not anything but. The assumptions are that half lives are constant, based on solid experimental evidence. The truth, as an absolute 100% known factor doesn’t exist. But we base likely-hoods on the strength of evidence. Radiometric dating has been questioned by YECs. I have provided an example where the chance of radiometric methods getting the assumed YEC date wrong is 13,858,587,006,250,000 : 1. Now, tell me. What is more LIKELY, a 6,000 year old earth, or an older earth based on the statistics provided by evidence?
quote: How have I lost credibility? You are eschewing evidence (radiometric) in favour of a substance-less position. This is an awful intellectual hypocrisy. You believe in an evidence-less God, & claim other evidence-less religions are incorrect. HOW can you claim anything is wrong without a basis for doing so. How can you claim anything is true without evidence? Much less, you are claiming science, with a basis in evidence, is wrong at the expense of unsubstantiated supernatural scripture. It is the person that argues from an evidence backed position who has credibility, not the other way around. So, do you have evidence that the earth is 6,000 years old?
quote: The earth will appear as old as it is, not as old as it wants, & it appears old. Your argument is with radiometric dating & the corroborative odds produced by the example I provided. No, me & Einstein are in perfect agreement, it’s you who disagrees. You need to show that under 1g of gravity, at the speed the earth rotates about the sun that time can vary by 1,000,000%. If you think that 1g, or the earths velocity about the sun varied, then show that it did by a factor as large enough to cause a 1,000,000% time dilation. If not, then time isn’t as easily altered as your argument requires.
quote: Geological time is based on evidence. If you can’t produce evidence of YEC time, then I can say with EXACTLY the same intellectual basis that the earth is 50,000 years old, or 100 billion years old, etcetera, ad infinitum. Any claim to know the age of the earth without any presented evidence is meaningless.
quote: Baseless assertion. How do you argue the above odds with a basis in evidence? Saying Godidit without showing SOME positive evidence of Gods existence is simply denial. Do you understand this? It would be like you being tried for a crime you never committed, you weren’t in the country, the gun had someone else’s prints on it, & all the witnesses said it wasn’t you, but judge believes it was, so you get the chair. In order to argue a position you must have some basis to successfully do so. What basis do you have? The bible? What basis in evidence do you have for assuming God to exist because of what is written in it? Because it looks to me that you have no basis for believing God to exist, no basis for believing that God wants to test us, no basis for denying colossal odds against a 6,000 year old earth, no basis in EVIDENCE whatsoever. In fact, in light of this, it looks to me that anything, no matter what the odds/evidence, if they contradict the bible you’re sticking your fingers in your ears, closing your eyes & saying GODIDIT, GODIDIT, GODIDIT! Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: YAY!!!! Our first convert to evolution!! Micro changes CAN produce macro effects!! Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
KP,
I moved my reply to this over to......
http://www.evcforum.net/cgi-bin/dm.cgi?action=page&f=1&t=162&p=1 message 9 Cheers, Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Nice post. The problem isn't heat dissipation in a year, it's never letting it get higher than a few tens of degrees above todays average AT ALL. If the temperature goes up by say 80 deg C, we boil. It only has to do that for a minute or two, let alone a year. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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mark24 Member (Idle past 5225 days) Posts: 3857 From: UK Joined: |
quote: Actually, stellar theory predicts that the earth is subject to more radiation now than ever. Young stars contain H, & He. Hydrogen fuses to helium, helium to carbon etc, all the way up to Fe. As concentrations increase, so does the rate of fusion of those elements. More energy is liberated from those fusions (compared to H-He), thus as a star ages, it liberates more energy per second. Thus, the earth is bombarded by more solar radiation now than ever, other cosmic radiation is negligable when compared to solar radiation. Mark ------------------Occam's razor is not for shaving with.
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