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Author Topic:   Inductive Atheism
Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 391 of 536 (612270)
04-14-2011 1:09 PM
Reply to: Message 390 by Jon
04-14-2011 12:17 PM


Re: Semantic Giggles
Jon writes:
Nothing observable in the natural world can violate the 'laws of nature'.
Surely the divine will of an omnipotent being can violate whatever it likes? By definition.
Jon writes:
If you wish to challenge this, start a new thread on it.
I might do so at some point.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 390 by Jon, posted 04-14-2011 12:17 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 392 of 536 (612418)
04-15-2011 12:18 PM
Reply to: Message 384 by xongsmith
04-11-2011 12:30 AM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
...and the other one being the biblical description that matches.
But what is the source of the biblical description? Did John really get given a tour of the heavens while looking to earth from the perspective of a future spiritual cataclysm or did he perhaps have an epileptic fit, consume hallucinogens, or voluntarily employ his creative imagination?
I suggest that if the events predicted actually then happened, we would have some evidence in favour of what has sometimes been called 'the supernatural theory'. We would have another known source of angels other than imagination (voluntarily applied or otherwise): their actual existence as experienced by at least one other human.
This would crush bluegenes theory into oblivion, even if science could fold it in - bluegenes theory could not without ridiculous ad hoc editions that would strain the credulity of all but the most churlish skeptics.
Presumably the scientific investigation would proceed far enough to discern which event ... but see, the molecules moving improbably is a source that is known to be subject to natural law, and thus is not a supernatural concept in the first place.
But the 'molecules moving improbably' could be cited as the reason behind anything: it is not an arrow that is aimed only at the supernatural theory. If we created a machine that made cold fusion occur, anybody could dismiss our engineering with a wave of 'improbable molecular movement'.
When you end up with a position that looks like this: There is a 1 in 1x10500 chance this was a result of the molecular jiggling being true. Your position isn't going to be preferred to 'Jesus exists and can turn water into wine using some kind of active 'force' or 'energy' that is beyond our present ken...which is presently labelled, for convenience, "The supernatural".'.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 384 by xongsmith, posted 04-11-2011 12:30 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 393 by xongsmith, posted 04-16-2011 4:07 AM Modulous has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 7.0


Message 393 of 536 (612484)
04-16-2011 4:07 AM
Reply to: Message 392 by Modulous
04-15-2011 12:18 PM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
Modulous writes:
When you end up with a position that looks like this: There is a 1 in 1x10500 chance this was a result of the molecular jiggling being true. Your position isn't going to be preferred to 'Jesus exists and can turn water into wine using some kind of active 'force' or 'energy' that is beyond our present ken...which is presently labelled, for convenience, "The supernatural".'.
Putting on my best sheepish Maxwell Smart voice:
"...uh...would you believe a sufficiently advanced civilization of invading aliens? ...having a bloody good larf on all of us?"

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 392 by Modulous, posted 04-15-2011 12:18 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 394 by Modulous, posted 04-16-2011 7:55 AM xongsmith has replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 394 of 536 (612493)
04-16-2011 7:55 AM
Reply to: Message 393 by xongsmith
04-16-2011 4:07 AM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
Putting on my best sheepish Maxwell Smart voice:
"...uh...would you believe a sufficiently advanced civilization of invading aliens? ...having a bloody good larf on all of us?"
As with the matrix, or Descartes wicked demon/scientist. There comes a point where you really do have to give in and believe the lie. After all - this could be said of any scientific result. What if all the evidence for evolution was put here by pranking aliens/demons?
Furthermore, prankster aliens represent another source for supernatural being concepts above and beyond our own imagination. So even if it were true, bluegenes theory/inductive atheism is still kinda shot to pieces. The only difference is that it is more saveable with an ad hoc change of 'within the minds of intelligent beings' rather than just 'human imagination'.
But only if it became known that aliens were responsible.
Edited by Modulous, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 393 by xongsmith, posted 04-16-2011 4:07 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 395 by xongsmith, posted 04-17-2011 1:17 AM Modulous has seen this message but not replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 7.0


Message 395 of 536 (612561)
04-17-2011 1:17 AM
Reply to: Message 394 by Modulous
04-16-2011 7:55 AM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
Modulous writes:
........prankster aliens represent another source for supernatural being concepts above and beyond our own imagination. So even if it were true, bluegenes theory/inductive atheism is still kinda shot to pieces. The only difference is that it is more saveable with an ad hoc change of 'within the minds of intelligent beings' rather than just 'human imagination'.
But only if it became known that aliens were responsible.
Also, we had earlier established the difference between the original source and later transmogrifications. These aliens would only be reenacting a scene originally sourced by human imagination....

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 394 by Modulous, posted 04-16-2011 7:55 AM Modulous has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 396 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2011 8:58 AM xongsmith has replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 396 of 536 (612570)
04-17-2011 8:58 AM
Reply to: Message 395 by xongsmith
04-17-2011 1:17 AM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
Also, we had earlier established the difference between the original source and later transmogrifications. These aliens would only be reenacting a scene originally sourced by human imagination....
Unless YHWH, Lot, Jesus and friends were actually part of the elaborate alien prank...
Edited by Modulous, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 395 by xongsmith, posted 04-17-2011 1:17 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 398 by xongsmith, posted 04-19-2011 5:11 PM Modulous has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 397 of 536 (612857)
04-19-2011 2:26 PM
Reply to: Message 271 by xongsmith
03-28-2011 3:03 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
Do you believe that there currently exist aspects of nature which have as yet not been investigated by science?
Do you believe in the current existence of supernatural phenomena?
X writes:
What I am arguing is the "before" and "after" scientific study. Before scientific study, the notion of the earth going around the sun is supernatural. After the study, it is not. Before scientific study, the 2nd Coming is supernatural. After the study, it is not. This was to illustrate how the very process of scientific investigation removes the supernaturalness of what they are investigating, by definition
Not by any definition based on inherent inability to materially explain supernatural phenomena as opposed to one based upon people erroneously believing things to be supernatural at a given point in time.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 271 by xongsmith, posted 03-28-2011 3:03 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 399 by xongsmith, posted 04-19-2011 5:38 PM Straggler has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 7.0


Message 398 of 536 (612874)
04-19-2011 5:11 PM
Reply to: Message 396 by Modulous
04-17-2011 8:58 AM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
Modulous writes:
Also, we had earlier established the difference between the original source and later transmogrifications. These aliens would only be reenacting a scene originally sourced by human imagination....
Unless YHWH, Lot, Jesus and friends were actually part of the elaborate alien prank...
That would go back to the previous analysis (not the molecular improbability, the one before). But anyway, how would we be able to detect the difference?
This is venturing into guessing what way science would fold it in.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 396 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2011 8:58 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 400 by Modulous, posted 04-20-2011 3:06 AM xongsmith has not replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 7.0


Message 399 of 536 (612876)
04-19-2011 5:38 PM
Reply to: Message 397 by Straggler
04-19-2011 2:26 PM


Re: Peer Reviewing Biblical Armageddon
Straggler writes:
Do you believe that there currently exist aspects of nature which have as yet not been investigated by science?
With high confidence, yes. Much of the ocean floor, huge tracts of solar system moons, the Oort cloud, beyond that and so forth. The inner workings of the mind...Charlie Sheen...Lady Gaga.
Do you believe in the current existence of supernatural phenomena?
With high confidence, no.
X writes:
This was to illustrate how the very process of scientific investigation removes the supernaturalness of what they are investigating, by definition
Not by any definition based on inherent inability to materially explain supernatural phenomena as opposed to one based upon people erroneously believing things to be supernatural at a given point in time.
If scientific investigation is unable to explain the phenomenon now, then that only means as of now. Furthermore the phenomenon in question will be left out and considered not observed enough to be a qualified scientific observation. Remember, the very tools that are allowed in any scientific investigation are, themselves, derived from and/or subject to the Laws of Nature. They cannot verify something that is not. It would be ruled equipment failure.
For example, Hanny's Voorwerp discovered in 2007 and not confirmed and verified until January 2011 from observations made in 2010, was never considered a "supernatural" object. The 2007 position was that not enough had been observed about this object.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 397 by Straggler, posted 04-19-2011 2:26 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 401 by Straggler, posted 04-21-2011 7:54 AM xongsmith has not replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 400 of 536 (612918)
04-20-2011 3:06 AM
Reply to: Message 398 by xongsmith
04-19-2011 5:11 PM


Re: ...they would just fold it in......
That would go back to the previous analysis (not the molecular improbability, the one before). But anyway, how would we be able to detect the difference?
You can't really differentiate between hypothesese where the differences are inherently (perhaps even 'by design') undetectable which I think we can safely say with remarkable coincidence and incredibly powerful aliens or supergods.
But we can prefer a theory that doesn't require those, but could be falsified if any of the entities described should ever become detected. It doesn't matter if its aliens or supergods, it doesn't matter if we can't rule one out over another or whether there is a distinction without a difference. The theory relies on an absence of evidence of such entities that could be the source of our ideas about religious characters above and beyond our own minds, environment and our common cognitive deficits.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 398 by xongsmith, posted 04-19-2011 5:11 PM xongsmith has not replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 401 of 536 (613020)
04-21-2011 7:54 AM
Reply to: Message 399 by xongsmith
04-19-2011 5:38 PM


Observation Is Not Explanation
X writes:
Straggler writes:
Do you believe that there currently exist aspects of nature which have as yet not been investigated by science?
With high confidence, yes.
X writes:
Straggler writes:
Do you believe in the current existence of supernatural phenomena?
With high confidence, no.
X writes:
Before scientific study, the notion of the earth going around the sun is supernatural.
Bearing in mind your answers above can you explain why you consider the Earth going round the Sun as something that was ever supernatural rather than just something natural that science had not yet investigated sufficiently?
X writes:
Furthermore the phenomenon in question will be left out and considered not observed enough to be a qualified scientific observation.
Let's continue with your planetary motion example. Long after Copernicus had observed and recorded planetary motions and Newton had calculated the effects of gravity it was still the case that divine supernatural intervention was being postulated as the underlying explanation for planetary motion. The point being that scientifically verifying the existence of something is not the same as materially and physically explaining it.
This is something you need to take note of.
X writes:
If it could be objectively scientifically investigated and documented in a repeatable way subject to peer review, it would have a scientific explanation...By definition.
Wrong. See above. You are conflating scientific verification with scientific explanation. They are not the same thing
X writes:
If scientific investigation is unable to explain the phenomenon now, then that only means as of now.
Not if the phenomenon in question is genuinely supernatural as per any common definition including the one I provided and you stated agreement with. Then it would be inherently materially inexplicable (e.g caused by the divine will of an omnipotent being) and science will never be able to explain it.
But that doesn't mean the entity in question cannot be scientifically verified to exist. Stop conflating scientific verification with scientific explanation. They are not the same thing

This message is a reply to:
 Message 399 by xongsmith, posted 04-19-2011 5:38 PM xongsmith has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 402 by New Cat's Eye, posted 04-21-2011 12:20 PM Straggler has replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 402 of 536 (613056)
04-21-2011 12:20 PM
Reply to: Message 401 by Straggler
04-21-2011 7:54 AM


Evidencing the Supernatural
This is a reply to Message 100, I think it fits better here.
So - Is the demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus evidence in favour of the actual existence of the supernatural Christian concept of Jesus?
I think it is, but then too would someone's experience of a ghost-like thing, or them witnessing some prophesy being fulfilled. I think that if you are going to discount those other two things, then you have to discount this Jesus entity as well.
How can it not be?
If, as you say, there is no material explanation, then according to science, these will be left as unknown and unexplained. There is no positive evidence that suggests these things are supernatural.
In my scenario the existence of Chris, his biology defying DNA and his abilities, are objectively verifiable and essentially indisputable. But a scientific explanation for these things remains elusive.
At what point do your observations of Chris's abilities go from probably being imagined to being indisputably objectively verified?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 401 by Straggler, posted 04-21-2011 7:54 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 403 by Straggler, posted 04-21-2011 12:50 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 403 of 536 (613061)
04-21-2011 12:50 PM
Reply to: Message 402 by New Cat's Eye
04-21-2011 12:20 PM


Re: Evidencing the Supernatural
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
So - Is the demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus evidence in favour of the actual existence of the supernatural Christian concept of Jesus?
I think it is....
Then you also presumably agree that it would falsify Bluegenes theory?
CS writes:
...but then too would someone's experience of a ghost-like thing,
If the 'ghost like thing' were able to be objectively and verifiably shown to actually exist and to defy material explanation.
Do you know of any such evidence? If you do it could falsify Bluegenes theory.
CS writes:
....or them witnessing some prophesy being fulfilled.
A genuine ability to verifiably predict the future in a way that defies material explanation and which isn't made up of the woolly catch all proclamations of astrology or Nostradamus could indeed be legitimately cited as positive evidence in favour of the supernatural.
Do you know of any such evidence? If you do it could falsify Bluegenes theory.
CS writes:
If, as you say, there is no material explanation, then according to science, these will be left as unknown and unexplained.
That which is inherently materially inexplicable would indeed remain scientifically unexplained. That is kinda the point......
CS writes:
There is no positive evidence that suggests these things are supernatural.
In the Chris example there is indisputably positive empirical evidence in favour of the Christian concept of a supernatural Christ actually existing. As you seemed to earlier agree.
CS writes:
At what point do your observations of Chris's abilities go from probably being imagined to being indisputably objectively verified?
You could ask that question about anything up to and including the entirety of perceived reality. But certainly in the scenario as I detailed it Chris, his abilities, his mother etc. etc. have all been witnessed by masses and subjected to considerable investigation by teams of scientists to such an extent that the evidence is indisputable barring Xongsmith style alien plots.
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 402 by New Cat's Eye, posted 04-21-2011 12:20 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 404 by New Cat's Eye, posted 04-21-2011 2:40 PM Straggler has replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 404 of 536 (613090)
04-21-2011 2:40 PM
Reply to: Message 403 by Straggler
04-21-2011 12:50 PM


Re: Evidencing the Supernatural
CS writes:
At what point do your observations of Chris's abilities go from probably being imagined to being indisputably objectively verified?
You could ask that question about anything up to and including the entirety of perceived reality.
I don't mean that in an episomological sense, but in regards to inducing atheism and the God-is-imagined theory.
But certainly in the scenario as I detailed it Chris, his abilities, his mother etc. etc. have all been witnessed by masses and subjected to considerable investigation by teams of scientists to such an extent that the evidence is indisputable barring Xongsmith style alien plots.
That doesn't exactly answer the question, but it seems that being witnessed by masses and subjected to considerable scientific intesvigation is a part of the criteria.
Can you provide an example of an actual thing, as opposed to a hypothetical, that has been subjected to considerable scientific investigation but doesn't have a scientific explanation for it?
If the 'ghost like thing' were able to be objectively and verifiably shown to actually exist and to defy material explanation.
Do you know of any such evidence? If you do it could falsify Bluegenes theory.
I doubt any would fit your "objectively and verifiably shown to actually exist and defy material explanation" criteria.
CS writes:
Straggler writes:
So - Is the demonstrable existence of an entity that exactly matches the Christian concept of a supernatural Jesus evidence in favour of the actual existence of the supernatural Christian concept of Jesus?
I think it is....
Then you also presumably agree that it would falsify Bluegenes theory?
Sort of... I think that if it would, then other things should be included and the theory has already been falsified. Too, I think that the way that other similiar things would be discounted as falsifying the theory would also discount this one, and that it wouldn't actually falsify the theory. Thereby making the theory unfalsifiable.
If you could bring up some examples of some actual things, as opposed to ridiculous hypotheticals, to clarify this distinction between 'scientifically verified' and 'scientifically explained', then maybe I can better understand where I'm supposedly going wrong with this.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 403 by Straggler, posted 04-21-2011 12:50 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 405 by Straggler, posted 04-21-2011 2:54 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 405 of 536 (613092)
04-21-2011 2:54 PM
Reply to: Message 404 by New Cat's Eye
04-21-2011 2:40 PM


Re: Evidencing the Supernatural
CS writes:
If you could bring up some examples of some actual things, as opposed to ridiculous hypotheticals, to clarify this distinction between 'scientifically verified' and 'scientifically explained', then maybe I can better understand where I'm supposedly going wrong with this.
If you want real examples of scientifically verified non-hypothetical beings doing amazing and inexplicable things then I don't have any. If I did Bluegenes theory would have been falsified and I wouldn't be telling you that all such beings are almost certainly imagined.
If you just want an example of something that is scientifically verified to exist but which has no scientific explanation in order to clarify the distinction between verified existence and material explanation then I would put forward - Life on Earth.
We know life exists on Earth. We don't yet know how life exists on Earth. We do not have a scientifically verified explanation for this.
No reason to think that this is supernatural in the sense of being inherently materially inexplicable . But it does qualify as unexplained.
Is that clearer.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 404 by New Cat's Eye, posted 04-21-2011 2:40 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 406 by xongsmith, posted 04-21-2011 9:12 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 407 by Jon, posted 04-21-2011 10:58 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 409 by New Cat's Eye, posted 04-22-2011 4:40 PM Straggler has replied

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