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Author Topic:   If Evolution was proved beyond doubt...
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 32 of 114 (211895)
05-27-2005 4:12 PM
Reply to: Message 27 by randman
05-27-2005 3:33 PM


I think conventional thinking on this issue is that breeding and variation alone are not sufficient.
Way wrong. Conventional thinking is that random mutation plus other sources of variation plus natural selection have no known boundaries or hints of boundaries, other than those imposed by physical possibility and the requirement that all changes be variations on existing structures. Although we will never have a detailed map of the origin of today's panoply of life from simple replicators, enough records have been found to establish beyond a shadow of scientific doubt that that's what happened.

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 Message 27 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 3:33 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by robinrohan, posted 05-27-2005 4:17 PM JonF has replied
 Message 35 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 4:45 PM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 41 of 114 (211935)
05-27-2005 5:07 PM
Reply to: Message 33 by robinrohan
05-27-2005 4:17 PM


JonF, would you agree that if one accepts microevolution you would logically also have to accept macroevolution?
Yes. I agree that a large pile of microevolution often becomes macroevolution, using standard biological definitions of the two. But macroevolution can be more than a big pile of microevolution. For example, Larry Moran on talk.origins often argues that macroevolution is not just a big pile of microevolution. He's not a creationist, there's good reason to believe that he knows whereof he speaks, and I can't completely follow his arguments; so I provisionally accept them. E.g see Larry A. Moran, microevolution lead to macroevolution?, and Macroevolution and Microevolution (closed debate).

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 Message 33 by robinrohan, posted 05-27-2005 4:17 PM robinrohan has not replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 44 of 114 (211940)
05-27-2005 5:19 PM
Reply to: Message 35 by randman
05-27-2005 4:45 PM


From what I have read in on this issue from various sources is that variation without any mutation is not considered sufficient to account for all of life.
True. however, your original sttement was "I think conventional thinking on this issue is that breeding and variation alone are not sufficient.". Mutations are variation, so your two statements are not equivalent.
Processes are limited. The idea they are not limited by definition is absurd.
Well, one could argue that; physical possibility imposes limits. However, the limit of which we know are far outside the limts that creationists argue for.
I would also argue that often we see changes within species or groups of related species that change in the fossil record with the changes found within a range, meaning they change one way and then back the other, over a long period of time, and of course, some go extinct exactly because things like extinction do stop the process, and if the process was so unlimited, extinctions would be less likely.
Let's see your argument that "often we see changes within species or groups of related species that change in the fossil record with the changes found within a range, meaning they change one way and then back the other, over a long period of time". I would be especaillly interested in seeing how you apply this to known hominid fossils, and Pelycodus.
And you need some serious population genetics math to show that extinction would be less likely than observed if there are barriers that prevented change beyon d a certain point. There are,of course, barriers on the rate of change which accounts for many if not all extinctions.
So the real crux of the matter goes to whether observable mutations are sufficient to explain the development of all life in adding the "jumps" necessary to break out of the cycle of a range of change due to reproductive variation.
Well, the first thing you need to establish is the existence of a "cycle of a range of change due to reproductive variation". So far all I've seen are unsupported claims and a few examples that do not establish the general principle that you are claiming.

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 Message 35 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 4:45 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 47 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 5:29 PM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 50 of 114 (211955)
05-27-2005 6:00 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by randman
05-27-2005 5:29 PM


"Well, the first thing you need to establish is the existence of a "cycle of a range of change due to reproductive variation"."
Actually, that a separate issue and not necessary to discuss the orignal point.
Make up your mind. Previously you called it part of the "real crux of the matter".
I may have some time to look up examples in the fossil record of species changing within a range, but frankly, I am surprised you claim to not have heard of that.
I haven't. I am requesting that you back up your claim with evidence, as you agreed to when you joined the forum. And, to establish that it is the norm, you will need far more than a few examples; and you will have to address those areas where we have a good range of fossils, such as whales and hominids.
As far as all species, I cannot say, and neither can you, because the fossil record is incomplete, but I suspect even with homo sapiens, you see a measure of this. Cro-Magnon man, for example, was larger than man has been in the past few thousand years, but we are seeing man in the past 100 years grow in size, perhaps due to better nutrition. We saw examples of what I consider "just people" that were smaller in size prior to Cro-Magnon as well. That's one example of the range I am talking about being demonstrated over time.
That is a range of variation, but that's no reason for concluding that we are limited to that range.
But this is largely a side issue as to whether micro-evolution absent mutations could account for all of life today.
I may have missed it .. but who claims that microevolution absent mutations could account for all of life today? Certainly no biologists do. Microevolution is largely mutations.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 5:29 PM randman has replied

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 Message 51 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 6:08 PM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 52 of 114 (211976)
05-27-2005 7:41 PM
Reply to: Message 51 by randman
05-27-2005 6:08 PM


You admit that microevolution absent of mutations cannot account for all of life today, right?
Seems pretty unlikely that it could.
So arguing that just because microevolution occurs, as the other poster did, that is 100% proof of macroevolution is quite absurd.
Well, I don't think that the existence of microevolution proves the existence of macroevolution. The evidence we have, including but not limited to the existence of microevolution, establishes beyond any reasonable doubt that macroevolution has happened.
proving common descent totally would not disprove special creation.
I agree. Nothing can disprove special creation. That's one reason why creationism isn't a scientific theory. (I don't mean to deprecate belief in special creation; it just ain't science).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 51 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 6:08 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 54 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 7:57 PM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 58 of 114 (212003)
05-27-2005 9:09 PM
Reply to: Message 54 by randman
05-27-2005 7:57 PM


"The evidence we have, including but not limited to the existence of microevolution, establishes beyond any reasonable doubt that macroevolution has happened."
Saying it doesn't make it so.
True. And responding what you did doesn't make it not so. What does make it so is the actual evidence and analyses that have been accumulated, tested, re-tested, and confirmed over many years. What could, but has not yet, make it false would be any of a large number of things … such as identification of a barrier between species or a limitation that prevents evolution from producing the variety we see. Not one or two examples, but establishment of an across-the board barrier to changes that can be produced by the mechanism of mutation (and other diversity generators) and natural selection. A lot of people assert a lot of things, but "scientific creationism" and ID boil down to but hot air (so far).
We know that evolution cannot produce things that are physically impossible, and it can't produce things that are totally different from the immediately preceding things ... and that's exactly what we see. OTOH, special creation could produce anything, including things we are sure are physically impossible.
But people argue all the time that special creation and things like YEC have been disproven by scientific research. You cannot have it both ways
I don't want it both ways; special creation, YEC, and ID are not science and cannot be disproved within the scientific arena. Heck, I can't think of any way to disprove them in any arena. You want to complain about people wanting to have it both ways, find some of those people and complain to them.
Personally, I think of "evolution" in a similar vein. It cannot be proven or disproven, but that doesn't stop some from declaring it is proven beyond even all "reasonable doubt"
To pick one of a multitude of examples, a modern rabbit skeleton in pre-Cambrian strata, with the fossil's provenance traced by professional scientists, and stratigraphy and multiple radiometric dating methods confirming the age, and nobody seeing any way it could be faked, would disprove the theory of evolution. The fact that evolution has taken place is data, not something that can be proven or disproven.
Almost all of those who are knowledgable about the field accept macroevolution. Almost all of those who deny macroevolution are demonstrably ignorant of the field, and even more of those who deny macroevolution obviously (and sometimes explicitly) do so because of non-scientific and non-falsifiable presuppositions. I don't say you should accept macroevolution becasue so many biologists do; but you should admit that it's established beyond reasonable doubt in science. You want to change that, you're going to have to play it the scientific way.
What do your think would falsify special creation? I'm not asking for anything that necessarily exists. Just something that you would accept as a falsification of special cration. If there's no such thing, you're not doing science.
But let me rephrase the larger point. Th thread title asks if evolution were proven true, and by evolution I assume that means the theory of common descent, then what would be the consequences as far as biblical belief, and I posted here to state that the concept of either/or, and even heck, one time-line, is not valid.
I somewhat agree with you. But if common descent were proven beyond a creationist's unreasonable shadow of a doubt, any "science" based on a literal interpretation of Genesis would be falsified. Of course, one would still be free to believe as one wishes … one just couldn't claim scientific justification for that belief. That includes ID as it's currently formulated.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 54 by randman, posted 05-27-2005 7:57 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 62 by randman, posted 05-28-2005 1:17 AM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 63 of 114 (212083)
05-28-2005 9:08 AM
Reply to: Message 62 by randman
05-28-2005 1:17 AM


"But if common descent were proven beyond a creationist's unreasonable shadow of a doubt, any "science" based on a literal interpretation of Genesis would be falsified. "
That's where you are wrong. Prove that. The simple truth is that despite what some may believe proving common descent, such as if we had a time machine and eons to watch and observe all life evolving, that would still not disprove a literal interpretation of Genesis.
You've missed a subtle point. I said "any 'science' based on a literal interpretation of Genesis would be falsified". You said "that would still not disprove a literal interpretation of Genesis." Those are not the same thing.
Science takes the most plausible and parsimonius explanation that fits all the data as tentative truth, always subject to future falsification. If common descent were proven beyond a creationist's unreasonable shadow of a doubt, or even if common descent were proven only to the point that it is now, a literal reading of Genesis would not (and does not now) fit all the data and would not be the most parsimonious explanation. That is one (not the only) reason that science will (and does) reject a literal reading of Genesis as tentative truth … because it just doesn't fit the data and it is not the most parsimonious explantion.
However, a literal reading of Genesis might be true. Science cannot disprove it. Given an omnipotent Being or Beings and sufficient miracles, anything is possible.
So I am definitely saying, again, that Science cannot disprove a literal reading of Genesis. But a literal reading of Genesis is not science.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 62 by randman, posted 05-28-2005 1:17 AM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 65 by jar, posted 05-28-2005 12:59 PM JonF has not replied
 Message 69 by randman, posted 05-28-2005 2:47 PM JonF has not replied

  
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