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Author Topic:   Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 293 of 549 (583054)
09-24-2010 1:18 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by Straggler
08-05-2010 2:38 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
The supernatural hypothesis has failed.
By what standard are we judging its failure? It seems disingenuous to judge something on a scale it was never claimed to occupy.
So given this epic failure of the supernatural hypothesis to date is it time to abandon this hypothesis?
There is no such thing as a 'super natural hypothesis'. An hypothesis by definition must be testable. By placing our hypothesis out of the realm of the natural, it is impossible to, through the natural empirical means to which the scientific method is subservient, verify or falsify—that, to test.
Anyone who believes supernatural notions scientifically testable is either misguided or a liar or quack. Others realize it is outside the realm of science, and thus any judgement on it by science as being a failure is clearly inappropriate.
So, by what standard are you judging it as a failure? And, is it appropriate to apply this standard to the notion of the supernatural?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Straggler, posted 08-05-2010 2:38 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 295 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 1:22 PM Jon has replied
 Message 296 by Coyote, posted 09-24-2010 1:27 PM Jon has replied
 Message 314 by Omnivorous, posted 09-24-2010 4:16 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 298 of 549 (583068)
09-24-2010 1:58 PM
Reply to: Message 295 by Straggler
09-24-2010 1:22 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed?
So you think the existence of the supernatural has never been posited as the cause of any observable phenomenon?
Sure it has. What does that have to do with what I said? It doesn't matter what it seeks to explain, it's simply not an hypothesis—and not subject to review by the scientific method—if it precludes from its very form any scientific means of falsification, which is what supernatural explanations do.
Science is biased against supernatural explanations; it excludes them on account of their being non-natural. There is nothing wrong with this, but it does mean that we cannot use science to falsify or verify supernatural explanations, and as such we cannot judge the veracity of a supernatural claim via the scientific method. We need an alternate, more appropriate, ruler against which to test such claims.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 295 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 1:22 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 300 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 2:01 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 299 of 549 (583069)
09-24-2010 2:01 PM
Reply to: Message 296 by Coyote
09-24-2010 1:27 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed? Yup.
One simple example: determining that thunder and lightning were not caused by Thor.
Science tested that issue, and determined that there was a natural cause. Those who believed in a supernatural cause were shown that there was no evidence supporting their belief.
Again, read what I've written. If the explanation is supernatural, then the natural methodologies of the scientific method do not apply. We found a natural explanation for lightening, but our tests and resulting explanations had nothing to do with old Thor.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 296 by Coyote, posted 09-24-2010 1:27 PM Coyote has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 301 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 2:04 PM Jon has replied
 Message 317 by onifre, posted 09-24-2010 5:50 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 315 of 549 (583112)
09-24-2010 4:41 PM
Reply to: Message 301 by Straggler
09-24-2010 2:04 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed? Yup.
Jon writes:
We found a natural explanation for lightening, but our tests and resulting explanations had nothing to do with old Thor.
Well precisely. So has not the concept of supernatural Thor been refuted to all practical intents and purposes?
You cannot refute something using empirical evidence when the something you are attempting to refute is in its very character non-empirical and beyond the realm of nature.
The question of the supernatural is irrelevant to science because science simply does not deal with such things. Science cannot answer questions about supernatural Thor, making the application of the scientific method to such questions as supernatural Thor's existence or his hand in storm phenomena inappropriate.
It is much similar to the way in which supernatural evidence is irrelevant to scientific explanations, only the other way around.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 301 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 2:04 PM Straggler has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 318 by onifre, posted 09-24-2010 5:54 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 316 of 549 (583115)
09-24-2010 4:53 PM
Reply to: Message 309 by Straggler
09-24-2010 2:32 PM


Re: Probable
Yes. It has failed.
To ever explain anything.
Wrong. Supernatural notions have been great at explaining many things. In fact, they do so even better than scientific notions, assuming we measure the success of an explanation as a function of how many things it does not leave unexplained. Where supernatural notions fail is not in their ability to explain, but in their ability to explain empirically. This is to be expected, though, since by their definition supernatural notions are not concerned with empirical things.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 309 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 2:32 PM Straggler has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 319 by Omnivorous, posted 09-24-2010 8:11 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 320 of 549 (583150)
09-25-2010 12:47 AM
Reply to: Message 318 by onifre
09-24-2010 5:54 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed? Yup.
So you're saying that we have to accept claims made by humans that a phenomenon is actually supernatural and that no method exists to explain it? We simply have to accept this claim at face value? Is that what you're saying?
No, that's not what I'm saying. Supernatural claims are of no concern to science, not natural ones. "[T]hat no method exists to explain it" clearly falls subject to the investigative techniques of the scientific method as it quite obviously makes claims about the natural order of things (saying 'no method' is a claim that all methods are false, and so includes natural ones, thus making science a perfect friend... at least in dealing with the natural ones).
By the way, that little part I just dealt with wasn't in my original message nor part of my original claim; you added it. It is customary to avoid misrepresenting the viewpoints of others, but I'll assume this was an accident.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 318 by onifre, posted 09-24-2010 5:54 PM onifre has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 349 by onifre, posted 09-27-2010 4:51 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 321 of 549 (583151)
09-25-2010 12:51 AM
Reply to: Message 317 by onifre
09-24-2010 5:50 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed? Yup.
Can you explain what supernatural means?
Outside of nature; beyond nature. It's just as the root parts of the word would imply: super+natural.
And perhaps give an example of something supernatural?
I think Thor was already given. With some minor tweaks, I'd accept that as a suitable example of something supernatural, even if the actions of Thor are not supernatural, but instead (supposedly) interrupt the natural orders of our world.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 317 by onifre, posted 09-24-2010 5:50 PM onifre has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 351 by onifre, posted 09-27-2010 4:54 PM Jon has not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 325 of 549 (583291)
09-26-2010 12:12 AM


Something Else to Consider
I see that I am having difficulty convincing folk that supernatural notions are outside the concern of science, so let me try a different angle. It appears my statements have been viewed as an attack on the power of science, as if saying that there are some affairs in which science has no part to play is somehow weakening to the methods so cherished by empiricists and materialists. However, I'd like to show these people why they're wrong to think like this--dead wrong.
When I say that science is in no position to deal with the supernatural, I am only emphasizing a key aspect of its empirical strength: it rules out, from the get-go—indeed, from its very form and character—what any science-minded empiricist would consider bullshit. Case in point:
quote:
Straggler in Message 323:
POSITED SCENARIO
The universe was supernaturally created fully formed, including our memories, two nano-seconds ago. It was created in such a way that things will behave very differently from the universe we falsely think we experienced. Natural laws as we know them do not apply.
Untestable supernatural claims of this type exemplify well the point I am making. In as much as science can never prove them wrong it can also never prove them right. Such claims are not merely supernatural, but they are unscientific. As such, no one doing honest and good science gives a flying rat's ass about such things; they just don't care, because the concepts simply aren't scientific, they aren't subject to the scientific method nor to empirical testing—they are scientifically useless. As Straggler later goes on to say:
quote:
Straggler in Message 323:
I do not concern myself with how cleverly unfalsifiable supernatural claims can be designed to be.
...
But that necessitates that [one] confidently dismiss the supernatural possibility detailed above.
On the flip side, if I'm wrong, and these methods are subject to review by the scientific method, then it means one little thing must be accepted as true: the scientific method has no screening system. Of course, this is false; the scientific method has a wonderful screening system: look at our claims and determine if they are falsifiable; if they aren't, then to hell with them.
Is there anyone out there yet who still thinks we need to admit supernatural claims to review by the scientific method, thus confessing their statuses as full-blown hypotheses, finding them wanting, and considering them failed? I believe to do so seriously undermines the credibility of the scientific method. I s'pose others think elsewise on the matter, but then I'd like to see their proof. Why are you pretending supernatural crap is scientific?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

Replies to this message:
 Message 326 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 12:27 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 327 of 549 (583294)
09-26-2010 12:37 AM
Reply to: Message 326 by Coyote
09-26-2010 12:27 AM


Re: Something Else to Consider
But in the case of many claims involving the supernatural, for example a young earth, a global flood ca. 4,350 years ago, lightning caused by a deity, and disease caused by evil spirits,
These aren't supernatural claims.

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 326 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 12:27 AM Coyote has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 328 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 12:44 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 330 of 549 (583299)
09-26-2010 1:16 AM
Reply to: Message 328 by Coyote
09-26-2010 12:44 AM


Claims on the Natural World are NOT Supernatural
But in the case of many claims involving the supernatural, for example a young earth, a global flood ca. 4,350 years ago, lightning caused by a deity, and disease caused by evil spirits,
These aren't supernatural claims.
Sure they are.
But if you believe otherwise, please back up your assertion.
They all make claims about the natural world:
quote:
Coyote in Message 72:
a young earth
If I claim the Earth is 6,000 years old, that is as falsifiable (and natural) as the claim that it is 4.5 billion years old. Why is it supernatural? Because it happens to be wrong?
quote:
Coyote in Message 72:
a global flood ca. 4,350 years ago
If I claim a global flood, that is as falsifiable (and natural) as the claim that there was significant global volcanic activity c. 4.5 billion years ago. Why is it supernatural? Because it happens to be wrong?
quote:
Coyote in Message 72:
lightning caused by a deity
Unless this claim also allows claims about other causes to be true, it too is merely a disguised claim about the natural world because it implies "no other things (natural ones included) cause lightning". If I claim Zeus causes lightning and electricity in the sky does not, that is as falsifiable (and natural) as saying electricity in the sky causes lightning and Zeus does not. Why is it supernatural? Because it happens to be wrong?
quote:
Coyote in Message 72:
disease caused by evil spirits
Unless this claim also allows claims about other causes to be true, it too is merely a disguised claim about the natural world because it implies "no other things (natural ones included) cause disease". If I claim Loki causes disease and germs do not, that is as falsifiable (and natural) as saying germs cause disease and Loki does not. Why is it supernatural? Because it happens to be wrong?
quote:
Coyote in Message 72:
science can examine those claims and come up with alternate explanations for the phenomena.
Of course... because they're not supernatural.
You might want to specify just how you're defining supernatural. Perhaps we've merely a disagreement in terminology, but I've never understood claims on the age of the Earth, Earth's geological history, or the causes of lightning and disease to be claims at all supernatural. Since you claim they are, though, I assume you've the evidence to back you; but I'd still like to see it nonetheless.
Jon
Edited by Jon, : No reason given.
Edited by Jon, : Uploaded content. My apologies for that down-time; I appreciate your waiting and kindness.

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 328 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 12:44 AM Coyote has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 332 by Nij, posted 09-26-2010 3:49 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 333 of 549 (583347)
09-26-2010 1:01 PM
Reply to: Message 304 by Coyote
09-24-2010 2:18 PM


Re: Has The Supernatural Hypothesis Failed? Yup.
In science, ... [n]ot one test has come down on the side of supernatural all have come down on the side of natural causes.
Science only permits natural explanations. It has no way of dealing with supernatural ones.
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 304 by Coyote, posted 09-24-2010 2:18 PM Coyote has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 335 by crashfrog, posted 09-26-2010 1:13 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 334 of 549 (583348)
09-26-2010 1:09 PM
Reply to: Message 311 by Straggler
09-24-2010 2:46 PM


Re: Probable
If this entity you cite is utterly imperceptible how can any concept of it be anything other than the product of your internal mind?
Ever tried explaining yourself to a worm?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 311 by Straggler, posted 09-24-2010 2:46 PM Straggler has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 343 by Omnivorous, posted 09-26-2010 5:37 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 336 of 549 (583350)
09-26-2010 1:20 PM
Reply to: Message 332 by Nij
09-26-2010 3:49 AM


Re: Claims on the Natural World are NOT Supernatural
In the case of a young earth, a person is invoking God to explain away the amazingly precise relations between different independent dating methods that indicate an old earth.
In the case of a global flood, a person is invoking God to explain away the evidence that a global flood did not happen.
In the case of lightning caused by a deity, the use of a deity in the explanation makes it inherently supernatural. This also applies to the first two cases.
In the case of the evil spirits hypothesis of disease, we are invoking a supernatual entity to explain an aspect of biological life.
Huh? The use of a god means nothing.
a. "The Earth is 4.5 million years old." = natural
b. "The Earth is 3 million years old." = natural
c. "The Earth is 2 million years old." = natural
d. "The Earth is 6000 years old." = supernatural?
Why does our classification system change simply based on the input value? These are all simply statements on the natural world, and yet you seem to think claim (d) is supernatural because...?
Furthermore, a claim on the cause of a natural phenomenon is by default natural—no matter what the cause posited.
Let me ask you this: Before investigating a claim, are you able to determine if it is supernatural? If so, how do you do this?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 332 by Nij, posted 09-26-2010 3:49 AM Nij has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 337 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 1:26 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 338 of 549 (583355)
09-26-2010 1:47 PM
Reply to: Message 337 by Coyote
09-26-2010 1:26 PM


Re: Claims on the Natural World are NOT Supernatural
Because there is absolutely no way to arrive at that 6,000 year age estimate for the earth from natural phenomena.
So it is because the claim has been scientifically 'disproven'?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 337 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 1:26 PM Coyote has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 339 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 1:58 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 340 of 549 (583361)
09-26-2010 2:50 PM
Reply to: Message 339 by Coyote
09-26-2010 1:58 PM


Re: Claims on the Natural World are NOT Supernatural
I shouldn't have to explain this to you.
Good, because I don't want you to. I just want you to answer the questions. I've sent many your way that you refuse to address.
Furthermore, your 'explanation' also didn't answer my question... any of them in fact.
Again:
Why is it supernatural? Is it supernatural because: "The age of the earth has been established by multiple measurements and observations [as] far older than 6,000 years."?
AND
The claim has been made on the basis of religion, stemming from a belief in the supernatural.
What makes you think these things stem from the supernatural? How do you decide when a claim has been made on the basis of supernatural notions? What are your criteria for determining the supernatural?
AND
How are you defining supernatural?
Jon

"Can we say the chair on the cat, for example? Or the basket in the person? No, we can't..." - Harriet J. Ottenheimer
"Dim bulbs save on energy..." - jar

This message is a reply to:
 Message 339 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 1:58 PM Coyote has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 341 by Coyote, posted 09-26-2010 3:15 PM Jon has replied
 Message 346 by cavediver, posted 09-26-2010 6:41 PM Jon has replied

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