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Author Topic:   Pseudoskepticism and logic
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(2)
Message 228 of 562 (526637)
09-28-2009 9:26 PM
Reply to: Message 193 by Otto Tellick
09-27-2009 6:27 AM


At least an attempt at in depth analysis, rather than off the cuff stuff
Hi again Otto Tellick, interesting post, let me see if I can get through this today, and sorry I missed your previous post.
So now you want evidence that all human concepts of god are made up.
Not really, although if you have such evidence I would be happy to look at it. No, this issue is raised by those that claim that the evidence that there are no gods is that people make things up. If this is the evidence provided for the absolute absence of god/s, then it logically follows that you need to demonstrate that all concepts of god are made up, just for starters. If the person claims that there are no gods because SOME concepts are made up, then the argument falls on it's face, yes?
Well, at first blush that seems reminiscent of the Creationist who demands that all details of all evolutionary steps from fish to human be explicitly demonstrated with observable evidence, otherwise no evidence whatsoever can be deemed sufficient -- but that's just a knee-jerk reaction on my part. Moving on...
Sorry, but it is not that I am necessarily asking for evidence that all, rather it is that the burden of evidence is on those that make a claim.
For instance, the YEC making the claim that the absence of transitional fossils means that evolution is false, needs to show how this makes evolution false: he has a burden to provide substantiation for his claim.
Shall we look again at steps 9 and 10 of your epistemological algorithm? Or maybe it will suffice to consider that hypotheses, theories and similar assertions may justifiably be held when they are supported by / consistent with available evidence, and can be considered the better alternative in comparison to other assertions that are not consistent with the available evidence.
One is always allowed to state what they think the evidence leads to, however that is still just a subjective opinion, rather than evidence. The best you could justify from this kind of opinon based analysis is agnostic atheist or agnostic theist: unsure but tending to believe pro or con based on personal world view rather than objective empirical evidence.
... and can be considered the better alternative in comparison to other assertions that are not consistent with the available evidence.
Just to be clear: if you are convinced that an explanation is inconsistent with available evidence then you should be able to show that evidence contradicts the concept, but if it is just what you think based on your subjective view then you are still in agnostic territory.
Or Pseudoskeptic territory, thinking that your opinion is sufficient justification for your view of a negative (or positive) claim.
We have an assertion here that human conceptions of a deity are all made up.
Yes, and I've dealt with this several times already.
Daily observations of various people asserting the existence of a deity, and describing its attributes, leave no doubt that these individuals are indeed making this stuff up -- they make claims that directly contradict their own previous descriptions, descriptions provided by other people, and various written records that describe attributes of deities. And of course, these written records all conflict with each other, and many of them contain internal inconsistencies in their various descriptions of deities as well.
Which only demonstrates that the god in question is not well understood, that the conflicts and inconsistencies are likely based, perhaps, on partial understanding and perhaps strongly susceptible to individual world views for how that partial understanding is conveyed to others. It is natural for people to frame unusual experiences within their usual experiences and the cultural concepts of the time.
What you need to demonstrate is that there is not a kernel of truth to all of these descriptions, and if you cannot show that for ALL cases, then you have failed to make the case that several/many/most (you can't know how many) could have valid consistent concepts inside the overall description.
We could (as I suggested earlier) rely on just the logical and philosophical steps of your "algorithm", and observe that the notion of a "deity" has intrinsic properties in its "definition" that make it a "pseudo-entity", whose essential property is its lack of any objective property.
I'm assuming that what you "suggested earlier" was (Message 37):
RAZD writes:
...
9. if you have a concept that does not seem tractable to forming scientific tests of validity, either because it is inherently untestable, or because of a lack of technology to make the test, and where the experience has not been repeated, then one is left at (7), with an unknown possibility at best, and the concept should be considered on philosophical grounds rather than scientific, if one is interested in pursuing it,
10. such philosophical considerations, to be valid, must be logically consistent and not contradicted by any known evidence,
...
Okay, here's where we are: the theist has an assertion of an entity with deliberate intentions and direct influence, whose actual intentions and influences are essentially not knowable by humans. Is that philosophically tenable? I would say no, because it is essentially nonsensical.
Which is just your opinion again about the possibility of the positive hypothesis, and this is not evidence for a negative hypothesis. If something is in truth unknowable then the default logical position is agnostic.
A deity is an entity with willful intent, responsible for the creation of reality as we know it, and this attribute in itself means that we cannot observe it directly in any objective sense, let alone have any direct, verifiable knowledge of its intent.
Which is an excellent argument for being an agnostic on the issue: insufficient evidence pro or con to make a logical decision, so let's leave the question open and move on.
But allow me to propose an alternative explanation (a theory, perhaps) about deities, which is consistent with the available evidence, and will (I hope) lend some support to those of us at position #7 on the Dawkins scale. I'm sorry I cannot go into rigorous evidentiary detail, but I hope most of the steps will involve topics familiar to you, so you can assess the availability of relevant evidence on your own. My hope is that given this explanation, we can cover all known instances of posited deities, and explain quite a lot more in addition.
Another 7: absolutely convinced that atheism is true. Fascinating. Lead on.
Reviewing what we are able to deduce about the past 3 billion years of known life on Earth, based solely on objective evidence and plausible natural processes, we see a progression in the nature of "awareness" (knowledge of environment) attributable to life forms. For the multicellular forms that develop mobile behaviors and specialized cells for perception and movement, the development of awareness shows an increase in the acuity and diversity of perception, a broadening of the range of movement behaviors, and a progressive elaboration of the cells that mediate between perception and movement:
  • Initially, it's just a matter of chemical reactions to the medium in which the organism is situated; movement toward supportive environments and/or away from threatening environments is favored by natural selection.
  • Over time, as organisms and their behavior repertoires become more complex, perception expands to additional modalities: temperature, tactile contact, vibration, light/vision, acoustics/audition.
  • The specialization of cells that mediate between perception and behavior leads to greater advantage in natural selection as these cells form denser structures that improve both the speed and the appropriateness of responses to wider varieties of stimuli.
  • As some species develop "socialized" patterns of behavior, it's possible to discern notions of intention: patterns of behavior that reflect some degree of construction or planning of steps on the part of individuals.
  • At some point (with the introduction of Sapiens), the specialized mediation cells develop sufficient density and structure, and are connected to receptors and behaviors that are sufficiently tuned and adapted, to permit both the conception and communication of arbitrary symbols to represent and describe things and actions, leading also to the capacity for propositional logic and the ability to express questions and positive and negative assertions.
  • Having positive and negative assertions, and descriptions using arbitrary symbols, the Sapiens organism also has the capacity to posit entities that are not observable and have no objectively verifiable basis -- in effect, Sapiens can talk about things that do not exist.
That culminating ability is a natural by-product of a skill that offers obvious advantages for language users whose vocabulary lacks specific terms for describing or making assertions about novel objects or events.
Yes, intelligence and the ability to think with symbols appears to be an emergent property of life, and that the selection process seems to guide organisms to this end: there are many species able to communicate with symbols, and we are becoming adept at understanding parts of this ability in other species.
There is also evidence one could cite showing how the universe seems to be seeded with the building blocks for biological life based on amino acids wherever conditions are suitable.
One of the essential functions of science is to create or adapt vocabulary as needed to meet specific needs for the communication of objective knowledge, and part of this process is to carefully delineate what a given term does not refer to, as well as what it does refer to.
Including the skeptical analysis of every proposition to see if it holds up, and not by prejudging a pro or con position based on opinion and subjective preconceptions from one's worldview.
And whenever there is an hypothesis that doesn't have sufficient evidence pro or con, the scientific approach is to adopt a "we don't know" approach while waiting for evidence.
But when it comes to assertions about a deity -- a willful entity whose intentions are somehow served by the creation and progression of this physical reality that we occupy, whose nature and intentions are unknowable but are supposed to be relevant to us somehow -- we might as well be talking about those "colorless green ideas" made famous by Chomsky.
That's your definition, which of course doesn't mean that it is true or false, it's just one of the possibilities.
If you want to assert that I have not presented an adequately rational and verifiable account for the conclusion that "all human conceptions of a deity are made up", I hope you can describe what is lacking here.
Evidence that this actually applies to all concepts of deities - for that kernel of evidence is still missing, and what you still have is your opinion about the possibility.
If you are going to also assert that, because of whatever I may have left out, I must call myself an agnostic, meaning that I must allow some possibility for the existence of a deity, our discussion might be left in an odd state: your assertion entails some sort of description for a possible entity, and this description, in my view, must be made up, especially if it involves any attribution of willful intent, and more so if this intent is supposed to have direct relevance or impact on my day-to-day life. Conversely if you want a maximally "generalized" entity -- this deity is simply the thing that accounts for everything we can't explain on objective, naturalistic grounds -- you're just pushing a god-of-the-gaps idea, and I don't see any value in that.
And yet curiously, neither the opening post nor strict logic, requires a positive hypothesis to have a negative hypothesis, all it needs is a negative hypothesis for the burden of proof to kick in: you have made a claim that does not appear to be based on evidence, and unless you can supply the actual objective empirical data that demonstrates the validity of your position, then the invisible chasm of pseudoskepticism opens under you.
Bear in mind that if there is any basis at all for the opposite position ("not all human conceptions of a deity are made up"), this would need to be followed up with how these non-made-up conceptions were formed, (Be specific, so we know how to recognize the difference between made-up and not-made-up!)
Ah, but you see we are not talking about the well-known part of making a positive claim and supporting it with evidence, we are talking about the equal burden to provide supporting evidence for ANY negative claim.
If you are making the assertion that the concepts of X are all made up then the burden is on you to support your claim with more than opinion.
If you make the claim that Y does not exist because all concepts of X are made up then you ALSO need to show how this "X-is-made-up" claim shows that Y does not exist.
Bottom line: Onifre and I (and some others here, presumably including Straggler) will continue to allow that you may hold any personal (internal, subjective) notions you like regarding the possible existence and attributes of deities, according to your own "idiolectal" gyrations of entities defined only by negations, but we won't agree that your personal notions are sufficient reason to label us as "agnostic", because the only basis for that label is your own personal notion of a deity.
Curiously, that is not the argument on this thread. My beliefs are irrelevant to why you claim to be an atheist - I'm betting you considered yourself an atheist long before you met me - and thus my beliefs and personal opinions are irrelevant to your need to demonstrate evidence for your non-neutral position, to answer your burden of proof.
One last point to elaborate my evolutionary explanation of awareness, for those who are concerned about the notion of purpose: The development of intentional behavior brings with it the ability to form a sense of purpose, and to perceive purpose in the actions of others. Purpose is an "emergent property" of Sapiens, and (presumably) of any other organism that might happen to follow a similar path of cognitive development. As members of the Sapiens species, we establish purpose. We create it.
Amusingly I fully agree with your evolutionary explanation, as it is part of my personal opinion of reality.
As Dawkins would say, there is no need to posit a deity. To the extent that our sense of purpose leads to behavioral patterns conducive to our continued existence as a species, natural selection favors this property of our current evolutionary status.
If there is no need to posit a deity, there is also no need to posit the actual absence of a deity, and a skeptic can just say there is no reason to form a decision at this time.
The default logical position is agnostic until there is reason\evidence\proof that pro or con is a supported claim.
Pretending otherwise, for any of your beliefs, while continuing to apply this same standard to science or the beliefs of other people is being a pseudoskeptic.
We have some ability to mold our sense of purpose -- and our particular intentions -- in order to achieve the best overall result for survival as members of a dominant species living in a highly interdependent network of countless species on a finite planet. We are learning that natural selection can (and often does) produce better results than intentional design, and that greater diversity is generally better than reduced diversity.
Again, I fully agree: if the purpose of the universe is to develop sentient beings capable of spectuacular thoughts, then evolution is a self-repairing mechanism that doesn't need constant tweaking.
In this context, something that essentially amounts to the golden rule is our best first intention, applicable not only to other people but to life in general, as far as this is possible. Ultimately, "do unto others..." isn't a religious doctrine; it is an ecological imperative.
With different results for different species eh?
Recap: Another 7: absolutely convinced that atheism is true. No evidence that the claim is true other than personal opinion.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 193 by Otto Tellick, posted 09-27-2009 6:27 AM Otto Tellick has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 233 by Otto Tellick, posted 09-29-2009 12:38 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 229 of 562 (526640)
09-28-2009 9:46 PM
Reply to: Message 211 by mike the wiz
09-28-2009 7:22 AM


Hi Mike, nice to see you back in the fold.
That's quite correct, logically speaking. People usually think that a negative claim is much better than a positive one. But look at the moon conspiracy. They claim we didn't go to the moon.
Your opening message seems completely sound as it's easily provable.
Yes there are numerous examples of negative claims and their evident need to meet the burden of proof or substantiation.
Good to read you, I will read more of the topic now.
Catch ya later.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 211 by mike the wiz, posted 09-28-2009 7:22 AM mike the wiz has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 230 of 562 (526646)
09-28-2009 9:59 PM
Reply to: Message 213 by Kitsune
09-28-2009 10:39 AM


Re: Zen Deism == agnostic theism
Thanks LindaLou, also for the POTM on the fraud thread post/s. Too bad my last was hidden - it took me almost a whole day to assemble.
Thanks for the post. I don't know how you write consistently detailed and well reasoned responses when there are so many people arguing against you. I find it overwhelming when that happens to me.
Well it does get tiresome when people keep making the same rebutted arguments or insist on being off topic ... but then one of the effects of cognitive dissonance is to try to avoid the topic.
I didn't pursue the chi discussion either because I figured people would start trotting out studies that purport to prove that acupuncture is no better than placebo, etc. I'm sure you could find those if you looked but it would be a long debate to have to explain to closed-minded people why I accept the possible reality of chi despite that, and then we're getting into faults and bias in studies, and I've been there before . . . wasn't pleasant.
Pity, it seems to be something that transcends some religions.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 213 by Kitsune, posted 09-28-2009 10:39 AM Kitsune has replied

Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 231 of 562 (526647)
09-28-2009 10:04 PM
Reply to: Message 223 by Straggler
09-28-2009 6:59 PM


Re: Special Pleading for the atheist position to excuse the absence of evidence?
Curiously, still no evidence for the negative hypothesis.
Pseudoskepticism - Wikipedia
quote:
Pseudoskepticism
The term pseudoskepticism was popularized and characterized by Marcello Truzzi in response to skeptics who, in his opinion, made negative claims without bearing the burden of proof of those claims.[9]
While a Professor of Sociology at Eastern Michigan University in 1987, Truzzi gave the following description of pseudoskeptics in the journal Zetetic Scholar which he founded:
In science, the burden of proof falls upon the claimant; and the more extraordinary a claim, the heavier is the burden of proof demanded. The true skeptic takes an agnostic position, one that says the claim is not proved rather than disproved. He asserts that the claimant has not borne the burden of proof and that science must continue to build its cognitive map of reality without incorporating the extraordinary claim as a new "fact." Since the true skeptic does not assert a claim, he has no burden to prove anything. He just goes on using the established theories of "conventional science" as usual. But if a critic asserts that there is evidence for disproof, that he has a negative hypothesis --saying, for instance, that a seeming psi result was actually due to an artifact--he is making a claim and therefore also has to bear a burden of proof.
— Marcello Truzzi, On Pseudo-Skepticism, Zetetic Scholar, 12/13, pp3-4, 1987
The term pseudoskepticism has found occasional use in fringe fields where opposition from those within the scientific mainstream or from scientific skeptics is strong.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 223 by Straggler, posted 09-28-2009 6:59 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 232 of 562 (526648)
09-28-2009 10:12 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by AdminNosy
09-19-2009 5:00 PM


Moderation may be needed to keep on the topic
Hi AdminNosy,
There seem to be a growing number of posts that are not dealing with the topic.
Message 1
quote:
Taking these three statements:
  • The true skeptic takes an agnostic position, one that says the claim is not proved rather than disproved. He asserts that the claimant has not borne the burden of proof and that science must continue to build its cognitive map of reality without incorporating the extraordinary claim as a new "fact." Since the true skeptic does not assert a claim, he has no burden to prove anything.
  • But if a critic asserts that there is evidence for disproof, that he has a negative hypothesis --saying, for instance, that a seeming psi result was actually due to an artifact--he is making a claim and therefore also has to bear a burden of proof.
  • There are some members of the skeptics’ groups who clearly believe they know the right answer prior to inquiry. They appear not to be interested in weighing alternatives, investigating strange claims, or trying out psychic experiences or altered states for themselves (heaven forbid!), but only in promoting their own particular belief structure and cohesion . . .
People have no trouble addressing this issue when creationists try to claim that evolution is not a true science etc etc - to provide evidence that disproves evolution, and the same should hold for any philosophical or logical position.
Message 199
quote:
Curiously THE TOPIC is providing evidence for any negative hypothesis is just as much of a burden as providing evidence for a positive hypothesis.
  • strong atheists - predominantly atheist, with little or no doubt (formerly 6&7), has a negative hypothesis based on evidence. Bears burden to show evidence.
  • agnostic atheists - predominantly agnostic leaning to atheist (formerly 5), has a neutral hypothesis with a belief that a negative hypothesis MAY be true based on subjective opinion.
  • agnostics - pure agnostic, no need to lean either way (formerly 4), has a neutral hypothesis, that more evidence is needed before a rational decision can be made.
  • agnostic theist - predominantly agnostic, leaning to theist (formerly 3), has a neutral hypothesiswith a belief that a positive hypothesis MAY be true based on subjective opinion.
  • strong theist - predominantly theist, with no or little doubt (formerly 1&2), has a positive hypothesis based on evidence. Bears burden to show evidence.
Negative claim = burden to show evidence or proof of the claim.
Positive claim = burden to show evidence or proof of the claim.
Neutral claim = no burden, and no assertion that pro or con is necessarily truer than the other.
This isn't about positive claims, but about the burden of proof\substantiation for negative claims.
A pseudoskeptic claims something is true (pro or con) that is not supported by the evidence.
Can I ask that all discussions not about the burden of proof or substantiation for negative claims and hypothesis be moderated?
Thanks.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 326 of 562 (526968)
09-29-2009 9:41 PM
Reply to: Message 194 by Modulous
09-27-2009 4:19 PM


Re: relative scale, implies relative justification
Hi Modulus. Sometimes I feel like I'll never get through the mail, because people keep saying the same thing in different ways. It might be time for triage.
Or to successfully communicate its properties through any medium (and I think we can say it is unlikely for someone to even imagine a creature, significantly different from known ones, accurately).
We know that creatures exist.
Therefore, it must be even less likely for someone to successfully imagine, conceive or describe an entity the likes of which are not only unknown but who is inherently unknowable.
Yes, the fact that we are unable to describe and draw creatures we have not seen does not mean that such creatures do not exist.
The same can be said for alien life on other planets, life so alien perhaps that it is not carbon based: how would one begin to attempt to describe or draw such an organism?
We do not know that such creatures exist, we have no evidence of such life forming, yet it is not insane to posit that such life may be found in the universe. Is it rational to conclude that such life could not exist?
I don't consider the negative position to be true. I consider it is more likely true than the positive position.
But that is not really the question here: that is covered by agnostic theists and agnostic atheists, each considering their subjective based belief more likely than the other option.
The question is whether you consider the negative position more valid than the neutral position, this does not apply to the agnostic theist and the agnostic atheist, so if you do consider the negative position more valid than the neutral position then that separates you from being an agnostic atheist.
It also means you need something more substantial than the subjective based beliefs of the agnostic atheist in order to reach that different level of negative position.
As I said, if you want to consider me a 5, go right ahead. But I'm a 5 that believes that the probability of a god existing is low and I live my life as if a god does not exist.
Again, if your probability analysis is entirely subjective and just "dressed up" opinion, then all you can rationally justify is the agnostic atheist position, not one that claims that the negative position is more valid than the neutral position.
I do admit the uncertainty. Which is why I agree that the position should include a phrase such as "I cannot know with complete certainty but..."
...
I am an agnostic.
And I don't believe a god exists.
And I believe it is unlikely that a god exists.
...
No RAZD, I conclude that the negative hypothesis is more likely than the positive hypothesis AND that "I can't know", by virtue of the entity in question having properties and actions that are 'unknowable'.
Again the question is not relative to a positive hypothesis, but relative to the neutral position, the "I don't know enough to know" position.
It is entirely possible to have a negative hypothesis about something without having the positive hyposthesis.
For instance one can have the "I am not a pseudoskeptic" hypothesis without anyone saying they are. Curiously if that is all they say, then they have failed to support the hypothesis.
The issue of the thread is about Pseudoskepticism. You seem to be of the opinion that position 6 on the Dawkins scale qualifies as Pseudoskepticism. That is to say, we are debating whether or not I am making a negative claim and whether or not I have provided evidence that supports the claim I am making.
Think on it like this, person X has a religious experience which they say came from God Almighty.
Person Y comes along and says, "hmm, I wonder what caused that religious experience." Person Z says "It might have been a temporal lobe seizure."
"Maybe, ", says Y, "but I'm not sure that is the most likely result. It might have been a moment of temporary but dramatic elation that was interpreted by the brain in the only way it was able to make sense of it."
"Hey,", says X, "Maybe it was God!"
"Well, of course it might have been", reply X and Z, "but we have no evidence such a creature exists. Why postulate that it does in order to explain your experience? Your hypothesis is no better than any other unverifiable and unfalsifiable hypothesis someone could come up with. It might be true, but it's not bloomin' likely, mate."
Nor do we have actual objective evidence for your postulated counter claims either, so they are also not "bloomin likely" and you are left with both claims in the same uncertainty.
Once again the logical position is the neutral hypothesis, the we don't know for sure position.
So, having provided the assumptions of my calculation you have the information you need. It is up to you to decide how many possible unfalsifiable and unverifiable entities there are that are not 'god' and then we can determine what the chances are that if one such concept exists, that it is god that is the one.
If you are asking me to do your work for you, then I must conclude that you haven't done it. Sorry you were the one to claim that you had a calculation: I want to see your results. It's your assertion.
It seems to me, that the number of things which would not qualify as a 'god' but are univerifiable and unfalsifiable is rather high.
And do you feel a need to reject them - sorry, claim that their probability is extremely low - before even hearing what they are on this basis?
I wasn't trying to refute you RAZD. Just pointing it out. You didn't seem so worried about all the other probability statements in the scale, but according to your own argument you should have taken issue with all of them. I'm glad to see you agree.
Correct, I don't see the probability numbers as being necessary for the central agnostic positions, as it should be logical to conclude that if you don't have enough evidence to conclude pro or con that then you don't have enough evidence to calculate any kind of reasonable probability.
I also don't see it as defining the two extreme positions either. All that is needed is the assertion that the pro or con position is more likely than the neutral position to have an assertion that needs to be justified with logical proof or substantiating evidence.
For any given phenomenon, there exist many hypothesis that might explain it. Some hypotheses can be whittled down (somewhat, but not entirely) by falsification (of course, the falsifying evidence might itself turn out to be erroneous so we can never technically 100% reject a hypothesis). Then there are some hypotheses for which no evidence exists and an attempt is made to gather such evidence (one way or another).
Then there are those hypotheses that cannot be verified or falsified. There are countless such hypotheses. The one that you (or someone else) propose might be true, but then it might be any of the other countless possibilities. The probability of drawing into that sea of possibilities and drawing out the one(s) that happen to be true is very low.
Which is why an open-minded skeptic would say that there is not enough evidence to know pro or con, and thus there is no reason to make a decision at this time.
If you want evidence that the number of unfalsifiable or unverifiable entities is high, I can try to provide some evidence and an argument as to why that is sufficient.
And yet you seem to be of the opinion that - because something is unfalsifiable or unverifiable - it is more likely to be false than true, no matter what the concept is or whether you have even heard it yet.
If you want evidence that satisfies other hypotheses for the phenomena that people associate with a god, I can try to do that, though some has been presented already.
So - what is it you want, if it has not been provided already? Or - what is lacking in the reasoning behind the evidence?
The empirical objective evidence that can be shown to apply to all cases. The calculations, the logically valid conclusions.
Note that one can provide proofs all night long that 3 is not 2, but that has no effect of the validity or either 3 or 2.
Something better than
  • people make things up
  • people claim to have religious experiences
  • therefore all religious experiences are made up
Something better than "the absence of evidence is evidence of absence" - something substantial.
Enjoy.
Edited by RAZD, : all

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 194 by Modulous, posted 09-27-2009 4:19 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 343 by Modulous, posted 09-30-2009 5:08 AM RAZD has replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 327 of 562 (526972)
09-29-2009 9:51 PM
Reply to: Message 202 by Phage0070
09-27-2009 10:37 PM


Re: wonderful - now let's revisit the topic
Hi Phage0070, still with the incredulity argument?
So would a god. If you think my pit throws the rules in the air, a deity blows them out of this world.
And this would change the agnostic position being the default mode how?
The default state of claims is assumed non-existence.
No the default state is the neutral one of not knowing unless there is evidence to base a conclusion on.
A claim that has no evidence to support it has nothing to increase its probability ...
BINGO.
The claim that there are no gods has no evidence to support it.
The claim that the negative position is more rational than the neutral position is a claim that needs to be substantiated.
or you fall into the pseudoskeptic chasm.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 202 by Phage0070, posted 09-27-2009 10:37 PM Phage0070 has not replied

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 Message 372 by Rrhain, posted 09-30-2009 6:22 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 328 of 562 (526974)
09-29-2009 9:56 PM
Reply to: Message 208 by bluegenes
09-28-2009 3:56 AM


Re: How many 50%s in 100%?
Hi bluegenes,
Which you've thrown out because you've finally realised that you cannot be "4" (50/50) for more than two mutually exclusive god propositions. Well done!
No, I've thrown it out because it was not part of the original post, and is only causing confusion or opportunity for people to harp on it instead of deal with the issue, as you have done.
I did.
Curiously though, what you did NOT do was provide any evidence to substantiate a negative position.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 208 by bluegenes, posted 09-28-2009 3:56 AM bluegenes has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 329 of 562 (526975)
09-29-2009 10:00 PM
Reply to: Message 209 by Rrhain
09-28-2009 4:55 AM


Negative hypothesis = burden
Hi Rrhain,
Sorry, but I am not impressed. Truzzi says anyone with a negative hypothesis that doesn't substantiate it with evidence is a pseudoskeptic.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 209 by Rrhain, posted 09-28-2009 4:55 AM Rrhain has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 373 by Rrhain, posted 09-30-2009 6:27 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 330 of 562 (526978)
09-29-2009 10:08 PM
Reply to: Message 235 by Otto Tellick
09-29-2009 1:28 AM


Re: Golden Rule? Thanks.
Thanks Otto, for both replies.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 235 by Otto Tellick, posted 09-29-2009 1:28 AM Otto Tellick has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 331 of 562 (526980)
09-29-2009 10:13 PM
Reply to: Message 239 by Straggler
09-29-2009 4:15 AM


Re: finally, a description
Good grief you got a description of RAZD's deity out of him!
Really?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 239 by Straggler, posted 09-29-2009 4:15 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 395 by Straggler, posted 10-01-2009 6:33 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 332 of 562 (526982)
09-29-2009 10:24 PM
Reply to: Message 247 by bluegenes
09-29-2009 6:45 AM


Re: Theism is a negative position; against nature.
Hi bluegenes, seems like it inevitably raises its head eh?
Indeed. The existence of supernatural beings of all classes cannot be disproved. The true skeptic would regard all evidenceless supernatural propositions as equally unlikely (gods would be no more likely than fairies or Santa's elves). Anyone who broke that rule and claimed skepticism could be described as a pseudo-skeptic.
Zero evidence is zero evidence, and personal desire and/or cultural background shouldn't come into it.
So the absence of evidence is evidence of absence?
The true skeptic regards any and all "evidenceless" propositions as neither true nor false, for the simple reason that there is insufficient evidence to conclude pro or con on the issue.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 247 by bluegenes, posted 09-29-2009 6:45 AM bluegenes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 348 by bluegenes, posted 09-30-2009 8:58 AM RAZD has replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 333 of 562 (526986)
09-29-2009 10:35 PM
Reply to: Message 255 by Stile
09-29-2009 8:51 AM


Re: Your imagination is rational?
Hi Stile, thanks for joining.
Are you sure you want to use the word "rational" in regards to an idea that cannot be differentiated from pure human imagination?
That's a strange definition of the word "rational" you've got there.
Are you claiming that to say "I don't know, I don't have enough information" it is irrational?
The first step is to make sure that what you're talking about isn't pure imagination. Once you do that, then we can start discussing the "rational" possibilities of existence.
Curiously you are claiming that it is "pure imagination" and thus need to support your claim with evidence.
The skeptic would say that they don't know if it is imagination or not.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 255 by Stile, posted 09-29-2009 8:51 AM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 347 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 8:41 AM RAZD has replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 334 of 562 (526989)
09-29-2009 10:49 PM
Reply to: Message 261 by Kitsune
09-29-2009 9:34 AM


Re: Agnosticism vs. pseudoskepticism
Hi LindaLou, nice post
There are now two people on this thread who seem to have had a lightbulb moment -- that's cool. First Otto Tellick in Message 233, and now Onfire:
Unintended results are always welcome. We also see some people digging trenches of denial, some of them expected.
Confirmation Bias and Cognitive Dissonance are not the tools of an open-mind or honest skeptic, and continued belief in the face of contradictory evidence is delusion.
Curiously I originally put that last bit together for people like Archangel.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 261 by Kitsune, posted 09-29-2009 9:34 AM Kitsune has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 374 by Rrhain, posted 09-30-2009 6:31 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 335 of 562 (526991)
09-29-2009 10:55 PM
Reply to: Message 266 by New Cat's Eye
09-29-2009 10:19 AM


Exactly
Hi Catholic Scientist, thanks for the help.
If you're not going to use the definitions set out in the OP then GTFO.
Curiously reminiscent of creationists trying to redefine evolution ... for the same end, the strawman argument.
Change the definition, show that the new definition result in a problem for your belief, and feel that you have somehow reinvented logic.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 266 by New Cat's Eye, posted 09-29-2009 10:19 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

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