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Author Topic:   Austerity measures have they ever saved an economy?
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 14 of 168 (648761)
01-18-2012 10:35 AM
Reply to: Message 12 by ramoss
01-18-2012 8:58 AM


We need to get rid of the Bush tax cuts.. and also cut spending.
Public spending is private income, so how does cutting public spending help the economy? Please be specific.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by ramoss, posted 01-18-2012 8:58 AM ramoss has replied

Replies to this message:
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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 16 of 168 (648781)
01-18-2012 12:29 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by Jon
01-18-2012 11:46 AM


Re: Cutting spending and raising taxes
Wow, Jon.
That's surprisingly liberal of you, if you don't mind me saying so. I largely agree, of course.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by Jon, posted 01-18-2012 11:46 AM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 17 by Jon, posted 01-18-2012 2:20 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 18 of 168 (648796)
01-18-2012 2:56 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by Jon
01-18-2012 2:20 PM


Re: Cutting spending and raising taxes
I'm not sure why you think I'm a conservative.
Do I keep mixing you up with someone else? Weird. Ok, I'll try to remember next time (and figure out who the hell I'm thinking of!)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by Jon, posted 01-18-2012 2:20 PM Jon has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(3)
Message 27 of 168 (648853)
01-18-2012 10:24 PM
Reply to: Message 23 by RobS
01-18-2012 8:12 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
Austrian school of economics is the best way to go..
Austrian economics has not only failed in every possible way, it's not only been revealed as a pseudointellectual fraud, but its sole appeal is to people who can't do any math.
The government does not earn this income
Certainly it does, in the same way that the man who owns the marketplace earns a portion of the business conducted there. The government makes roads, mints coin, maintains civil order - all necessary preconditions for the transaction of business. Even libertarians have to admit the existence of a government for the purpose of defending property rights, at the very least; to do so requires the monopoly of force so there's your police, your armies, etc. None of that stuff is free.
Now here's the rub, if the government get's $35 from Joe Public it is purely because Joe Public earned $100, leaving Joe with $65. If Mr Taxman then spend $70 it means that Joe Public will have to pay that back over time in increased taxes.
Like I said, Austrian economics is for people who can't do math. $100 - $35 + $70 = $135; the government budgetary policy where the government spends a deficit - let us roughly refer to this as "Keynsian", though it's not, not exactly - actually leaves Joe Public $35 richer. Why? because Joe Public is who provides the goods and services the government buys with the money. Government spending is public income.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 23 by RobS, posted 01-18-2012 8:12 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 38 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 8:24 AM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(3)
Message 42 of 168 (648896)
01-19-2012 9:01 AM
Reply to: Message 38 by RobS
01-19-2012 8:24 AM


Re: No Income No Spend
Austrian economics, unlike communism has never been tested in practice anywhere at any time.
So, in fact, your own position is that Austrian economics has never succeeded or even convinced anybody to use it.
This is not how the government operates, this is more aptly comparable to Vinny dropping in at your stall to see if everythings 'OK', "don't worry" he says, "I'll make sure no one rips you off, but you will need to pay for this". Try saying no to Vinny and see what happens, ditto with the Gov.
You're free to say no at any time to the US government, and the way you do that is by moving to another country and renouncing US citizenship. There's a "marketplace" of nations, each competing for your business, and if you don't like the way business is done in one country, there are hundreds of others. But if you're going to continue to live within the envelope of security and community established by US laws and the US monopoly on force, then you have to pay your America bill. Otherwise you're stealing, same as stealing cable.
As far as my math is concerned, it's spot on (maybe crashfrog has whiplash...), read the post again. $100 - $35 = $65, but if gov spends $70 the $35 is debt which Joe will have to pay back in the future. If you've had any accounting training you will know you cannot simply ignore the -$35.
I'm not. You're the one ignoring numbers. Specifically, you're the one ignoring that when the government spends money, it spends it for Joe Public's goods and services. So Joe Public is taxed $35 on his $100, but the govenment's deficit spending puts an extra $35 in his pocket ($70 - $35.)
Your math is completely wrong, because you assume that when the government spends money, it "spends" by taking that money and dropping it into a black hole. But that's nonsense. When the government spends money, it spends it at businesses owned by Americans. It spends it on salaries to pay Americans. It spends it on services provided by Americans. Public spending is private income.
If we insist on having a government then we must equally insist that the government remains in surplus, and keeps taxes to a minimum.
To have a government persistently in surplus means that you're advocating for a system where people transfer their wealth to a government pile that keeps getting larger and larger. Why should anyone do that? And how does that square with your notion of a "smaller government"? Forget "accounting", you don't even know how to add and subtract.
If you don't like that it's probably because you have let the collectivism of christianity warp your sense of reality
Um, no, I'm an atheist. But I'm also very much a collectivist, because it's just a matter of biological reality that human beings, like our evolutionary cousins, are a collectivist species. Sorry, it's just the way we are. To pretend otherwise is just another example of how Randroids like yourself completely ignore physical reality.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 38 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 8:24 AM RobS has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 47 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 12:12 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 49 of 168 (648929)
01-19-2012 12:15 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by New Cat's Eye
01-19-2012 12:12 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
For example, if the government spends $600 on a hammer, and the hammer-maker gets his $20 for it, what happens to that other $580?
If the contractor bills $600 for a government hammer, he gets $600 for a government hammer. Why do you think he's only getting $20?
(Government requisitions don't really work like that anymore, but it's true that the government frequently pays more for things due to laws about what the government can buy. For instance, there's a law that says that if the government buys something it has to be made in the US.)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 12:12 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 52 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 12:53 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 50 of 168 (648933)
01-19-2012 12:19 PM
Reply to: Message 46 by RobS
01-19-2012 12:00 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
How many toll roads have you driven on that suffer the same problems?
Um, all of them.
Everywhere you find capitalism you find freedom, and to the extent you find capitalism you find the same degree of freedom.
Then where does slavery come from? Nothing could be more "capitalist" than the buying and selling of people, right?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 46 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 12:00 PM RobS has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 54 of 168 (648944)
01-19-2012 1:14 PM
Reply to: Message 52 by New Cat's Eye
01-19-2012 12:53 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
I guess it could've been phrased better as it costing the government $600 to give the contractor $20 for a hammer.
Yeah but... it doesn't.
I mean I know what you think you're talking about, but there's a lot less waste in government appropriations than you'd know from the media. People overestimate the amount of government waste by about two orders of magnitude. And the waste overwhelmingly takes the form of overpaying vendors, so that "wasted money" goes into the pockets of whoever is providing government services. It's not just being thrown into a hole.
I don't know how bad it is, and I doubt it really costs $600 for a hammer, but I don't think that all of the "spending" (or costs) of the government contributes to private income.
Well, obviously it does. Where else would it go? Into a hole? If it's just being moved from one agency to the next - say, my wife's department at Walter Reed needs a box of pens, so they pay the General Services Administration for the box of pens - viewed from the perspective of the Federal Government in total it's a wash. It's not really "spending" any more than it's spending when you go to an ATM and transfer $40 from your checking account to your wallet.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 12:53 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 56 by Perdition, posted 01-19-2012 1:19 PM crashfrog has not replied
 Message 61 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 4:43 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(3)
Message 58 of 168 (648950)
01-19-2012 1:33 PM
Reply to: Message 57 by RobS
01-19-2012 1:23 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
.a good business man knows that if he reinvests his profits then he stands to make more money...hang on wait...what happens when he reinvests his income...oh that's right YOU get a chance to get a job.
Do I? What if he invests it in Treasury bonds? Investment doesn't always mean "employment." Why would it?
Maybe he buys a new machine which allows more widgets to be made, so now he can increase his output at a lower price allowing for him to drop his selling price to allow for lower earners to buy his product thereby increasing overall market share.
Well, ok, but if that machine had already been manufactured and was sitting in a warehouse waiting to be sold, how does his "investment" in it employ anybody? It seems like your own example of a business investment is one that, at the margin at least, doesn't employ even a single additional person.
You're not very good at this, are you? I'm curious, RobS, who sent you to an evolution site with stale glibertarian talking points? You're clearly just parroting things you heard second-hand, because you're not even getting the points right.
As said before...it cannot be proven as bad or worse if it's never been tested..
That is, of course, what they say about socialism.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 57 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 1:23 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 59 by jar, posted 01-19-2012 1:43 PM crashfrog has not replied
 Message 67 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 6:39 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 62 of 168 (648991)
01-19-2012 5:13 PM
Reply to: Message 61 by New Cat's Eye
01-19-2012 4:43 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
So then its not really spending... but if you gotta move $600 around to spend $20, then surely there's some inefficiencies there that could be trimmed down, no?
You're going to have to be a lot more specific about what you think "government waste" entails, because if I continue to guess at what you mean by "moving $600 to spend $20" I'm just going to confuse you even further.
What other people usually mean by "government waste", what they're usually using the "$600 hammer" to illustrate, is that the government "wastes money" by paying vendors far, far more than the going market rate. I.e. I can buy a hammer at Home Depot for $20, but if the government wants a hammer, the hammer vendor winds up being paid $600.
There's various reasons that this isn't true anymore (and, technically, wasn't ever true), although its still true that if the government wants to buy something that the GSA doesn't keep in stock, they usually have to go through a time-consuming requisitions and bid process instead of just sending someone to the Home Depot, but that has a lot to do with laws meant to ensure that when the government spends money, it spends it at American businesses that employ American workers.
You have this notion that somehow the government pays $600 for a hammer, but somehow the vendor only gets $20 and the rest disappears into the ether, somehow. Trying to unpack your meaning seems, so far, only to have resulted in you getting a completely wrong idea about what I'm trying to tell you, so let's stop for a minute and instead of guessing at what I think you think is going on in the government, why don't you explain what you actually mean by "government waste"?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by New Cat's Eye, posted 01-19-2012 4:43 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 63 by hooah212002, posted 01-19-2012 5:34 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 64 by 1.61803, posted 01-19-2012 5:36 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 65 of 168 (649007)
01-19-2012 6:28 PM
Reply to: Message 63 by hooah212002
01-19-2012 5:34 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
A Humvee isn't like a Ford Focus, right? You can't just use off-the-shelf parts. The outfit that makes the headlights makes them only for the US government, they have to meet a very specific set of (expensive) specifications, and they don't expect that the Army needs a million of them, so they can't take advantage of the economy of scale.
It's not waste, per se - the headlights for a Humvee really are that expensive. There's no market rate because there's no "Humvee headlights" market outside of the US Army. (The Hummers civilians can drive have different headlights because its actually a different vehicle, as I'm sure you're aware.)
The housing thing, I have no idea about. But just because you were billed for that doesn't mean that's what it costs.
There's just not all that much waste, not as much as everyone seems to think. It's less than .1% of the Federal budget. Americans in polls regularly estimate that the percentage of waste goes as high as 50% - just absurd.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by hooah212002, posted 01-19-2012 5:34 PM hooah212002 has replied

Replies to this message:
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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 69 of 168 (649012)
01-19-2012 6:56 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by RobS
01-19-2012 6:39 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
I said a good business man...
Why wouldn't a good businessman prefer a solid, low-risk investment?
And why should we base tax policy on the hope that our businessmen will be good businessmen? Doesn't the fact that Wall Street ruined our economy by making bad bets on housing prices indicate that, in most cases, our top businessmen aren't actually very good at it? How about the fact that, averaged together, managed mutual funds have no better return than the market as a whole? That certainly suggests that the Investor Class is just guessing, and some of them do better than others just by luck.
Why should I believe that a businessman is any less likely to be an idiot than anybody else? Please be specific.
I never professed to be, however your statement implies that you seem to think you are, or perhaps that you think you are qualified to adjudicate.
The only thing I'm qualified to do is recognize when the stuff you're saying is dumb. And it is - you've not thought through any of this at all.
I'm happy to concede that I am not certain about any of my opnions, but the best I can do is apply reason and logic to my arguments...
You might want to go back and work on your math before you graduate to logic. For instance: what is 100 - 35 + 70?
obviously you're not used to having discussions with people who have differing opinions to you
You understand that you're talking to me at an Evolution Vs. Creation debate website, right? The notion that someone might disagree with me is something I've faced before, believe me. Hell, I'm married. To an actual woman and everything.
Trust me, I've been disagreed with. If you're looking for someone to pat you on the head and call you a special snowflake, you've come to the wrong place and you're talking to the wrong guy. You're apparently looking for condescension and patronization. I prefer to show my opponents the respect of grappling with their ideas in an honest and direct way.
I'm neither a conformist nor a neoclassicist. I told you already - I'm a collectivist.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 6:39 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 71 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 7:49 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 72 of 168 (649021)
01-19-2012 7:50 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by RobS
01-19-2012 7:04 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
I'm not disputing that the govt spreads money into the economy by paying people and companies but it does so via a very inefficient not for profit route which means that at each change of hands the added value that would otherwise be generated by all the various transaction leading up the the purchase of the product is lost when the govt steps in and does it.
Lost?
Where does it go? Please be specific. Is it burned? Lost at sea? Dropped in a hole?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 7:04 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 74 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 8:08 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(3)
Message 73 of 168 (649022)
01-19-2012 8:06 PM
Reply to: Message 71 by RobS
01-19-2012 7:49 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
Low risk? Not according to Standard and Poor's.
But certainly according to the billions of dollars that responded to the S&P downgrade by investing even more in government bonds.
Hey, I could be wrong, but I thought you were for the wisdom of the market and against top-down dictation by know-it-all elites.
I never did, I happened to be referring to a good business man for the sake of argument.
Well, then let's also specify a good bureaucrat, or a benevolent dictator. Let's further assume that Santa Claus will come and deliver everyone their heart's desire. With such assumptions we can prove anything we like, but what relevance will it have to the real world?
Austrian economics is strictly against govt bail outs, if your kid keeps sticking his hand in the cooky jar and never has to deal with any consequences he will continue to do so...but I suppose collectivists are in favour of sharing the burdens of stupidity.
This collectivist believes that we shouldn't let our desire for delivering comeuppance, or our fears of moral hazard, allow our economy to descend into a liquidity crisis that threatens the ability of any and all corporations to make payroll and pay their invoices. I have no love of bailouts, I assure you. But the TARP bailouts passed by Bush were a necessary evil. (What wasn't necessary was free money handed out with no interference in executive bonus contracts, but what do you expect from libertarians?)
Just as I said before, you obviously know it all.
I know it just looks that way because I know more than you.
You're welcome to use whatever passes for logic in your household as will I, and since mine has served my very well thus far I will continue to apply it vigorously.
Man, you're hitting all the bingo spaces, aren't you? I think "confusing household accounting with nation-sized economics" is square B21. If you tell me that EPA regulations strangle businesses, I think I'll win an Outback Steakhouse gift card.
The biggest difference, of course, between the management of the American economy and the management of the Crashfrog household is that, in the Crashfrog household, our debts are not denominated in a currency that we ourselves are empowered to print.
That actually matters quite a bit. That's not to say that the solution to all problems is to print money, but monetary policy is a very powerful tool in the toolbox of a central bank, and it's one that has no parallel to sitting around the kitchen balancing a checkbook.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 71 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 7:49 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1496 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 76 of 168 (649025)
01-19-2012 8:15 PM
Reply to: Message 74 by RobS
01-19-2012 8:08 PM


Re: No Income No Spend
If the govt does not make profit then no value was added to begin with = lost
Addition by zero is not the same as subtraction. Public spending is private income.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 74 by RobS, posted 01-19-2012 8:08 PM RobS has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 77 by RobS, posted 01-20-2012 6:30 AM crashfrog has replied

  
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