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Author Topic:   American Budget Cuts
cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 149 of 350 (606136)
02-23-2011 9:13 PM
Reply to: Message 148 by Theodoric
02-23-2011 8:46 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
No response that buying stocks is ultimately a gamble? Nothing to say on that?
Err, yes. Given that you quoted me, I would have thought you might have noticed...
cd writes:
And no, most stock market activity is not "gambling".
As to why... well, I guess I'll have to wait till the end of my basic economics class and hopefully by then I'll know.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 148 by Theodoric, posted 02-23-2011 8:46 PM Theodoric has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 153 of 350 (606192)
02-24-2011 4:44 AM
Reply to: Message 150 by crashfrog
02-23-2011 11:56 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
Taq writes:
Trading shares does not take capital away. It just trades hands.
cd writes:
Why would anyone buy those shares if those shares do not receive a dividend? What do you think drives the capital appreciation of those shares? Why would anyone ever buy a share that does not compensate for the risk inherent in that share?
crashfrog writes:
For resale.
cd writes:
Sell it for what?
crashfrog writes:
For money, stupid. What else?
I'm sorry, but you are simply being too stupid to teach here.
cd writes:
What do you think drives the fluctuations in the stock market?
crashfrog writes:
Perceptions of the value of owning shares in various companies.
And what would those perceptions be if shares never paid dividends???
Jesus, this is so fucking painful.
So, in net, there's no money to be made on the stock market
So why do all the pension and mutual funds invest in equities? Are they just hoping that their fund is going to be a winner, yet summed across all funds, there will be no net gain. So 100 funds invest $100 billion in a closed equity market, and at the end those funds will still be worth $100 billion, only with a different and random distribution across the 100 funds? Is that how you think these funds work?
Another question... why do these funds invest in equities, but (typically) not FX?
I really can't be arsed trying to explain further to an idiot who's accusing me of lying. If anyone else is actually interested in this, we can start a thread and I can explain properly. Just to be clear, I have little to zero interest in attacking or defending this capitalist structure. I just like facts. And I don't like idiotic bullshit being spread by people who should know better.
but the available evidence
You do realise that your link is about making gains *over and above* those made by *the market*, not above zero?
Of course almost all activity on the stock market is a gamble. How could you have worked on the stock market and not have realized this?
Yeah, amazing isn't it
Edited by cavediver, : No reason given.
Edited by cavediver, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 150 by crashfrog, posted 02-23-2011 11:56 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 194 by crashfrog, posted 02-26-2011 2:40 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 154 of 350 (606194)
02-24-2011 6:00 AM
Reply to: Message 151 by crashfrog
02-24-2011 12:05 AM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
One of the ways that you can recognize when someone is lying about their qualifications is when they can't get the details of the lie right. Liars typically get caught up on the little things:
Crash, you really need to know about these things to be able to talk about them. Barclays was viewed as sufficiently sound that investors (whomever they may be) were willing to risk the investment. That is the crucial matter. The Fed and Treasury were not investing in the banks they were bailing out because they thought it was a good investment risk
And cut out the accusations of lying, you {don't let him get to you, breath, breath, and relax...ahhh}
Edited by cavediver, : expletive removed

This message is a reply to:
 Message 151 by crashfrog, posted 02-24-2011 12:05 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 193 by crashfrog, posted 02-26-2011 2:31 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 164 of 350 (606255)
02-24-2011 1:31 PM
Reply to: Message 160 by Rahvin
02-24-2011 12:39 PM


Re: Very interesting reading greenie lies
I'm also a huge supporter of nuclear power as the cheapest, cleanest, safest and most plentiful method of power generation currently available.
Where do we stand on decommissioning costs? Long term storage costs? Final waste disposal costs? These very long term issues are what have always caused the most rational concern.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 160 by Rahvin, posted 02-24-2011 12:39 PM Rahvin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 167 by Rahvin, posted 02-24-2011 2:20 PM cavediver has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 196 of 350 (606622)
02-27-2011 5:55 AM
Reply to: Message 193 by crashfrog
02-26-2011 2:31 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
There's no evidence that Lloyd's wasn't similarly viewed; they simply found it cheaper to take the government's 10% loans than the 14% loans demanded by these Middle East investors, such that Barclays will probably be forced to pay more for capital, and for longer, than its competitors.
Shit Crash, with your 30secs googling capability, you already can make far better investment decisions than the top banks.
Again, I'm not going to waste time discussing this at length with someone who thinks that soundbites gleaned from a quick google in some way constitute meaningful discourse.
Indeed, the rest of the Barclays investors apparently found these terms so usurious they were prepared to abandon the company completely. I don't know if they ever did.
No, you wouldn't, because the historic share price of Barclays over the entire crisis period isn't available for general scrutiny. Oh, wait...
Ultimately, just like in the US, the government of the UK actually made money by bailing out the banks:
No shit. You're a genius at those googling skills. What, did you think that the bailout was made in the expectation that the banks would fail?
And can you tell the difference between "made money" and...
quote:
The government could make a profit of as much as 27 billion from the bailed out banks Lloyds and RBS over the next five years, according to new analysis.
"could make a profit"...?
So why is it that you don't even spend two minutes Googling before you try to flim-flam me on this?
For fuck's sake Crash, why would I use google? I didn't get paid $200k by DB so I could look up answers on the fucking internet.
Edited by cavediver, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 193 by crashfrog, posted 02-26-2011 2:31 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 201 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:01 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 197 of 350 (606623)
02-27-2011 6:09 AM
Reply to: Message 194 by crashfrog
02-26-2011 2:40 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
The point of buying stocks isn't for the paltry one-tenth of one cent dividends per stock you earn. That's nothing more than an irritant when you have to file your taxes.
you're right - there's no one out there making an income from the dividends on their equity investments. Stupid of me to think otherwise. I guess I should go back on all my old analyses and excise the impact of dividends on valuations, 'cos as you say, they are nothing more than an irritant.
You're fucking clueless, Crash.
Google pays no dividends.
Irrelevant. The value of the Google share is based on the future value of the dividends. At present, Google is viewed as having far better return by reinvesting its dividends back into the company, owing to growth potential. Should that view change, and Google still did not pay a dividend, the share price would plummet. As we saw with all the dot coms that did not make it. If Google announced that their shares will never pay a dividend, then the furture value of the dividends is zero and the value of the shares would drop to zero, except that what would actually happen is that the shareholders would simply dismiss the board...
So, again, if stocks never pay dividends, then their value is zero. It is the view of future dividend stream that determines the price of the share.
You seem dictionary-challenged...
No, Crash. There are those of us who understand this stuff, and there those of you who seem to think that googling and dictionaries suddenly makes you an expert on a subject - no, it just makes you a moron. Sorry.
Look, I have no interest in debating this. You want to learn something from me, great, ask a question. But if you just want to prove me wrong from your amateur perspective, I have no interest. Let's just say you are completely correct in all that you say, and I have no clue. I'm more than happy with that. My time is precious enough...
Edited by cavediver, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 194 by crashfrog, posted 02-26-2011 2:40 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 198 by Straggler, posted 02-27-2011 7:08 AM cavediver has replied
 Message 202 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:10 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 200 of 350 (606630)
02-27-2011 10:19 AM
Reply to: Message 198 by Straggler
02-27-2011 7:08 AM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
Is it true that no dividends = worthless shares? Doesn't the share price reflect the overall value of the company? Or something like that.....
Well, AZPaul3 beat me to it, and put it perfectly
But I had always thought the main point of wheeler dealering in shares was to do with short term selling of them for more than you bought them for.
Sure, this is the popular view of share trading. You have to remember that there are trades (the action of buying or selling) and there are positions (the actual size of trades). Trades are dominated by high-frequency computerised trades - these are formed up of trading strategies and hedging strategies (often to balance derivative positions). Positions are dominated by the long term funds (mutual, pension,etc). The conventional wheeler dealer traders form a tiny fraction of what is actually going on.
Dividends being a safer longer term thing or (primarily) a way of those who own companies (i.e. majority shareholders?) paying themselves fat packets.
Don't fall for the bullshit spin. As a shareholder, those profits are yours, whether they are retained or paid out as a dividend. It doesn't matter if you hold 1 share or 100% of the shares.
The amount to pay out as dividend is a complicated choice, and has to be carfeully balanced against the market view of the company. You have invested your money in your shares because you view that the company can produce for you a better return than investing elsewhere. If they return too much of that money to you as dividend, they can be viewed as essentially saying that they don't trust their own ability to make a good return on the profits earned! If they pay too little or nothing, with no clear presentation of their growth plan, then investors will again complain.
Doesn't the share price reflect the overall value of the company?
Yes, but that value needs to be returned to the shareholder (i.e owner) at some point, even if that point is perpetually being moved forwards in time.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 198 by Straggler, posted 02-27-2011 7:08 AM Straggler has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 203 of 350 (606647)
02-27-2011 2:10 PM
Reply to: Message 201 by crashfrog
02-27-2011 2:01 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
Shit Crash, with your 30secs googling capability, you already can make far better investment decisions than the top banks.
Well, than one top bank.
yep, keep believing it Crash - as long as you're convinced...
Obviously. You didn't get paid $200k by anybody at all.
Ooh, he's accusing me of lying again. Does that make you feel good, Crash? Does it?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 201 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:01 PM crashfrog has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 204 of 350 (606648)
02-27-2011 2:15 PM
Reply to: Message 202 by crashfrog
02-27-2011 2:10 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
It's strange, isn't it Crash, who people come to to ask the questions? You'd think that people long ago would have realised that I just enjoy making shit up and talking bollocks. Yet they keep coming back and asking me questions. Strange. Do you think they are perhaps capable of realising where the content lies?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 202 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:10 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 206 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:18 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 207 of 350 (606652)
02-27-2011 2:27 PM
Reply to: Message 206 by crashfrog
02-27-2011 2:18 PM


Re: Budget Cuts & Reality
I'm just the one using simple research tools to expose the fact that nearly everything you've offered on this subject is an easily-refuted lie.
Keep believing it Crash - it's keeping you happy in your ignornace, and that's what counts. Anyway, back to your computer games now. As I said, I'm happy to be completely wrong and you to be correct. Well done

This message is a reply to:
 Message 206 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:18 PM crashfrog has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 208 of 350 (606653)
02-27-2011 2:36 PM


Dividends and gambling
Crash writes:
Cave would have us believe that Berkhath shareholders are just holding out for eventual dividends.
I am hoping that most readers are not as stupidly dense as Crash as to think that this is what has been suggested by either myself or AZPaul3. And just because the dividend is not received does not automatically mean a trade is gambling. A large percentage of trades are actually hedge positions which are actually reducing (and in some cases almost eliminating) risk, and as such are the exact opposite to gambling.
Many other trades are for developing balanced portfolios that are designed to generate a return over that paid by bonds and other debt instruments, whilst maintaining a low risk profile. This is the behaviour of the funds which are the investment vehicles behind people's pensions and investment trusts. Whilst these are certainly more risky than savings bonds, it is not we would refer to as "gambling".

Replies to this message:
 Message 209 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:48 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 210 of 350 (606655)
02-27-2011 2:51 PM
Reply to: Message 209 by crashfrog
02-27-2011 2:48 PM


Re: Dividends and gambling
You keep telling me you're done, you're out, you're done with this
No, Crash. I'm just done with you I thought that was obvious...

This message is a reply to:
 Message 209 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 2:48 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 211 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 3:03 PM cavediver has replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 212 of 350 (606657)
02-27-2011 3:09 PM
Reply to: Message 211 by crashfrog
02-27-2011 3:03 PM


Re: Dividends and gambling
To borrow a phrase, I wish you knew how to quit me.
I know, but I am just so irresistibly attracted to your stupidity. Any advice?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 211 by crashfrog, posted 02-27-2011 3:03 PM crashfrog has not replied

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