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Anyway, the number of taxa in the trees is eight, & the number of possible outcomes for an eight taxa rooted tree is 135,135. Given we have just got two trees exactly the same, the odds of that occurring is 135,135^2 = 18,261,468,225 : 1
The odds that two random 8-taxa trees will match are 135,135:1. That is, the first tree can be anything; you get a match if the second tree happens to be identical to the first, which is true for one out of the 135,135 possible trees.