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Author Topic:   Inductive Atheism
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 286 of 536 (610372)
03-29-2011 11:36 AM
Reply to: Message 284 by Straggler
03-29-2011 11:09 AM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
CS writes:
If your "supernatural event" occured and scientists were capable of studying it and determining a naturalistic explanation, then it wouldn't be supernatural.
My emphasis.
How else can something become known in science?
Of course the supernatural source of a concept can be known. You are conflating the demonstrable existence of such a being and the ability to materially explain it's existence. If the supernatural being in question was sitting in front of Xongsmiths team of white coated experts the source of the supernatural concept in question would be very fucking evidentially obvious wouldn't it?
For example - The demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus Christ is quite obviously positive evidence in favour of the actual existence of the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus.
Then, the people who though Jim Jones was a supernatural being had a source for their concept that was not their imagination.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 284 by Straggler, posted 03-29-2011 11:09 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 287 by Straggler, posted 03-29-2011 11:54 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 287 of 536 (610375)
03-29-2011 11:54 AM
Reply to: Message 286 by New Cat's Eye
03-29-2011 11:36 AM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
CS writes:
How else can something become known in science?
The existence of an entity can become known to science simply by virtue of being empirically detectable. But do you understand the difference between "materially undetectable" and "inherently materially inexplicable".......? As per the Jesus example given previously.
CS writes:
Then, the people who though Jim Jones was a supernatural being had a source for their concept that was not their imagination.
What, aside from their need to believe combined with their imagination, led people to believe that Jim Jones was a supernatural being rather than a man claiming to be one? What tests of this "supernaturality" were undertaken?
Humans wrongly believing things to be supernatural is evidence in favour of the human imagination theory. Not evidence against it. Obviously.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 286 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-29-2011 11:36 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 289 by Jon, posted 03-29-2011 12:56 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 290 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-30-2011 11:46 AM Straggler has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 288 of 536 (610383)
03-29-2011 12:54 PM
Reply to: Message 285 by Straggler
03-29-2011 11:32 AM


Re: Absolutely Agnostic To Everything Imaginable?
Then on what basis are you advocating agnosticism rather than tentative atheism?
What does either agnosticism or atheism have to do with the parts you quoted from my Message 21? Where in this thread have I ever advocated one position over the other?
They are the same methods by which ANY evidence based scientific conclusion is drawn. Inductively derived evidence based conclusions that tentatively discard unevidenced alternatives are how all scientific conclsusions are structured Jon.
Indeed; and when it comes to many god concepts, such methodology is perfectly applicable.
But how is any of this related to your theory on supernatural concepts?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 285 by Straggler, posted 03-29-2011 11:32 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 291 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 1:28 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 289 of 536 (610384)
03-29-2011 12:56 PM
Reply to: Message 287 by Straggler
03-29-2011 11:54 AM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
But do you understand the difference between "materially undetectable" and "inherently materially inexplicable".......?
Why don't you explain it to us...
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 287 by Straggler, posted 03-29-2011 11:54 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 292 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 1:51 PM Jon has replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 290 of 536 (610493)
03-30-2011 11:46 AM
Reply to: Message 287 by Straggler
03-29-2011 11:54 AM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
The existence of an entity can become known to science simply by virtue of being empirically detectable.
I think there's more to it than that...
But do you understand the difference between "materially undetectable" and "inherently materially inexplicable".......?
I dunno... If its materially undetectable then it is inherently materially inexplicable, but the opposite isn't necessarily true.
What, aside from their need to believe combined with their imagination, led people to believe that Jim Jones was a supernatural being rather than a man claiming to be one? What tests of this "supernaturality" were undertaken?
Exactly. What tests are going to be performed that are going to lead the scientists to know that the Jesus is supernatural?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 287 by Straggler, posted 03-29-2011 11:54 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 293 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 2:11 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 291 of 536 (610507)
03-30-2011 1:28 PM
Reply to: Message 288 by Jon
03-29-2011 12:54 PM


Imagined Entities
Jon writes:
What does either agnosticism or atheism have to do with the parts you quoted from my Message 21?
Here is that passage again:
Jon previously writes:
I think it can be safely agreed upon by most that if there is a supernatural God whose interaction with this world cannot be sensed, then the origin of any concept related to that God can indeed come from nowhere other than the human imagination.
Hence the conclusion that the actual existence of such necessary fictions should be taken no more seriously than any other unfalsifiable notion the human imagination is capable of conjuring up. Hence tentative atheism towards the actual existence of such beings.
Jon writes:
Straggler writes:
They are the same methods by which ANY evidence based scientific conclusion is drawn. Inductively derived evidence based conclusions that tentatively discard unevidenced alternatives are how all scientific conclsusions are structured Jon.
Indeed; and when it comes to many god concepts, such methodology is perfectly applicable.
As per the methodology we are inductively applying it to ALL such concepts. Which concepts do you think this methodology cannot or should not be inductively applied to?
Jon writes:
But how is any of this related to your theory on supernatural concepts?
The inductively derived high confidence theory that ALL such concepts are products of the human mind and no more likely to actually exist than any other unfalsifiable fiction.
Jon writes:
Where in this thread have I ever advocated one position over the other?
Given that you too think all supernatural god concepts are human fictions on what basis do you think that such things are any more or less likely to actually exist than (for example) ethereal toilet goblins?
In evidential terms is there any difference between the two and if not is there any basis for making a distinction in terms of taking an agnostic or tentatively atheistic position?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 288 by Jon, posted 03-29-2011 12:54 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 296 by Jon, posted 03-30-2011 5:05 PM Straggler has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 292 of 536 (610511)
03-30-2011 1:51 PM
Reply to: Message 289 by Jon
03-29-2011 12:56 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
Jon writes:
Straggler writes:
But do you understand the difference between "materially undetectable" and "inherently materially inexplicable".......?
Why don't you explain it to us...
What do you think the example of an empirically detectable supernatural Christ 'God the son' was about? And if really interested you could look up the meaning of "undetectable" and compare it to the meaning of "inexplicable" using a dictionary...... But for the fun of it I will go through it again using our old Armageddon example to highlight the difference in thinking:
The second coming of Christ 'God the son' and ensuing Armageddon is in full swing. Christians are being exhalted into raptuous heavenly paradise, the dead coming bodily back to life, giant scorpions drag people into a great fiery abyss, Angels start decreeing various plagues on the unfaithful and the fornicators. Meanwhile a team of highly qualified white coated experts observe and document the events and beings described above. They hastily publish their results in a peer reviewed journal before being cast into the abyss to be tormented for all eternity by demons.
Now by your reckoning these events and beings fail to be evidence of anything supernatural simply by virtue of being empirically detectable. Even as our white coated experts are flung into the fiery abyss to be tortured by demons for all eternity than can congratulate themselves on their rational rejection of the supernatural because there remains absolutely no evidence of supernatural beings actually existing. All is natural in the world right up to and including the end of times occurring as biblically foretold. Hurrah for the supernatural skeptics say you and Xongsmith in unison even as you too are handed judgement of your eternal fate from Christ himself.
Now I say this is fucking silly. I say that these events do quite clearly constitute positive evidence of the supernatural beings and events described in the bible. The fact that Jesus and Angels etc. are empirically detectable doesn't somehow make these magical concepts unbounded by any laws of nature, material restrictions or physical nature of the world "natural". The demonstrable abilities, indeed very existence, of these beings would seem to be as materially inexplicable in terms of natural laws (as "unknowable") as all those Christians whom I had thought so silly kept saying.
As such I, along with Mod and bluegenes, would consider it reasonable to admit that positive evidence for the supernatural does exist and thus consider bluegenes theory falsified by any reasonable measure. Furthermore I think we would also consider it reasonable to admit that in the face of the second coming of Christ 'God the son' our tentative atheism should also be considered falsified.
I guess that is just the kind of reasonable and willing to accept when we are wrong kinda guys that we are.........
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 289 by Jon, posted 03-29-2011 12:56 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 298 by Jon, posted 03-30-2011 5:57 PM Straggler has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 293 of 536 (610514)
03-30-2011 2:11 PM
Reply to: Message 290 by New Cat's Eye
03-30-2011 11:46 AM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
The existence of an entity can become known to science simply by virtue of being empirically detectable.
I think there's more to it than that...
Like? If gods are materially detectable to humans why can we not photograph them, film them etc. Are they shy?
CS writes:
I dunno... If its materially undetectable then it is inherently materially inexplicable,....
If it's materially undetectable then no human can have detected it and the concept in question is necessarily a product of human imagination. How can it be otherwise?
CS writes:
....but the opposite isn't necessarily true.
My point exactly. A supernatural being such as Christ or Thor or Zeus or whatever would be materially detectable but their abilities and even existence would not be able to be explained in material terms. As the son of God born from a virgin the DNA of Christ would be really rather interesting wouldn't it? Would he in scientific DNA analysis terms be a clone of his mother? Would he have sort of "perfect" DNA? Would he have any DNA at all?
CS writes:
What tests are going to be performed that are going to lead the scientists to know that the Jesus is supernatural?
Evidence based inquiry can never lead one to "know" in the sense of prove can it? But the giveaway that such a being might be supernatural would be derived from things like the above and from their abilities. The being that exactly matches the biblical description of Christ turns vats of water into fine merlot, does a little jig on top of a puddle without getting his toes wet, feeds the entire city on a few bread crumbs and a pilchard before announcing - "Whilst this has been fun I really do need to get on with bringing about the end of times". At which point the whole biblical Armageddon thing kicks off.
Are you really saying that this wouldn't falsify bluegenes theory? At the very least can you see why Mod, bluegenes and I think it does?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 290 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-30-2011 11:46 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 294 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-30-2011 2:44 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 297 by Jon, posted 03-30-2011 5:05 PM Straggler has replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 294 of 536 (610516)
03-30-2011 2:44 PM
Reply to: Message 293 by Straggler
03-30-2011 2:11 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
Like?
Like actually studying it.
If gods are materially detectable to humans why can we not photograph them, film them etc. Are they shy?
I don't know.
If it's materially undetectable then no human can have detected it and the concept in question is necessarily a product of human imagination. How can it be otherwise?
Do you really want me to speculate here?
My point exactly. A supernatural being such as Christ or Thor or Zeus or whatever would be materially detectable but their abilities and even existence would not be able to be explained in material terms.
Right, so they couldn't become known to science.
As the son of God born from a virgin the DNA of Christ would be really rather interesting wouldn't it? Would he in scientific DNA analysis terms be a clone of his mother? Would he have sort of "perfect" DNA? Would he have any DNA at all?
Its your analogy...
Evidence based inquiry can never lead one to "know" in the sense of prove can it?
Once again, I'll tell you that I will not use the word "know" in any since that means proven or that would require the scare-quotes around it.
But the giveaway that such a being might be supernatural would be derived from things like the above and from their abilities. The being that exactly matches the biblical description of Christ turns vats of water into fine merlot, does a little jig on top of a puddle without getting his toes wet, feeds the entire city on a few bread crumbs and a pilchard before announcing - "Whilst this has been fun I really do need to get on with bringing about the end of times". At which point the whole biblical Armageddon thing kicks off.
I still don't see how science would know that its supernatural. I think the causes of those things would remain as unknown, unless they did have a naturalistic explantion, but then they would actually be supernatural.
Are you really saying that this wouldn't falsify bluegenes theory?
Yes, because the source of those supernatural concepts would either be shown to have a naturalistic explanation or would remain as scientifically unknown.
At the very least can you see why Mod, bluegenes and I think it does?
I can see why it would convince you guys that you were wrong about the supernatural, but I don't see it actually falsifying the theory.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 293 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 2:11 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 295 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 3:16 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 295 of 536 (610517)
03-30-2011 3:16 PM
Reply to: Message 294 by New Cat's Eye
03-30-2011 2:44 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
If gods are materially detectable to humans why can we not photograph them, film them etc. Are they shy?
I don't know.
Maybe because they don't actually exist?
CS writes:
Like actually studying it.
In the bewildering absence of any empirical evidence for empirically detectable beings that billions of people have claimed to have expereinced empirically..... All we have available to study are the supernatural concepts as described by humans. And the more we study those the more evidence there is in favour of the human imagination theory under discussion.
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
If it's materially undetectable then no human can have detected it and the concept in question is necessarily a product of human imagination. How can it be otherwise?
Do you really want me to speculate here?
Given that the entire notion that supernatural beings actually exist is derived from such baseless speculation combined with human conviction I am not sure what is stopping you from doing so. Feel free. I am intrigued to hear what you have to say on the matter.
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
My point exactly. A supernatural being such as Christ or Thor or Zeus or whatever would be materially detectable but their abilities and even existence would not be able to be explained in material terms.
Right, so they couldn't become known to science.
Since when did "known" and "explained" mean the same thing? There are all sorts of things "known" to science that as yet lack scientific explanation. Dark matter, abiogenesis, consciousness, gravitational singularities etc. etc. etc. etc.
CS writes:
Once again, I'll tell you that I will not use the word "know" in any since that means proven or that would require the scare-quotes around it.
Given your conflation of "known" with "explained" I have little confidence in your ability to make the more subtle differentiation between evidence based forms of tentative "knowledge" from a more definitive form of "know".
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
he being that exactly matches the biblical description of Christ turns vats of water into fine merlot, does a little jig on top of a puddle without getting his toes wet, feeds the entire city on a few bread crumbs and a pilchard before announcing - "Whilst this has been fun I really do need to get on with bringing about the end of times". At which point the whole biblical Armageddon thing kicks off.
I still don't see how science would know that its supernatural.
You now seem to be suggesting that the demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus isn't evidence in favour of the actual existence of the supernatural Christian concept of Jesus. Even the most rabid cynic would have to admit that this is a somewhat overly skeptical approach.
CS writes:
I can see why it would convince you guys that you were wrong about the supernatural, but I don't see it actually falsifying the theory.
If you are not demanding proof for falsification then what distinction are you making here?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 294 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-30-2011 2:44 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 300 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-31-2011 9:57 AM Straggler has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 296 of 536 (610523)
03-30-2011 5:05 PM
Reply to: Message 291 by Straggler
03-30-2011 1:28 PM


Re: Imagined Entities
Given that you too think all supernatural god concepts are human fictions on what basis do you think that such things are any more or less likely to actually exist than (for example) ethereal toilet goblins?
In evidential terms is there any difference between the two and if not is there any basis for making a distinction in terms of taking an agnostic or tentatively atheistic position?
Huh? Like I already said, I'm not advocating either position over the other.
The inductively derived high confidence theory that ALL such concepts are products of the human mind and no more likely to actually exist than any other unfalsifiable fiction.
But, of course, you don't have a clue what the likelihood of existence is for 'unfalsifiable fictions'.
Hence the conclusion that the actual existence of such necessary fictions should be taken no more seriously than any other unfalsifiable notion the human imagination is capable of conjuring up.
Have I ever argued that the existence of supernatural entities of any type should be taken seriously?
Which concepts do you think this methodology cannot or should not be inductively applied to?
You don't seem to understand the difference between god concepts (many of which are natural and falsifiable) and supernatural concepts (none of which are natural and none of which are falsifiableor verifiable, for that matter).
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 291 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 1:28 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 309 by Straggler, posted 04-01-2011 12:13 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 297 of 536 (610524)
03-30-2011 5:05 PM
Reply to: Message 293 by Straggler
03-30-2011 2:11 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
How can you materially detect something without also being able to materially explain it?
A materially detectable Jesus raising materially detectable dead people and giving them a materially detectable life (animation, etc.), and materially detectable demons casting materially detectable scientists into a materially detectable pit of materially detectable flames, and materially detectable plagues wiping out a materially detectable amount of life on the materially detectable planet known as Earth, etc. are materially inexplicable?
Surely you are insane; look, there is Jesus: he got a beard, wears a robe, walks around with an angry pain on his face; and look at those people coming from the graves: they are covered in dirt, with rotting suits and dresses on: behold the demons!: they're covered in scales, their heads and necks are many, and they've strength like nothing before seen; and don't forget those plagues: spots on that man's face tell me he's got the disease, and this withered field of crop says that locusts have been here...
If I can materially detect something, I can materially explain it.
Jon
Edited by Jon, : genitive's clitic

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 293 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 2:11 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 299 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-31-2011 9:44 AM Jon has not replied
 Message 301 by Modulous, posted 03-31-2011 10:17 AM Jon has replied
 Message 316 by Straggler, posted 04-01-2011 10:54 AM Jon has not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 298 of 536 (610526)
03-30-2011 5:57 PM
Reply to: Message 292 by Straggler
03-30-2011 1:51 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
The fact that Jesus and Angels etc. are empirically detectable doesn't somehow make these magical concepts unbounded by any laws of nature, material restrictions or physical nature of the world "natural".
As others have pointed out before, your use of terms such as 'laws of nature' reveal a gross misunderstanding of what science is and what natural laws are really about.
Until this is cleared up, I don't think you will ever understand the points that are being made in this thread (or the other dozens you've started/derailed for discussing the 'supernatural').
Peace.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 292 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 1:51 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 310 by Straggler, posted 04-01-2011 12:27 AM Jon has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 299 of 536 (610546)
03-31-2011 9:44 AM
Reply to: Message 297 by Jon
03-30-2011 5:05 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
How can you materially detect something without also being able to materially explain it?
For one, if it was an isolated incidence.
Also. Sometimes, here at work, we'll get complaints about product performance where we'll receive the result of problem, i.e. materially detect it, but if we cannot replicate the phenomenon in the lab and investigate it, then we can't explain what's happening.
If I can materially detect something, I can materially explain it.
Sometimes we're left with: "It happened, but we don't know how the hell that happened."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 297 by Jon, posted 03-30-2011 5:05 PM Jon has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 300 of 536 (610548)
03-31-2011 9:57 AM
Reply to: Message 295 by Straggler
03-30-2011 3:16 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
All we have available to study are the supernatural concepts as described by humans. And the more we study those...
To be clear: How/what studying?
...the more evidence there is in favour of the human imagination theory under discussion.
If you find an explanation, then it was a naturalistic one, and the theory is supported.
If you don't find an explanation, then the source remains unknown, and theory is not weakened.
All knowable sources are going to be naturalistic explanations.
Since when did "known" and "explained" mean the same thing?
Here? For a while now. What, two threads back?
There are all sorts of things "known" to science that as yet lack scientific explanation. Dark matter, abiogenesis, consciousness, gravitational singularities etc. etc. etc. etc.
That's the thing, the explanation for those things aren't known to science. The way your using it now, yeah, all supernatural being concepts are known to science.
Given your conflation of "known" with "explained" I have little confidence in your ability to make the more subtle differentiation between evidence based forms of tentative "knowledge" from a more definitive form of "know".
Sniffle. Does that mean you're gonna stop typing to me?
You now seem to be suggesting that the demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus isn't evidence in favour of the actual existence of the supernatural Christian concept of Jesus. Even the most rabid cynic would have to admit that this is a somewhat overly skeptical approach.
Does it ever cross your mind that if you think someone is saying something completely ridiculous, that maybe that's not what they're really saying?
If you are not demanding proof for falsification then what distinction are you making here?
That you, yourself, could experience something that was capable of convincing you that a supernatural being exists but that didn't falsify the theory.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 295 by Straggler, posted 03-30-2011 3:16 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 311 by Straggler, posted 04-01-2011 1:19 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied
 Message 312 by Straggler, posted 04-01-2011 1:25 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

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