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Author | Topic: A Modern Day Miracle Man - Establishes the Supernatural Realm | |||||||||||||||||||||||
PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
This really falls short of proof - or even solid evidence.
However, since your examples supposedly followed the prediction by a reasonably short period of time, there is a way for you to provide better evidence. Choose 3 recent predictions that have not yet ocurred, and which could not reasonable be engineered by TB Joshua or his supporters. If one of them proves to be accurate to a reasonable level of detail within a month I will concede that you have offered reasonable evidence. If none of them have been fulfilled in that time period, will you accept that your evidence may be less than you claim ?
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: It is an observation. All you have is claims of faith healing (an area rife with fraud and with no solid record of authenticated cases) and reports of predictions written AFTER the supposed fulfilment. It's easy to "predict" things after they ocurr.
quote: If you really beleived that he could reliably predict the future, you would have no hesitation in doing it. Or at least offering a reasonable explanation why you could not. If you don't trust his ability to make real predicitons, why should I ?
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: This appears to indicate a crash on the following Friday, the 24th April - the day that he asks his congregation to pray and fast, the last Friday of the month. Note that here it is referred to using the future tense.
quote: Here it is referred to in the past tense. TB Joshaa is speaking as though that the crash had already happened. He doesn't repeat his warning, he doesn't ask his congregation to pray on future Fridays, there is nothing to indicate that the event had not yet ocurred. The 24th of April was past - the 22nd May still in the future. The evidence indicates that TB Joshua meant the 24th April - not 22nd May. Of course it would be far better evidence to produce a prediction BEFORE the fact, and see it come true. Perhaps Cedre you would like to tell us the reason why you refuse to even consider that.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: Wrong. Even if that were a valid criticism (and it is not) the other points I raise still stand. You yourself asserted that the "Friday of the Month" must refer to a specific day. It is clear that a word is missing - because more is needed to make it refer to a specific day. "Last" is certainly a candidate - and based on the other evidence one of the most likely ones. Can you think of a word that would make it refer to May 22nd ? I cannot.
quote: Yet his vision was in the past when he spoke on the 19th - but in the quotes you gave he does not use the past tense at all on the 19th - and he does not use any other on the 26th. So the evidence that he meant 24th April and not 22nd May is: He specifically asked for prayers to be said on the 24th April, and on no other Friday On the 19th he issued a warning against traveling, but on no later day. (And if he had specifically meant the 22nd May he should have repeated the warning on the previous Sunday ! - the 17th May) The "Friday of the Month" plausibly means the 24th April - and does NOT plausibly mean 22nd May, as a specific date. While the reference on the 19th referred to it as a future event, the repeat on the 26th exclusively uses the past tense. The only date clearly indicated is the 24th April. There is NO reference to any later date whatsoever.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: Why I am not allowed to suggest that the missing word is "last" ? That is all that I did, and I had good reasons for doing it. Reasons which you have not refuted.
quote: It is apparently not YOUR way if speaking either, since you offer no viable alternative. And even if I could see the video (and I know of no way to do that) and even if Joshua said no more it is still likely that he missed the word out of his speech. People who are speaking DO sometimes do that, just as Joshua neglects to say what he is praying for on the 26th.
quote: I certainly did not forget it - as I pointed out it offered NO evidence that any other date than the 24th April was meant.
quote: Perhaps because he did not know what had happened (he could hardly have news of the crash since it did not happen), or perhaps praying for the souls of the dead or even for the survivors or those left behind. Joshua doesn't say what he is praying for or why.
quote: No, it is expected. It is more interesting that you neither quote nor link to this statement, so I can answer it.
quote: Normally that would be true - people can misspeak. However if he misspoke then it negates this example as a valid example of a successful prediction. For that we must look at what he said BEFORE the alleged fulfillment - not what he claims that he meant after the fact.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: No I am not. YOU are makign false accusations as an excuse to avoid the evidence.
quote: You can't reoffer your alternative for the missing word, because you haven't offered one.
quote: If the best you can do is argue that one line of evidnece is inconclusive - and that is all you are doing here - you have not got much of a case.
quote: You seem very happy to speculate that the only reaosn he sued the past tense on the 26th was that he was reciting his vision - when he did not do so on the 19th.
quote: Yet - so far as either of us knows - the phrase is meaningless. Thus it is more plausible that he missed a word. (And of course "the month" would be April, and the only Friday left in April would be the 24th...)
quote: I have not suggested any such thing. It is far more likely that only one word was missing, and the assumption that he meant to give that specific date begs the question.
quote: Except for the fact that my suggestions involve no implausibilities, and both of yours do.
quote: Because that alternative ASSUMES that he got it on the dot.
quote: How could it ?(Indeed it is entirely possible that TB Joshua introduced the idea of it being a private jet on the 26th BECAUSE he had not heard of a crash on the 24th - the quote on the 19th says no such thing. Reports of the crash of a private jet somewhere overseas might well not have reached him in time). quote: I am not the one making false accusations, ignoring evidence or begging the question. You are doing all of these. A quote about motes and beams comes to mind As for your response to bluegenes the photographs clearly show that the plane in question uses propellors, rather than jets. Did you not see that ? They are clearly visible.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: As I sated, all I did was offer an entirely reasonable idea of what Joshua meant. I did not use quote marks, and the words that YOU attributed to Joshua were clearly distinguished form the rest.
quote: You are falsely accusing me of twisting Joshua's words. Be truly honest - you just don't like the idea that Joshua meant the 24th April, because that makes the prophecy a failure. That is the ONLY reason for your accusation.
quote: And anybody with eyes could see that I used bolding to distinguish MY word from Joshua's. Thus your accusation is false.
quote: So, when, on the 119th Joshua said "Firday of the month" he was "reciting his vision" - how is THAT an alternative meaning of the phrase ? You need to pay attention to the context.
quote:A line of evidence, not a line of text. The exclsuive use of past tense on the 26th is one line of evidence. quote: Only if you assume in advance that the "prophecy" is likely genuine. However to do so, begs the question. Since I am taking an honest, unbiased look at the evidence I cannot make that assumption.
quote: That is not a rational argument. It is just speculation.
quote: That is obviously wrong. Just because I can make an entirely plausible suggestion as to what Joshua likely meant does not give you license to put up any change you like as if it were equally plausible. If you can offer evidence - real evidence that does not rely on begging the question, that Joshua DID mean 22nd May, now would be a good time to do it.
quote: The idea that the phrase is complete - when you have absolutely no evidence of that is implausible. The idea that Joshua meant to give a specific date rather than something like "last" or "fourth" is implausible.
quote: Because missing one word out is very easy. Missing out the whole date is more difficult.
quote: Again you make a compeltely false accusation.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: In other words, your only reason for rejecting it is that it makes the prophecy a failure. That's just begging the question again.
quote: And I clearly distinguished it from the quote. As you know.
quote: I certainly would like you to be honest.
quote: According to you he only uses a SIMILAR phrase elsewhere. And you haven't given ANY reason to connect that to your conclusion. THAT is why it is not a rational argument.
quote: Again I am not simply offering speculation beased on what I owuld like to be the case. All I offered was a reasonable possiblity - better than any of the alternatives you have offered.. And your summary ignores - yet again - the other lines of evidence, which you have not yet answered.
quote: By which you mean that you call me a liar because you can't refute my arguments.
quote: "last Friday of the month" is a meaningful phrase as we both know. There is other evidence that TB Joshua meant the 24th. Thuis it is a reasonable suggestion.
quote: That would be an unusal phrase in English, it requires missing more elements. And it seems that Joshua did NOT know in advance that the crash would be on the 22nd May - since if he did he should have mentioned it again on the preceding Sunday (and if he did, you did not mention it).
quote: I shall restrict myself to pointing out that this is another false accusation.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: You gave no other evidence why it is unreasonable to think that Joshua may have meant the "last Friday of the month"
quote: Err, it is up to you to supply the connection. Simply using a similar but different phrase occasionaly (which may also be a mistake) is hardly significant evidence. (The more so since you say that he meant a specific date - there is only one Friday in a week but at least 4 in a month. Which of these Fridays would "Friday of the month" mean and why ?)
quote: You are misrepresenting my position. All I say about the choice of "last" is that is is a plausible possibility. I use other evidence to conclude that Joshua meant 24th April. If you disagree review my posts.
quote: I gave a list of evidence in Message 48
He specifically asked for prayers to be said on the 24th April, and on no other Friday On the 19th he issued a warning against traveling, but on no later day. (And if he had specifically meant the 22nd May he should have repeated the warning on the previous Sunday ! - the 17th May) The "Friday of the Month" plausibly means the 24th April - and does NOT plausibly mean 22nd May, as a specific date. While the reference on the 19th referred to it as a future event, the repeat on the 26th exclusively uses the past tense.
You have only attempted to answer the last two.
quote: No, I am not ignoring it. He is still speaking English and in the absence of any evidence that the phrase is used in Nigeria - and you have yet to offer any - the fact that it is unusual counts as evidence. As I say, if it really is a valid phrase all you have to do is offer the evidence.
quote: If there is any important point I missed, please feel free to raise it again. I will answer it. However, given your statement, I feel free to assume that YOU are unable to address the points in my post that YOU did not answer.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: In other words you don't understand the point. Why ask them to pray on a specific day = and only ON A SPECIFIC DAY unless that were the day of the crash ?
quote: If TB Joshua had known that the crash would happen on the 22nd May that in itself WOULD be a good reason to repeat the warning on the 17th May. It would remind people of the warning (given a month earlier) and reinforce it for the very day the crash was due to happen !
quote: You aren't paying attention to the context again. That was said in discussing the exact words Joshua might have MEANT to say. So, I said that it is implausible that TB Joshua meant to SAY a specific date - rather than something like "last" of "fourth" and you take that as meaning that he could not have meant to say "last" or "fourth" because they are (IN CONTEXT) references to a specific date...The obvious contradiction in your reading should have been a warning that you had got something wrong. Also, I did not say that "giving a specific date" would be question-begging (arguing that he meant 22nd May BECAUSE the crash happened on the 22nd May IS question-begging !) As for your reply:
quote: Don't you think that you should have actually understood what I was saying in context before indulging youerself in a nasty little rant ? Edited to address the point Cedre added after I started to reply:
quote: Again this requires a much larger error than omitting a single word. It also contradicts your claim that "Friday of the month" referred to a specific day. And if the only "evidence" that he meant that is the fact that the crash happened on a Friday of the next month you are begging the question AGAIN. Edited by PaulK, : No reason given.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: I didn't say that God was limited by time. And I am not the one who asked for prayers to be said on a specific day - that was TB Joshua.
quote: As I have shown there are a number of indications that the 24th April was the intended day. And the choice of the day for prayers to be said is one. Simply suggesting that there might be other reasons does not negate it as evidence.
quote: In other words you simply ASSUME that a reminder and reinforcement FOR THE VERY DAY THAT THE CRASH WILL HAPPEN is not a good idea. But you don't give any reason why.
quote: Isn't it interesting how I tell you that you are ignoring the context - and you ignore the context again. And you say it is clear English - and ignore the fact that your reading makes it horribly unclear. My explanation - unlike tyour "clear" reading does NOT involve contradictions. For the record, here is the point I was arguing against from Message 76:
"Friday of the month" could mean the "22th Friday of the May month" our additions have one thing in common, both are based on speculation, call it plausible speculation, its still speculation, and the word plausible doesn't give any more weight to speculation, as plausible things don't always happen.
You were arguing that when Joshua said "Friday of the Month" he might have meant to say "22th Friday of the May month".
quote: Indeed it would be. However I have not made that argument. You, on the other hand, have more than once argued that the fact that the crash happened on the 22nd of May IS a reason to think that Joshua meant 22nd May ! Edited by PaulK, : No reason given.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: If you beleived that you would have had no problem taking up my challenge issued at the start of the thread. You refused, point-blank.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: You fail to address my rebuttal. TB Joshua was the one who said to pray on a specific day - not me. He felt that it was somehow important to pray on that day rather than another. THAT is my point !
quote: I have read them, and no, you have not shredded my argument. Even worse for you the evidence of editing in the video produced by Modulous suggests that the transcription omits words too, without giving any indication that this has been done.
quote: I DON'T assume that. Although you have done so, quite frequently.
quote: You were the one who said that "Friday of the Month" indicated a specific day. And that there will be a family killed in a jet crash on some Friday at some time is, sadly, an inevitability.
quote: That would be more plausible, although it goes against your idea that he meant a specific day - and simply speculating that he might have been right is not proof that he was right (remember you are the one claiming to have proof of the supernatural - I don't have to prove that he was definitely wrong, all I haver to do is show that there is reasonable doubt). However, now that we have evidence suggesting that there were preceding words - omitted from the publically available video AND the transcription - it seems likely that the missing word or words WERE spoken and preceded "Friday of the month".
quote: As I have already shown there are several reasons to think that he did mean 24th April. And "a Friday" is very unimpressive.. Edited by PaulK, : No reason given.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
quote: That's because you can't answer my points adequately.
quote: I offered to address any important point that I had missed, if you brought it to my attention. You didn't take me up on the offer.
quote: You keep ignoring the fact that it was TB Joshua who asked for prayer on that specific day. The date mattered enough to him to specify it.
quote: I won't admit it because it isn't true.
quote: Given that we have zero evidence of this supposed skeptical oversight I have my doubts.
quote: If we read your first few posts you will see that this is NOT true.You said it in message 9 Message 9 answering Caffeine.
Tb Joshua also said Friday of the month and asked his congregation to pray on the Friday of the month, it must have been a known Friday in that case.
I suggested that he might have meant the last Friday of the month in message 31 Message 31.
quote: No, none of the reasons are based on any of those things.
quote: The day of the week and the "type" of plane were clearly not very specific. Wait long enough and it WILL happen. Given also that there is evidence that he predicted the wrong date, and grounds for suspicion that the video has been edited to conceal this fact it the prediction is rather less impressive than you claim.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.3 |
On the last, he mistyped - he meant 24th April. There's a lot wrong in his arguments but that is a trivial error.
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