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Author | Topic: Solving the Mystery of the Biblical Flood | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Can you provide a reference for your dropstone excerpt?
--Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Thanks!
The boundary of the Driftless Area is not marked on your map, so I pulled out a map of Wisconsin and found the towns, and it turns out that Glacial Lake Wisconsin occupied perhaps 15% of the Driftless Area of Wisconsin on it's northeastern portion, centered approximately on the current locations of the Petenwell and Castle Rock Reservoirs. In other words, Glacial Lake Wisconsin was approximately centered on the word "CENTRAL" near the center of this map from the same website. Note the boundary of the Driftless Area: So Wmscott needs evidence of Driftless Area dropstones outside the Glacial Lake Wisconsin area. He also needs to explain the evidence of shortlived lakes mentioned in your excerpt (ill-defined shorelines, beach gravels, lake bottom sediments), and the absence of evidence of ocean inundation. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Hi, Hieyeck, welcome aboard!
I don't blame you for not reading the 17 pages of this thread, but you might want to read the first 3 or 4 posts just to get a feel for the topic. This thread is for discussing Wmscott's theory that the global flood actually occurred at the end of the last ice age due to a comet strike that ruptured glacial margins releasing torrents of sub-glacial water. You comments may fit better in the Some help for the TC model thread. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
There is no genetic evidence that all humans alive today are descended from a small family group of around 10,000 years ago. The unique genes of Chinese, Africans, Australians, Japanese, North and South Americans, etc, were not have resident in the members of Noah's family. A small family group could not have repopulated the world and demonstrated all the genetic, cultural and social diversity of all the different regions in so short a period of time, and especially not in a way so as to appear identical with the groups living in each location before the flood. There is no indication that the entire world was repopulated around 10,000 years ago such as might be indicated by a morphological break. For instance, the bush people of Australia of more than 10,000 years ago appear to be the same as those from later times. If they'd all been wiped out during the flood and then Australia was resettled by Noah's descendents, there would be a marked difference in morphology between the old inhabitants and the new settlers. Not to mention different forms of habitation, tool use, diet, etc.
Genes reside on chromosomes at locations known as loci. Each locus can contain two genes. The relationship between the two genes can be complex, but most people are familiar with the common dominant/recessive relationship (eg, that a gene for brown eyes is dominant over one for blue). Since the members of Noah's family were presumably human, they had the same DNA we have and their chromosomes had two genes at each locus. Squeezing more diversity into normal DNA would be akin to putting more than a dozen eggs into an egg carton. Just as there's nowhere to put the extra eggs, there's nowhere to put extra genes into a chromosome. Further, the members of Noah's family came from the region where he lived, and so would not have had genes from other races from more remote locations around the world.
You've misunderstood the science. There was no "original pair." Mitochondrial Eve did not live at the same time as Y-Chromosome Adam. Mitochondrial Eve represents the most recent common ancestor of all humans alive today when traced matrilinearly, ie, traced back through the mitochondrial DNA, which is only passed on maternally. Unlike nuclear DNA, which is very different in the child from that in the parents since it represents a combining of the genes of both parents, the mitochondrial DNA in the child is identical to that in the mother, except for mutations. Since the mutation rate is known, the changes in mitochondrial DNA represent a molecular clock. Mitochondrial Eve was uncovered using statistical analyses and is thought to have lived approximately 140,000 years ago. Naturally, our nuclear DNA derives from a far wider variety of sources than mitochondrial DNA, since nuclear DNA is a mishmash of all our ancestors. Mitochondrial Eve is the most recent common maternal ancestor, not the only ancestor from that time. Y-chromosome Adam is the male equivalent of Mitochondrial Eve. The Y-chromosome is analogous to mitochondrial DNA in that it can only be passed down the paternal line. He is thought to have lived approximately 60,000 years ago. None of these research results are consistent with your Noah's flood scenario of only 10,000 years ago. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
wmscott writes: You cited a website that sells fake genealogies. For a mere $250 they'll sequence your DNA and tell you which ancient matriarch you're descended from, as well as details of her life and times. Nice twist on an old fraud. Hey, send me $100 and I'll mail you your family's authentic coat of arms as well as pictures of your ancestral castle! Hurry while supplies last! By the way, even this fraud of a website contradicts your dating and agrees with science - at least they did *some* homework. It says the Seven Eves lived 150,000 years ago, not 10,000 years ago. The actual positions of science (eg, dating, geology, genetics) appear to be of no interest to you. You just mention a mystery here, make up a few dates there, and the next thing you know we're off on another journey into wmscottie-land. --Percy [This message has been edited by Percipient, 04-19-2002]
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Hi Joe!
I'm guessing we're both pretty certain that if wmscott were to submit his ideas in the form of a technical paper to any relevant geology journal that it would be rejected out of hand on so many grounds as to not be worth enumerating, though among them would be lack of understanding and familiarity with basic geological principles and lack of supporting evidence. I don't think the editors of any journal would even bother circulating it for peer review. In fact, most would probably stop reading after encountering "global flood" for the first time, since this phrase makes clear the religious nature of the work. In his book wmscott is following a time-honored Creationist tradition by bringing his views to those unable to critically assess them, but discussion with us here is a different story. While it's nothing like peer-review, it's certainly much more courageous than many other original Creationist thinkers. But wmscott is also, I believe, an example of a not uncommon delusional psychological condition which is best described by example, such as in people who believe they've found evidence of alien visitations or think they've invented perpetual motion machines. In other words, I don't believe he's a fraud because I think he honestly believes what he's saying. Having a delusion does not mean that one's other mental faculties are impaired, as journal editors who receive submissions from Einstein-wannabes can well attest. Wmscott has successfully maintained a moderate and well-reasoned tone, and has often argued ingeniously for his point of view. Nonetheless, the filters he has to employ in order to avoid perceiving the weaknesses and contradictions inherent in his position are still occasionally visible in the form of his occasional whoppers, such as his recent genetic arguments, and especially the referencing of the Seven Eves genealogy website. An earlier whopper was when he completely misinterpreted a paper on diatoms in Antarctica as supporting his global flood views. I'm of a mixed mind as I consider whether further debate with wmscott is worthwhile. The fallacies are just so obvious that it's hard to resist pointing them out. On the other hand, wmscott's opinions have so far proven impervious to evidence, so would there be any point to further discussion? I haven't decided yet. --Percy [This message has been edited by Percipient, 04-19-2002]
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
One indication of delusion is the maintaining of contradictory beliefs. When I pointed out that your dates disagree with your source, you said:
Then in the very next message, a reply to Joe Meert, you said:
Obviously your theory is not consistent with what we think we know about ages and dates (and plenty else, but I want to be brief), yet somehow you continue to maintain your belief that your theory doesn't contradict current understanding. I think Discover magazine would be an ironic choice for submission of an article by you, since they just ran an article about people suffering similar delusions in the April, 2002, issue (Discover Financial Services). --Percy [This message has been edited by Percipient, 04-26-2002]
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
wmscott writes: You could cut the naivet with a knife.
You've already refused all help offered you. You didn't respond to the skepticism by marshalling more compelling evidence but instead insisted your evidence was *to* sufficient. I assume you're considering a legitimate scientific journal, not the CRS quarterly or an ICR impact statement. I hope you'll allow us front row seats. Please email me your drafts and I'll post them on the website. If you have a scanner I'd also like jpeg's of the responses after submission. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Jesus Christ (pardon my French), wmscott, use paragraphs for God's sake (pardon my French again). I mean, take a breath, will ya? Do you shove your steaks whole down your throat, or do you slice them into bite size pieces. It's a good idea for writing, too. Can't believe someone published your book, probably has as many paragraphs as chapters. Your book is self-published, isn't it? If not, I want the name of your publisher - I just know I've got a few books in me!
wmscott writes: That isn't the issue. The problem is that you ignore established dates for no apparent rhyme or reason other than that they contradict your pet theory. That's not science, it's story-telling.
Let me be sure I understand this. Though you realize your dates are based upon a literal interpretation of a religious myth, you nonetheless are going to submit a paper to a scientific journal. Do I have this right?
The lack of a scientific reason for your expectation of a possible future revision is a serious deficiency.
So you're claiming that though your theory conflicts with current theory, it is nonetheless "consistent with what is known about the earth". That you don't see the contradiction sounds like a delusion to me.
Your theory isn't as bad as the usual vapor canopy proposals and such, but it's pretty bad. I mean, Al Capone wasn't as bad as Hitler, but he was pretty bad. Claiming you're not as bad as the more popular YEC arguments is damning yourself with faint praise.
The only one who believes this is you.
Agreed, but that wasn't the point. Your delusion is believing you have scientific reasons for rejecting current orthodoxy.
No one was advocating blind acceptance of scientific orthodoxy. The foundation of science is tentativity, and change is one of its more dependable qualities. The point you're not addressing is that your evidence is either missing or inadequate, while countervailing evidence is plentiful. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Since you didn't answer the question about whether your book is self-published, I looked into it myself. Your book was published by Xlibris, a firm which provides services for people to publish their own books. This is from their website:
At Xlibris, we give you everything you need to become your own publisher. We work with you to create your book, then print copies on-demand for your readers. You keep all rights to your work. We also offer services that give you all the control you need over your book. So head on over to the Publishing Services area and get published now. I could never understand how you found a publisher for your book, and now we know you never did. So, did you use the Basic Service ($500), the Professional Service ($900), or the the Custom Service ($1600)? wmscott writes: Your preferred date is about 10,000 years ago, which is pre-historic. You don't have any historic dates.
No, you don't. Weak as your ideas are, they make even less sense if you accept established dates.
There's no evidence for releases of large amounts of old carbon in your timeframe, no evidence that old carbon is replaced with young carbon when ground water passes over buried whalebones, and no evidence that the genetic clock evidence used to estimate dates for Mitochondrial Eve and Y-Chromosome Adam are off by 1000%.
I'm not the one naive enough to believe I have anything original to contribute in fields outside my specialty. But, anyway, can you makes drafts available so I can post them on the website? We'd all love to follow your progress and provide you feedback.
That's not a technical reason, plus the revisions you require are in the neighborhood of 1000% in magnitude, not the 5% and 10% revisions to which you may be referring.
As Joe has already pointed out, it seems it's you who needs to do some reading. Wegener's ideas were not accepted because he could identify no mechanism capable of moving continents, not because of lack of evidence that they had moved. Geologists of the period believed the continental and oceanic crusts to be fixed, and it was unimaginable that a continent could somehow be pushed through a "sea" of oceanic crust. Where would the sea floor in front of the continent go? How would sea floor fill in behind the moving continent? Thinking changed dramatically once we had evidence of sea-floor formation and subduction, and that combined with a better understanding of convective forces within the earth provided all the support necessary for Wegener's ideas. In contrast to Wegener, you have no evidence.
Repetition won't make this true. Your ideas aren't at all in harmony with current understanding. There is no evidence of a world-wide flood, and much evidence that there wasn't.
My mind is open to evidence, not story-telling. Evidence is the bricks and mortar of science, and you have none.
Trying to introduce the delusional to rationality is like pushing on a string. I tried evidence-based discussion with you for a while, but you shed rational arguments like rain off a slicker. You also ignore some arguments, like why your "mountains were lower then" argument is wrong, and why your "the world-wide flood would have left no evidence" argument is wrong, and why your "there would have been no genetic-eye of the needle" argument is wrong. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
wmscott writes: Because I believed no self-respecting person would fail to make that clear at the outset. But at least you're consistent. In your first post where you promoted your book you didn't even reveal you were the author. I concede I possess a fair degree of naivet, for I am always surprised when I encounter people for whom embarrassment and shame are foreign emotions.
But you've been arguing all along that it happened earlier. Your claim is that the Biblical flood was due to the sudden and rapid release of water at the end of the last ice age, which occurred about 10,000 years ago. There is no evidence for a world-wide flood ever, let alone 10,000 years ago, and if you shift your date to 2370 BC then you no longer have melting glaciers as a source of water. No matter which date you pick, your ideas don't hold up.
Historic periods are those from which we have a contemporaneous recording of events. There are no contemporaneous accounts from the flood period, hence it is prehistoric. Plus the flood is mythical anyway, since there is no objective evidence supporting such an event.
In other words, you have no factual basis for rejecting the genetically established dates.
"Some" ocean floor cores? You mean like here and there, as might be expected for sea floor near glacial runoff outlets to the sea, but that would instead be global had the runoff been so huge as to flood the world? Anyway, you've never presented this evidence, so could you present your evidence for "time shifts found in some ocean floor cores". I couldn't find any at the Marine Reservoir Correction Database, so maybe you could go find it there and point me to it, or to wherever your evidence comes from.
You've never presented any evidence for this, either. It seems to me that carbon would be locked up in the bone matrix, and that carbon in groundwater would be locked up in CO2, so you'd need a chemical reaction for an exchange or carbon. Plus the amount of carbon in water is tiny compared to that in bone. While I'm sure the effect is greater than 0, I doubt very much if it is the 1000% error that you require in order for your Michigan whalebones to be 10,000 years old.
Flushing effect? On soil, sure. On bone, though? Can you point me at the evidence for this?
I think the point was that most people know better than to believe they can make original contributions in areas outside their specialty.
Even if this silly statement were true, what on earth has it got to do with the inappropriateness (not to mention sheer chutzpa) of you comparing yourself to Wegener. He had evidence, energy, and a gift for theorizing, you do not.
Your "evidence" isn't evidence. Just to make clear why, let's just explore your "dating evidence" a little. You cited whalebones in Michigan that are dated to around 900 years ago, then claimed they supported your view of post-glacial inundation 10,000 years ago because the date is wrong. But you submitted no evidence for a 10,000 year old date (other than saying "the date could be wrong"), so this isn't evidence for you. You cited a fake genealogy site that nonetheless got the date of 140,000 years ago right. You submitted no evidence for a 10,000 year old date, (other than saying "the date could be wrong"), so it's not evidence for you. This is just a couple items from your dating evidence, and all your "evidence" has similar significant and serious problems that aren't deep or controversial but are obvious on their face. At the end of the day, you have no evidence. The best example of your lack of evidence is the global flood. You yourself even say there is no evidence, because it was so short-lived.
Science arrived at the current view through the gathering of evidence. To challenge that view you must have countervailing evidence. Since you have no countervailing evidence, you cannot legitimately challenge what you call scientific orthodoxy. That's why it's so silly for you to try to submit a paper to a mainstream journal, which endeavor I notice you didn't mention this time. Have you come to your senses and realized that someone who has to self-publish his own ideas hasn't got a prayer of getting those same ideas published in a journal of science?
I can't believe you, of all people, are saying this. Yes, absolutely, you need to support your argument with solid evidence. You can't support your argument with evidence where the dates are off by 10X. I don't need to come up with counter evidence for such silly "evidence" - your "evidence" is already self-evidently wrong.
You're just making this up as you go along. I *have* made specific points, you just chose not to respond to them. For example, I mentioned three of my points where you dropped you ball in my previous message, and you can find my last post on each of these topics in messages 11 (mountain ranges) and 230 (lack of flood evidence, genetic eye-of-the-needle). --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
wmscott writes: You're comparing yourself to a used car salesman? Geez, I was only trying to say you have an underdeveloped sense of openness and honesty.
My specialty, indeed anyone's specialty, is irrelevant here, for two reasons. First, relying upon association as a means of persuasion is one of the seven major fallacies of debate. "I have a degree from Incredible Reputation University, so you can trust me when I say...etc..." is a fallacious form of debate. Second, you're already disagreeing with people whose professional credentials are much closer to this debate than mine are, so what would be the point? If you're really sincerely interested in my professional credentials then let me know via email and I'll send you PDFs of some of the stuff I've authored professionally. But even if I were a Nobel prize winner and you were a wino it wouldn't be relevant, because what matters is the cogency of the arguments we post here. The most important point everyone is trying to make to you is that your arguments do not qualify as good science. You can't have just stories, you have to have evidence. Some of your stories are credible, some are not, and few have evidence. Oh, and I loved your example of someone contributing to fields outside his specialty:
Hoyle is one of the best examples of why one should stay close to home, scientifically speaking. After Hoyle's early contributions, which were significant and important, he not only went off the deep end outside his specialty, even delving into Creationism, he even went off the deep end within his specialty by continuing to back a steady-state universe long after evidence for the Big Bang (a term he himself coined, intending it to be derisive) became incontrovertible. It is suspected to be one of the reasons he did not win a Nobel prize - too much of an embarrassment.
Gee, I don't know, usually one finds that when opponents start quoting you out of context and begin declaring victory it's because they're in a weak position. What I actually said was: "You can't support your argument with evidence where the dates are off by 10X. I don't need to come up with counter evidence for such silly 'evidence' - your 'evidence' is already self-evidently wrong." In other words, when your dating evidence is off by 10X it is already so wrong that no counter evidence is necessary. The problems with your arguments can usually be summed up as either a lack of a mechanism, or a lack of evidence that the proposed mechanism took place, and often lack of both. Your argument involving the porosity of bones is a good example. I doubt many here are ignorant of anything you said, but the original question posed to you concerned how you were going to *replace* old carbon in the whale skeleton with new carbon. The carbon in bone is mostly tied up as a compound with calcium called calcium carbonate or calcite, CaCO3. You need something to drive this chemical reaction: CaCO3 + CO2 => CaCO3 + CO2 Where the CO2 on the left is new carbon and that on the right is old carbon. Certainly bone is porous to ground water, so the dissolved carbon dioxide in water is going to rub right up against the calcite, and nothing's going to happen. This is an example of lack of a mechanism. And certainly with no proposed mechanism for carbon substitution, you cannot have any evidence of such a mechanism taking place.
More research? Why would you need more research? Your argument here is that the evidence you've already presented to us is sufficient, and that we're all basically just scientific ninnies because we don't accept it, won't even admit that it's evidence in most cases. If you really believe that the problem your having convincing anyone here is really just due to lack of sufficient background on the part of your fellow protagonists to properly interpret your arguments and evidence, then you don't need more research. So what's the real story?
If you don't have a date then you don't have a theory.
This is one of the wonders of the Internet - you can actually find people willing to argue simple facts. Even if Moses wrote the Pentateuch, which is what most evangelicals believe, he lived long after the flood, and so the Biblical account of the flood is not contemporaneous with it. A contemporaneous account of the flood would have to have been written by someone who lived through it. You cited a dictionary definition of prehistoric but seem not to have read or understood it, since it defines prehistoric in basically the same way I did. Your definition says that prehistoric means "prior to recorded history", which means when no one was recording events. Since no one was recording events during the flood, there was no contemporaneous account, and the flood was prehistoric. It was also mythical.
Under your theory, the deep flexing was still reflected by a severe sinking of ocean basins and rising of mountains, which are surface features, not deep at all. Plus in your time frame you have no evidence for either deep flexing or severe ocean basin subsidence or rising mountains. All you have is a story. And the only reason you propose mountains were lower then was so water could cover them so that the claim of the flood story that it was world-wide could be true. In other words, your theory is not based upon evidence. The weight of water in the world is roughly a constant. It doesn't matter whether it is tied up in glaciers or lies in ocean basins, it's still the same amount of weight. A catastrophic flow of water from glaciers to ocean basins doesn't cause mountains in the tropics to pop up. What it does is cause the ocean basins to depress somewhat (water is spread across much greater area) while the former glacial regions rebound.
First, this is ridiculous on its face. Is this going into your paper? Second, entire herds surviving a worldwide flood by floating on flood detritus? Including elephants and giraffes? This seems possible to you? I guess it must, so can you add anything that would make it seem less utterly ridiculous to everyone else? Third, okay, I'll bite. What's your evidence for genetic bottlenecks 10,000 years ago.
But your global flood was short, remember? You claim it coincided with tsunamis and a massive comet strike. These cataclysms would have kicked up huge amounts of sediment at ocean margins world-wide, and as the rising water levels caused the oceans to move across the land it would have brought sediment with it and the tidal waves and climatic disruptions would have kicked up huge amounts of additional sediment. There's no evidence of any of this. I keep forgetting that you live inland. Have you ever been to the ocean? Encroachment of the ocean onto land would not be a quiet affair, would not be a "gentle rise in sea level". If the sea was everywhere 10,000 years ago there would be evidence of it everywhere.
That's nice, but you have no evidence which requires countervailing evidence. All you have is stories. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
wmscott writes: edge replies: I believe Wmscott's point is, in part, correct. If memory serves me correctly, Scandanavia (in part or in whole I do not remember) is still rising due to the lifting of the weight of former glaciers. I forget the rate, maybe a few inches per century? Maybe Wmscott knows. Wmscott may also be referring to the ongoing uplift of the Himalayas due to the continued northward movement/collision of the Indian subcontinent into/with Asia. Where Wmscott is, I think, incorrect is in stating that it is "widespread" and that "current scientific opinion has no explanation for it." --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
I'm going to take a different tack in this post. Since you want to write a paper, I'll provide the responses you'd possibly get from a kind-hearted reviewer or editor of a mainstream journal. My own personal comments appear in small text between square brackets.
I realize your post was not a technical paper. I simply respond to each topic as I might had it appeared before me for review properly written up in a technical paper. Percy writes: wmscott replies: Never heard of in situ CaCO3 substitution. Please provide references. [Means references to the primary literature. If you visit Bone you'll see no such process is mentioned, Dr. Nilsson notwithstanding.]
[Do not under any circumstances cite anything Biblical or religious.]
Never heard of Wisconsian glaciation being worldwide. Please provide primary references. Unaware of contrapuntal depression due to adjacent rise. Please provide primary references.
[Biblical references would be a killer. Most any reviewer would stop reading once he saw the Biblical connection. In case I'm not being clear enough, and no matter what you personally believe, "flood waters" is a dead giveaway of YEC views.] [You probably realize you can't wax Biblical in a scientific paper, so one thing about your posts here is very puzzling. Biblical references in support of scientific claims carry negative weight, detracting from whatever merit your ideas might have. What makes you think that science buffs and scientists here are any more receptive to Biblical references than technical journals? I recommend that from now on you attempt to carry the day without Biblical references, because it'll be more effective here, and it's what you need to do for a journal anyway.]
Speculative, probably wrong. Any primary literature to cite in support? [This is probably dead wrong. The evidence from recent volcanic islands like the Galapagos is that only small animals like lizards successfully raft. Large animals are never found on such islands. Speculation in and of itself is fine, usually in the conclusion. But speculation as supporting argument is worthless.]
Not familiar with genetic bottlenecks being responsible for significant morphological change. Please provide primary references.
Far off the mark, seems dead-wrong. Please correct, delete, provide evidence, or cite primary literature.
Please provide evidence or cites to primary literature.
Please provide evidence or cites to primary literature.
Please provide evidence or cites to primary literature.
Please provide evidence or cites to primary literature.
Anecdotal speculation. [Anecdote as an adjunct is okay, though not recommended. Again, speculation as supporting argument is worthless.] Okay, I'm back to being Percy again. I hope this helps. This was meant to be helpful, not adversarial. --Percy [This message has been edited by Percipient, 06-01-2002]
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Percy Member Posts: 22504 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
quote: Ah, yes! Sorry about that, couldn't tell. Perhaps we should colloborate on a book called Solving the Mystery of the Creationist Mindset. Though Wmscott consistently professes a strong desire to be scientific, he possesses all the typical characteristics of the Creationist mind, in this particular case inventing mysteries where none exist, then treating it as evidence for his position. --Percy
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