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Author Topic:   If prayers go unanswered....?
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 63 of 201 (196380)
04-03-2005 10:05 AM
Reply to: Message 55 by Monk
04-02-2005 9:00 AM


prayer. medicine, and stats
Ah now, unless the mathematical tools that you esteem have been used on believers and in this particular situation such that a consensus of data can be perused, then your assumption of error is preconceived.
Well, this essentially has been done a few times, analyzing the "power of prayer" on disease outcomes. Basically, no significant effect of prayer has been found in these studies, with a couple of exceptions - but take note; those "couple of exceptions" were later shown to be incorrect due to misuse and misanalysis of the data. I believe in one recent case involving cardiac outcomes there was an investigation and reprimand (if not firing) of researchers since it appeared they deliberately misused their data to support the hypothesis that prayer improves outcome.
Here is an excerpt from a review regarding this subject:
The latest reported clinical trial of intercessory prayer is a three year study of 750 patients in nine hospitals and 12 prayer groups from around the world, including lay and monastic Christians, Sufi Muslims, and Buddhist monks. Prayers were even emailed to Jerusalem and placed in the Wailing Wall. Patients awaiting angioplasty for coronary artery obstruction were selected at random by computer and sent to the 12 prayer groups. The prayer groups prayed for complete recovery of patients. The clinical trial was double blind; neither the hospital staff nor the patients knew who was being prayed for. The findings were reported at the American College of Cardiology's second annual conference on the integration of complementary medicine into cardiology and showed no significant differences in the recovery and health between the two groups...
Other studies are mentioned, including some problematic ones.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 55 by Monk, posted 04-02-2005 9:00 AM Monk has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 75 by Monk, posted 04-03-2005 7:32 PM pink sasquatch has replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 64 of 201 (196383)
04-03-2005 10:27 AM
Reply to: Message 53 by mike the wiz
04-02-2005 6:55 AM


take 100 mg of obecalp and call me in the morning...
Which is more likely, that my prayer was answered and I was healed in ten seconds, (as I declared), for each symptom, by Christ whom I believe in, according to the scriptures, OR that it was what chance allowed for AND my own immune system AND my own memory and confirmation bias AND another god.
I think schraf missed an important factor on her list (which you seem to have misinterpreted anyway)...
Have you ever heard of the "placebo effect"?
People have reported being cured or having their symptoms alleviated after given a drug by their doctor - however, what their doctor really had given them was an empty pill without any bioactivity. The strong link of mental/emotional and physical health reveals itself in the placebo effect - people are psychologically convinced they will get better because of the "drug" they are given and their health (or perception of their health) improves.
You had a situation where you prayed and quickly felt better - how do we know that this wasn't a self-induced placebo effect? Perhaps you were psychologically (rather than spiritually) convinced that you would get better, and so you did. I'm not trying to belittle your spirituality here - I'm simply asking how you or the anyone else would know the difference.
There have been reports that religious activity improves health (specifically praying for one's own health alone or with others, and attending religious services). Though these studies might seem to support your position, once controlled for other factors, religion as a significant factor falls away. It turns out what really helps people get better is a sense of family, community, support, belonging, and self-reflection. It doesn't seem to matter whether these are religious/spiritual or secular when it comes to patient outcomes.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 53 by mike the wiz, posted 04-02-2005 6:55 AM mike the wiz has not replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 66 of 201 (196400)
04-03-2005 11:22 AM
Reply to: Message 65 by mike the wiz
04-03-2005 11:02 AM


simple use of a complicated explanation
LOL! The papers. Do you think God is going to turn up in the papers? Ahahahaha, I never found any truth in those papers Shraff. Oh dear girly!
Since there are peer-reviewed papers showing the power of prayer in healing, you shouldn't be so ridiculing (not to mention condescending, my dear little boy).
I'm not dumb enough to buy into the whole, "God is more complicated" scenario. I'll leave that for other people to fall for.
Mike - I'm not sure why you don't see that "God" is the most complicated explanation that can be given for a scenario.
I stub my toe; two of the explanations I come up with:
1) I wasn't paying enough attention to notice someone had moved the coffee table.
2) An infinite, eternal, omnipotent, omnicient, undetectable being caused me to stub my toe.
Which explanation appears more complicated to you?
I think you see "Goddidit" as a non-complicated explanation because it is short, sweet, and can explain everything. But that explanation really ends up explaining nothing, and predicting nothing.
What causes AIDS?
Goddidit.
Why did Frank develop cancer?
Goddidit.
Why do only some people die from pneumonia?
Goddidit.
What caused my diarrhea this morning?
Goddidit.
Why do smokers die younger than non-smokers?
Goddidit.
You see mike, your God explanation is simple in that it can answer any question. However, it is so complicated that it really answers none of them.
If we "simply" used your "complicated" explanation the entire field of medicine would not exist, and our life expectancies would probably be half of what they are today.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 65 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 11:02 AM mike the wiz has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 67 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 12:05 PM pink sasquatch has replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 69 of 201 (196435)
04-03-2005 12:44 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by mike the wiz
04-03-2005 12:05 PM


knowing the result
Good to see we're sparring again.
Yep - I was glad to see you came back...
Also, I wasn't trying to claim that you use "Goddidit" as a universal explanation - I was trying to show that "Goddidit" is a very complicated, and very poor explanation when it comes to actually explaining physical phenomena and doing anything about them (like curing disease).
If an explanation meets all the evidence and explains everything, then it's a good one, as, well, it explains it.
But not really - I still have a problem with this statement. Perhaps it "explains everything" in a philosophical or spiritual sense, but that doesn't really help me determine if a potential drug is going to cause dangerous toxicity in a subset of patients.
Some people claim that String Theory may be the "universal theory" that encompasses everything - even if this turns out to be the case, String Theory as I understand it won't be able to help us cure disease, or develop disease-resistant crops, or build safer vehicles, or solve many issues in scientific study where "smaller" theories will do a much better job towards explanation and prediction. Your God explanation is along the lines of such a "universal theory" - it works for you to explain everything, but it is so abstract and all encompassing that it explains nothing.
Or are you saying that evolution doesn't explain everything? In that case I have no good reason to believe in it, as it doesn't explain everything.
The Theory of Evolution explains very, very, very little about the natural universe. If you only believe in things that explain everything, than there is absolutely nothing in science or the natural world that you believe.
I certainly wouldn't blema Frank's cancer on God. There is a complex theology pertaining to most people's plights, in the bible and a deep investigation with an open mind will make you realize that sometimes God isn't the least involved in things you might expect to see.
I guess I'm confused then. God is the explanation for everything, but he is not the explanation for Frank's cancer? and He isn't the least involved in many things?
(God is involved in everything but not everything. Sounds like your complicated "simple" explanation is getting more and more complicated...)
My interest in the thread was spurned by your comment that you knew you were rapidly healed through prayer. - If "God isn't the least involved in things you might expect to see", then how can you be so sure that He was involved in your rapid recovery? Or that He wasn't involved in Frank's affliction?
I know you're an intelligent guy here at the forum, so I hope you can see my earlier points about prayers being God's will, rather than society - who want to set the criteria, and say "if this and that isn't solved, then there's no God". Essentially the opposite, (their own will), not God's and what he said would happen.
Okay, but haven't you been consistently stating that your prayers have been answered? It seems to me that you have been making claims about setting the criteria and knowing them fulfilled by God.
The important point for me:
My primary issue with many of your statements is your claim definitively know that your prayers were answered. I don't believe you can separate a "true answer" from a "coincidental" or "self-fulfilling" one.
An answer of simply "I just know" or "faith" seems a circular argument to me - I know because I know because I know because....
(Also, if you get a chance you may want to peruse posts 63 & 64 if you missed them, they may be of interest).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 12:05 PM mike the wiz has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 70 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 1:04 PM pink sasquatch has replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 71 of 201 (196448)
04-03-2005 1:16 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by mike the wiz
04-03-2005 1:04 PM


knowing vs believing
(No problem - take your time if you're stretched thin.)
I meant that God is the simplest explaination for all factors involved, in my answered prayers. I didn't mean that God is the answer "for everything", as that's the "Goddidit" strawman I am not infact arguing.
Right - that's what I was trying to get to at the end of my post:
How do you know your prayers were answered?
If you have evidence that God answered your prayers, perhaps God is the "simplest explanation".
If you have no evidence except the fact that you prayed, explanations based on psychology (placebo effect) or physiology (immune system) are simpler explanations given the evidence.
Your "evidence" is likely faith - if so, we can conclude this discussion (on good terms) as reaching another science vs. faith impasse. However, if you want to discuss naturalistic evidence for answered prayers I'd be interested in continuing.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 1:04 PM mike the wiz has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 72 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 1:35 PM pink sasquatch has replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 73 of 201 (196458)
04-03-2005 1:53 PM
Reply to: Message 72 by mike the wiz
04-03-2005 1:35 PM


Re: knowing vs believing
if you slapped me on the face, and five minutes later, I "knew" you slapped me, I infact have no evidence, yet the knowledge remains.
But the knowledge is not necessarily true.
By example, a paranoid schizophrenic may have the knowledge that he was slapped, but that does not make it true.
I have had a few people very close to me have hallucinations related to medical problems; these hallucinations seem like "knowledge" to them. My post-stroke grandfather has "knowledge" of huge parts of his life history that never happened, even though he is otherwise generally sane and lucid.
Does he "know" the "truth"?
True, the vague and confirmation biased, post-hoc rationalizer is guilty if he asks for a sign and the television goes off. But if he asks for healing of cancer, and gets it? Well, would you be convinced?
No - but rather than try to give my own reasons, I'll ask the following (I'm particularly interested to see your answer).
What is the specific difference between the two cases you describe?
Also, can belief act as a placebo?
I believe so, and there is at least a small body of scientific evidence to suggest that this is the case.
One general theme of these studies seems to be - People benefit medically from "prayer" only when they know they are being prayed for. That is, the "prayee" must be psychologically aware that prayer is happening on their behalf, otherwise they receive no benefit. If prayer worked purely in a spiritual sense, it should benefit the patient regardless of their ignorance to the praying.
I think that is very strong evidence that prayer does NOT work via spiritual means.
And so, this Shraffy-happy list of what it could be, should have the most likely scenario on it, that I followed my biblical instructions and got the desired effect. A bit like a prediction of science almost.
But you yourself state that you would have just as likely gotten no effect, or the opposite the desired effect.
Therefore it is not at all like a prediction of science, since your "prediction" holds true for any possible outcome, no matter how good or bad.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 72 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 1:35 PM mike the wiz has not replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 101 of 201 (196709)
04-04-2005 5:46 PM
Reply to: Message 75 by Monk
04-03-2005 7:32 PM


Re: God in a bottle
It should be no surprise that clinical studies such as these would show no effect of prayer. How could it be otherwise?
It has been otherwise. Clinical studies have been published demonstrating a positive effect of prayer on outcome, when the person whose outcome was in question was aware of the prayer or took part in the prayer.
In order to separate natural from supernatural effects, studies were set up where the patient and medical staff did not know who was being prayed for. In these studies no legitimate significant difference has been found yet.
Where is God in all this? Surely He would be aware that His actions would lead to the formulation of the predictive theorems before He grants the prayer request. Would He do it anyway?
As see, so as soon as a study is put into place to detect God, God will change Himself in order to avoid detection. (Just like the A-Team!)
If God lets people die of disease that He would have otherwise saved, simply to avoid the possibility of registering a statistical anomaly in a small clinical trial, then God is not a very nice guy...

This message is a reply to:
 Message 75 by Monk, posted 04-03-2005 7:32 PM Monk has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 122 by Monk, posted 04-05-2005 11:05 AM pink sasquatch has not replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 102 of 201 (196713)
04-04-2005 5:53 PM
Reply to: Message 78 by mike the wiz
04-03-2005 8:54 PM


Re: knowing vs believing
Hey Mike you never answered my post #73, which I think tends to refute the point you continue to make:
The slap analogy is one of thousands of instances which could illustrate my point, which is that we can have knowledge before or without evidence.
If someone slaps me they leave no evidence but I have the knowledge, so my point is still correct.
What if you were hallucinating that you were slapped? Then you would know that you were slapped, even though the truth is that you were not slapped.
Have you ever experienced someone in a hallucinatory state? They have knowledge of things happening, such as being attacked, even though those things never happened.
As I stated before, since my grandfather had a stroke he recounts detailed stories about his life history that never happened.
Get it? Just because you think you have knowledge does not make that knowledge true.
Hopefully you will respond to this point this time since you seem to have dismissed Schraf's other arguments based on this point, which I believe you have quite wrong.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 78 by mike the wiz, posted 04-03-2005 8:54 PM mike the wiz has not replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 111 of 201 (196894)
04-05-2005 10:09 AM
Reply to: Message 108 by mike the wiz
04-05-2005 9:51 AM


Don't forget that I am Columbo, and can obviously deduce.
What if you were hallucinating during your deduction, just like you hallucinated that you were slapped?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 108 by mike the wiz, posted 04-05-2005 9:51 AM mike the wiz has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 113 by mike the wiz, posted 04-05-2005 10:18 AM pink sasquatch has replied

  
pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6051 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 120 of 201 (196908)
04-05-2005 10:39 AM
Reply to: Message 113 by mike the wiz
04-05-2005 10:18 AM


I deduce that you know a relative of yours is deluded. Did you require evidence to know this?
Actually, yes I did. I was given accounts of things that supposedly happened in someone's life history. The memory of several other close family members was that those accounts were false, and they all concurred and additionally could agree on what had really happened.
Frankly, I remain tentative on many of the probably false memories that involve smaller details, it may simply be the case that others didn't take note and remember the details, or it was something that was kept from them.
When it comes to more grandiose false memories that could not have gone unnoticed by immediate relatives, the certainty that those memories are false are much higher.
My point to this whole line of discussion is that you know that you were rapidly healed as a result of prayer, but we have no way of knowing if that is the truth separate of your own claim, which is likely biased and out of touch with reality (not an insult - this would apply to just about anyone, particularly in an intense moment of physical illness and spiritual pleading).
Tell Shraff that if a witness is evidence then she must look at the Gospel as evidence. If not then we can know thing swithout evidence.
Unfortunately I have a problem with that as well - the reasoning of "I must believe to see the evidence, but I must look at evidence to believe."
Evidence must stand separate of faith; otherwise it ceases to be evidence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 113 by mike the wiz, posted 04-05-2005 10:18 AM mike the wiz has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 123 by mike the wiz, posted 04-05-2005 11:09 AM pink sasquatch has not replied
 Message 124 by nator, posted 04-05-2005 11:12 AM pink sasquatch has not replied

  
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