Phat writes:
If you consider the source of the configuration of these odds---human wisdom---and realize that in this vast universe, humans are only 100% known to be on ONE dustspeck of a planet in one solar system in one galaxy of 100 billion stars out of 100 billion galaxies---that shifts your "odds" back the other way IMHO.
How audacious of us to imagine ourselves the source of wisdom and the source of accurate probabilities!
And so on. What do we know, when we are so small and insignificant? Yes?
Just because you don’t like the result of simple logic (Especially when it’s applied to the lack of human knowledge in this area) there is no need resort to what amounts to an ad hominem (you cant be right, cause what do us humans know?) You were apparently quite happy to accept fallible, insignificant human wisdom when it was suggested that the odds of God’s existence was 50/50.
ABE- to avoid simply making an ad hominem, in retaliation.
All I was saying is that we cant say for certain what happened when the universe came into existence, nor can we exclude anything because we are even unsure that reality worked the same way. Because of that we have to accept that ”anything” could have happened. That ”anything’ even out strips our ability to conceive the full depth and breadth of the full set of possibilities, in short we have to consider the number of possible events to be infinite. And that is precisely because we don’t know enough to even begin reducing them down.
It is because we, by necessity, are dealing with an infinite list of possibilities that the odds of any of them being the ”one’ is next to zero. Each as likely as the next. Each as improbable as the last.
The OP was discussing the odds of God’s existence by equating that to the odds that he was the cause of the universe.
If that argument holds (ie if he created the universe he exists, if he didn’t then he doesn’t exist) then that means the probability of God’s existence has to be virtually nill. If you simply asked, “does God Exit?” then it’s a simple binary state: either he does, or he does not. That’s your 50/50.
This message has been edited by ohnhai, 29-04-2006 03:50 PM