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Author Topic:   Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
Straggler
Member (Idle past 95 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 1 of 549 (572394)
08-05-2010 2:38 PM


Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
The supernatural hypothesis has failed.
Of the innumerable supernatural explanations proposed throughout human history not a single one has ever been vindicated. All those questions that have been able to be adequately explored have resulted in the overturning of the mystical, magical and supernatural explanation by means of examining and understanding the entirely natural. The entire history of science is one of encountering perplexing and baffling phenomena that initially seem to demand magical and supernatural answers but which ultimately turn out to be entirely natural. There have been no exceptions to this. The best the committed supernaturalist can now to do is cling to the ever diminishing remaining gaps in our knowledge and understanding.
So given this epic failure of the supernatural hypothesis to date is it time to abandon this hypothesis?
Is it ever now evidentially and rationally justifiable to cite the supernatural explanation as the answer or cause of ANY known phenomenon?
Phenomenon to which the supernatural answer is still commonly advocated such as (but not limited to):
  • The creation of the universe.
  • Abiogenesis
  • Human belief in the existence of the supernatural
  • Religious experiences
  • Man's sense of morality
    Whilst science can no more disprove the supernatural answer than it can prove the natural, have we now reached the point where the supernatural hypothesis can be legitimately dismissed as futile and desperately unlikely to bear any fruit as a means of explaining anything?
    Has the supernatural hypothesis failed?
    Or does continued advocacy of the supernatural as an explanation remain justified? If so on what basis?
    Edited by Straggler, : Add title

  • Replies to this message:
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    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 5 of 549 (572503)
    08-06-2010 8:23 AM
    Reply to: Message 4 by purpledawn
    08-06-2010 6:33 AM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    PD writes:
    So what is the supernatural hypothesis?
    Well historically it could be that something supernatural is responsible for fertility, or the weather, or the harvest or any other ill understood phenomenon of the time.
    These days it tends to be the notion that the supernatural is responsible for some more grand unknown, or belief based, phenomenon. For example that somethingsupernatural is required to explain things such as (but not restricted to):
  • The creation of the universe.
  • Abiogenesis
  • Widespread human belief in the existence of the supernatural
  • Religious experiences
  • Man's sense of morality
    Is the supernatural explanation (e.g. that god created the universe, OR that religious experiences are best explained by the actual existence, and interaction with, supernatural entities rather than psychological factors etc. etc.) a viable explanation for any of the above?
    Is somethingsupernaturaldidit a viable answer or explanation to anything?
    If so what?

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     Message 4 by purpledawn, posted 08-06-2010 6:33 AM purpledawn has seen this message but not replied

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    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 7 of 549 (572507)
    08-06-2010 8:38 AM
    Reply to: Message 6 by Huntard
    08-06-2010 8:28 AM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    Well I agree. But there are many here at EvC who claim that their belief in the supernatural is somehow evidenced.
    They must consider some aspect of nature to be best explained by the actual existence of the supernatural. Whether the phenomenon in question is the existence of the universe itself, the fact that humans across cultures display religious beliefs or some sort of internal experience - They are implicitly citing the supernatural explanation for said phenomenon as a valid one.
    But given the 100% failure rate of the supernatural explanation to anything at all why does anyone persist with this as an explanation to anything at all?
    Personal appeal alone?

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     Message 8 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 9:33 AM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 11 of 549 (572545)
    08-06-2010 12:27 PM
    Reply to: Message 8 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee
    08-06-2010 9:33 AM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    JuC writes:
    If we ever do get evidence for something that is currently classifed as "supernatural" (E.G. if an entity revealed itself to us, and demonstrated in a most convincing manner how it created the universe), would that not just be a new and possibly better natural explanation of things, in exactly the same way as Einstein's theories superseded Newton's?
    I guess it depends what it is that reveals itself to us. Does simply creating the universe make something supernatural? Are colliding branes (for example) supernatural? I don’t think so.
    If we humans ever reach the dizzy technological heights of being able to create universes ourselves would that make us supernatural? Again — I think not.
    So what is an example of a supernatural explanation for the origins of our universe? Well the omnipotent, omniscient, omnipresent eternal, uncreated incomprehensible immaterial being that is oft cited as God would be one obvious example.
    The difference between the two is comparable to the difference between technology and magic. Technology utilises the laws of nature to achieve a result. Magic overturns the laws of nature to achieve a result. Only the latter is supernatural.
    JuC writes:
    I.E. Is "supernatural" just a word meaning "something we don't understand at this time" and if we ever do understand it, then it becomes re-classified as "natural"?
    It certainly gets applied as an explanation to things that we do not understand at this time. But I don’t think that when supernaturalists cite such explanations they are suggesting that we simply currently lack the know-how or technology to investigate those explanations. It isn’t just a question of having your God-ometer set to the correct supernatural frequency (for example). They seem to be suggesting that such explanations are imperceptible, unknowable and inscrutable to us mere material beings for some reason.
    I certainly agree that the trend of finding natural explanations for as yet unexplained phenomenon will continue. And I also agree that our concept of what constitutes natural will continue to expand as our knowledge progresses. There may even be natural phenomenon that will remain forever beyond our ability to understand.
    However I don’t think we are going to discover and simply relabel the sort of inherently imperceptible immaterial entities which supernaturalists advocate. Divine or ethereal entities which are not subject to laws of nature and/or which are capable of suspending or overcoming those laws in order to achieve the miraculous.
    If we discover evidence of something like that — Then the supernaturlaists will really have something to shout about.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 8 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 9:33 AM Jumped Up Chimpanzee has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 13 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 12:46 PM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 12 of 549 (572547)
    08-06-2010 12:30 PM
    Reply to: Message 10 by caffeine
    08-06-2010 10:47 AM


    Re: So what does supernatural mean?
    Caf writes:
    Before we can decide if all supernatural explanations have failed, we have to have some clear definition of what you mean as supernatural.
    That which is inherently immune from material investigation of any sort?

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 10 by caffeine, posted 08-06-2010 10:47 AM caffeine has not replied

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     Message 229 by 1.61803, posted 09-02-2010 2:53 PM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 16 of 549 (572556)
    08-06-2010 2:27 PM
    Reply to: Message 13 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee
    08-06-2010 12:46 PM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    Ah, but does magic overturn the laws of nature?
    Yes.
    Maybe what we call "magic" or "supernatural" simply uses laws of nature we have not yet discovered.
    Then it wouldn't actually be magic. It would just appear to be so by those too scientifically and technologically limited to know otherwise. Those applying the laws of nature would know that they were not magicians.
    If we don't know what magic or supernatural actually are, then how can we say that they do not use laws of nature?
    Because if they are natural they are not supernatural.
    If something "supernatural" created the "natural" universe that we know, then the supernatural must have some connection to the natural. So one is just some kind of extension of the other. They can't be separate if they have some connection - quite literally!
    So you think the natural world cannot have come about by supernatural means......
    Try telling that to a supernaturalist.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 13 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 12:46 PM Jumped Up Chimpanzee has replied

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     Message 19 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 3:11 PM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 17 of 549 (572557)
    08-06-2010 2:40 PM
    Reply to: Message 14 by Modulous
    08-06-2010 1:30 PM


    Re: The success of the supernatural hypothesis
    If humans were not satisfied with "Osiris was chasing his cock down the Nile this season and forgot to work his magic" as an answer to "why did my crops fail?" then we'd never have planted next years crops.
    I guess it is a good job most of us aren't expected to plant any crops this year!!
    So as a pragmatic hypothesis, the supernatural one has succeeded wonderfully. We need to have some intellectual curiosity, but not enough to undermine our survival and reproduction prospects. That's what we've evolved with, and as long as I am me, I'll continue to be lured by spooky explanations that 'feel' good (ie., as long as my brain exists and is generating a functioning mind).
    I think you are right to suggest that we are all irrationally superstitious to some extent. Even when we rationally know it is nonsense.
    But obviously, any hypothesis which maintains unverifiablility and unfalsifiability at its core is a bunch of wank as far as actually providing any explanation in which we can have real confidence in.
    Well it seems obvious to me. But apparently it isn't nearly so obvious to a huge number of people. What is it that either we are seeing that they are not or they are seeing that we are not?
    Though we certainly have the capacity to have a feeling of confidence about them
    And that feeling of confidence seems to ultimately be responsible for a great deal of dispute. The EvC debate board would I suspect be a very quiet place without it.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 14 by Modulous, posted 08-06-2010 1:30 PM Modulous has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 18 by Modulous, posted 08-06-2010 3:10 PM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 20 of 549 (572566)
    08-06-2010 3:21 PM
    Reply to: Message 18 by Modulous
    08-06-2010 3:10 PM


    Re: The success of the supernatural hypothesis
    Mod writes:
    Your mind contains a model of the world that it expects is accurate.
    OK. As does my supernaturalistic "opponent" (to describe one with an opposing view)
    Mod writes:
    As such - their 'visual model' of what they are experiencing when confronted with something might be quite different than our own.
    OK. But is it "correct"? How do they (or indeed we) determine this? Epystemology 101. Def your bag!!!
    Mod writes:
    What they aren't seeing therefore (I think) is a viable alternative model that can be reasonably adopted to account for all the things they have previously experienced (memories of which are altered to retain consistency...).
    Why is "their" view unreasonable and "our" view viable? What makes it such?
    Mod writes:
    Basically it's the old 'worldview'/cognitive dissonance argument.
    AAAAArrrGGGhhh!!!
    But that aside.
    Surely some world views are more "reasonable" and "viable" than others? What determines this? When does (the much overstated) cognitive dissonance come into play on such matters?
    Mod writes:
    They see it - they just make different links, associations and inferences (or just plainly cast it aside as an outlier).
    So are all POV equally valid?
    And that feeling of confidence seems to ultimately be responsible for a great deal of dispute. The EvC debate board would I suspect be a very quiet place without it.
    Yep - and it's also how professional poker players make a profit
    Yep. And if there was a "reality" poker game the supernaturalist would be clasping his hands over his naked genitals whilst debating which sock to remove as the last garment before one.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 18 by Modulous, posted 08-06-2010 3:10 PM Modulous has replied

    Replies to this message:
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    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 21 of 549 (572567)
    08-06-2010 3:25 PM
    Reply to: Message 19 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee
    08-06-2010 3:11 PM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    If it could never be defined as natural, why is that? What is the dividing line between supernatural and natural?
    Imperceptible unknowablity?
    Seriously - A theist or some other form of supernaturalist would be better placed to answer these questions.
    I basically agree with you.
    But if "gods" (or whatever) is just that which we don't understand in the same sense that Thor is simply static electricity building up in clouds then I have no quarrel with the supernatural per se.
    But I doubt that those who advocate supernatural explanations would accept that definition.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 19 by Jumped Up Chimpanzee, posted 08-06-2010 3:11 PM Jumped Up Chimpanzee has not replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 26 of 549 (572610)
    08-06-2010 7:18 PM
    Reply to: Message 22 by slevesque
    08-06-2010 3:28 PM


    Re: Defining terms
    As much as it pains me here is a dictionary definition:
    Link writes:
    supernatural (spr-nchr-l)
    adj.
    1. Of or relating to existence outside the natural world.
    2. Attributed to a power that seems to violate or go beyond natural forces.
    3. Of or relating to a deity.
    4. Of or relating to the immediate exercise of divine power; miraculous.
    5. Of or relating to the miraculous.
    n.
    That which is supernatural.
    supernatural [ˌsupəˈntʃrəl -ˈntʃərəl]
    adj
    1. (Spirituality, New Age, Astrology & Self-help / Alternative Belief Systems) of or relating to things that cannot be explained according to natural laws
    2. (Spirituality, New Age, Astrology & Self-help / Alternative Belief Systems) characteristic of or caused by or as if by a god; miraculous
    3. (Spirituality, New Age, Astrology & Self-help / Alternative Belief Systems) of, involving, or ascribed to occult beings
    4. exceeding the ordinary; abnormal
    n
    (Spirituality, New Age, Astrology & Self-help / Alternative Belief Systems) the. supernatural forces, occurrences, and beings collectively or their realm
    supernaturally adv
    supernaturalness n
    Link
    For the purposes of this thread I would suggest - The divine, the miraculous and/or that pertaining "to things that cannot be explained according to natural laws". And by "cannot" I mean inherenetly cannot. Not just that it is practically difficult to do so.
    Alternate universes can potentially be investigated in terms of, and explained according to, natural laws. So can magnetism. Can God? Can the soul? Can the afterlife? What experiments can we conceivably do to study these phenomenon?
    These things may well have material explanations. But I don't think many supernaturalists would be very happy having the object of their belief being reduced down to an equation or demonstrated as to exist only as a result of the material brains of humans.
    In general it seems supernaturalists want to be able to claim the innate and inherent incomprehensibility of the object of their beliefs when it suits them but suddenly get all coy about this innate unknowabliity when seeking to conflate supernatural notions of God with materially derived concepts such as alternate universes in conversations like this one.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 22 by slevesque, posted 08-06-2010 3:28 PM slevesque has not replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 42 of 549 (572765)
    08-07-2010 1:01 PM
    Reply to: Message 31 by Buzsaw
    08-06-2010 8:59 PM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    Hey Buz
    Buz writes:
    Your watered down and simplistic rendition of the supernatural hypothes......
    Feel free to supply a fuller and more involved rendition of the supernatural hypothesis if you want. All I ask is that in doing so you recognise the fact that the supernatural hypothesis (in one form or another) seems to have been around for as long as man has existed.
    In other words the supernatural hypothesis does not begin and end with your specific Christian notion of the supernatural. Agreed?
    Buz writes:
    ......lacks many of the ramifications of the supernatural intelligent designer, the historical events and fulfilled Biblical prophecy.
    I was talking to a Muslim recently who claims that the Koran "predicted" the Big Bang. Post hoc interpretation of metaphorically ambiguous texts made with the benefits of scientific or historical hindsight are no more "predictions" than are the musing of Nostradamus. But I am sure you have a topic on that subject already going. So point me to it and I will pursue the issue of prediction with you there if you so wish.
    As for ID. What is it exactly that you think a supernatural intelligent designer is required to explain?
    And why a supernatural designer rather than a natural one?
    Buz writes:
    Now I know that this is a science forum, but if you intend to bring the supernatural into this discussion and yet disallow supernatural evidence, you're whistling in the wind.
    Given the topic title I hope that admins will see fit to allow "supernatural evidence" to be presented without deeming it off-topic or disallowed simply for it's supernatural nature.
    Personally I am bemused as to what "supernatural evidence" actually is? Can you elaborate with some examples?
    Buz writes:
    When science comes up with a sensible model for problems like, no outside of, no space and no time relative to the alleged singularity, I don't see how science can claim that the supernatural hypothesis has failed.
    If you think every problem in science is a gap in which to insert the supernatural then you are following a dismal tradition of failure spanning the entirety of human history.
    Do you consider the god of the gaps to be a valid argument?
    Buz writes:
    Science has labored incessantly to create useful life and so far, failed, yet science thinks without all of these high tech labs and apparatus being utilized by highly trained intelligent scientists, happenstance eventually achieved useful and indeed, immensely complex life, rife with intelligence, and it allegedly did it with no labs, no apparatus, and no intelligent planner or designer to get it up and going and emerging into billions of various complex systems.
    Your argument here seems to be that because our intelligence has so far proved incapable of producing life from non-life that intelligence must therefore be required to produce life from non-life?
    How does that add-up?
    Buz writes:
    So, no. The supernatural hypothes has not failed. It is very much alive and relevant.
    Why? Because we cannot wholly discern and/or replicate the extreme conditions of the Earth and/or universe billions of years ago?
    Don't you think that if there are non-supernatural answers to these questions that they might be quite difficult to investigate?
    Or does that not enter your thinking?

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 31 by Buzsaw, posted 08-06-2010 8:59 PM Buzsaw has not replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 43 of 549 (572766)
    08-07-2010 1:14 PM
    Reply to: Message 41 by Blue Jay
    08-07-2010 12:41 PM


    Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
    Bluejay writes:
    How can it be a hypothesis?
    By being posited as an explanation for known phenomenon.
    Can all supernatural concepts be combined under a single, unified hypothesis?
    My instinct is to point out that they are all as un-evidenced as each other and all seem to claim immunity from being investigated in terms of any reliable notion of evidence as each other. Thus (instinctively) my answer to your question is - Yes.
    But I am prepared to abandon or compromise that (admittedly) instinctive position if you can give me reason to?
    I’m a little leery of the notion that any given set of supernatural ideas is an appropriate sample for testing the merits of all supernatural ideas in general, especially given the wide disparity in the concepts of different supernatural ideas. I think, at the very least, you need to break it up into a few distinct hypotheses: maybe supernatural phenomena, and supernatural beings, for starters.
    Can you give examples of the sort of thing you are distinguishing between? And the evidential difference you think there is between the two types you have mentioned (i.e. "phenomenon" and "beings"?)
    On another note, how do you feel about natural processes that are entirely stochastic (assuming such processes exist)? We can’t really offer much in the way of a naturalistic mechanism for such things, so calling them natural is a little off. But, calling them supernatural is probably also not warranted.
    Stochastic (I had to look up this word) meaning conjectural or probabalistic?
    Again can you give an example of something that you would consider to be "stochastic" but which we can all agree is not supernatural?

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 41 by Blue Jay, posted 08-07-2010 12:41 PM Blue Jay has not replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 48 of 549 (572783)
    08-07-2010 3:55 PM
    Reply to: Message 44 by Buzsaw
    08-07-2010 3:13 PM


    Re: Defining terms
    So now, listen up, sheeples. Here's how they do the science. Concoct up a mathmatical numbers game, ignore the observable laws of the universe and go with it for the multiple universe thingy.
    I know. I know. It's terrible. After the tragic failures of successfully predicting all manner of since observed physical phenomenon you would think we would have learnt not to give any credence at all to those pesky mathematical models.
    The fact that most of modern physics has followed this method of discovery should in no way be taken into account. Of course.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 44 by Buzsaw, posted 08-07-2010 3:13 PM Buzsaw has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 49 by Buzsaw, posted 08-07-2010 5:23 PM Straggler has replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    (1)
    Message 51 of 549 (572798)
    08-07-2010 6:08 PM
    Reply to: Message 49 by Buzsaw
    08-07-2010 5:23 PM


    Re: Defining terms
    Now you are just ranting Buz.
    When the worldwide conspiracy to suppress the creationist truth emerges, as it surely will, you get to tell us all "I told you so".
    Until that happy day.........

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 49 by Buzsaw, posted 08-07-2010 5:23 PM Buzsaw has not replied

    Straggler
    Member (Idle past 95 days)
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 58 of 549 (572887)
    08-08-2010 11:03 AM
    Reply to: Message 56 by jar
    08-07-2010 9:47 PM


    The Supernatural Explanation For Myths and Stories
    How about you jar. Do you consider the supernatural to be evidenced in any way? You have previously cited the existence of myths and stories to be indicative of the actual existence of the supernatural.
    jar writes:
    I consider all Gods and gods to be evidenced. The evidence is the stories themselves. Message 329
    Why is the actual existence of something supernatural the best explanation (or even an explanation that should be given any credence at all) for the recorded fact of human belief in such things?
    The evidence points to the existence of other dimensions and perhaps universes.
    What doe the evidence suggest regarding the source of supernatural myths and stories?

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 56 by jar, posted 08-07-2010 9:47 PM jar has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 59 by jar, posted 08-08-2010 11:22 AM Straggler has replied

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