Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
4 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,907 Year: 4,164/9,624 Month: 1,035/974 Week: 362/286 Day: 5/13 Hour: 0/2


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Hurricanes defying conventional science.
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 1 of 100 (265509)
12-04-2005 5:12 PM


What do you guys make of Hurricane Epsilon? It should have weakened being over cold water. It doesn't fit the models.
Local Weather Forecast, News and Conditions | Weather Underground
Same with the hurricane south of the equator last year. It's not suppossed to occur since the slant of the earth in conjunction with the earth's spin suppossed to rule that out.
It all seems inexplicable.

Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 5:47 PM randman has replied
 Message 7 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:31 PM randman has replied
 Message 56 by Hangdawg13, posted 12-05-2005 10:41 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 3 of 100 (265580)
12-04-2005 11:04 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by jar
12-04-2005 5:47 PM


Then you haven't been paying attention.
The normal expectations were for it to weaken over colder water, but it did not. May have now, but it didn't fit the models. Likewise the hurricane last year in the south Atlantic did not fit the models either.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 5:47 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 4 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:13 PM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 5 of 100 (265584)
12-04-2005 11:14 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by jar
12-04-2005 11:13 PM


Re: Then you haven't been paying attention.
Wrong jar. Do you ever bother to do any fact checking. Everyone that follows these storms knows these 2 storms defied the models in a big way.
Grow up and start learning before mouthing off stupidity.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:13 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 6 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:26 PM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 9 of 100 (265591)
12-04-2005 11:38 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by jar
12-04-2005 11:26 PM


Re: Then you haven't been paying attention.
Then you either can't read well or are lying.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 6 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:26 PM jar has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 10 of 100 (265593)
12-04-2005 11:41 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by coffee_addict
12-04-2005 11:31 PM


2 hurricanes
Epsilon was suppossed to weaken much earlier because it was over cold water, and it was somewhat shocking to see it remain a hurricane for so long over cold water.
The hurricane in the south Atlantic likewise defied current models, and they had a very difficult time modelling the hurricane as all the models indicated hurricanes could not form in the south Atlantic.
Of course, it is a growing and learning area of science, but these 2 hurricanes were shockers, and they are trying to figure out how to incorporate their behaviour for future models.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:31 PM coffee_addict has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 13 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:45 PM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 12 of 100 (265595)
12-04-2005 11:45 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by jar
12-04-2005 11:42 PM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
Epsilon intensified over 70 degree water. Sorry buddy, but that was absolutely not suppossed to happen and it was reported at the time as defying the models.
The storm in the south Atlantic was not suppossed to occur at all, period.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:42 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 16 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 14 of 100 (265597)
12-04-2005 11:49 PM


intensifying over cold water
Keep in mind the following deals with the forecast and behaviour in respect to warning people, etc,...So when it reports nothing unusual but, it's in the context that the storm, other than the fact it occured in Dec and strenghened over cold water, was otherwise a normal hurricane.
So, other than the fact that we've simply reached Epsilon, and the fact that it has managed to intensify over 70F (or COOLER) water,
http://www.millenniumweather.com/tropical/discuss.html
The discussion is not about the fact it got stronger, but it does show the fact the storm intensified over cold water, something anyone that follows hurricanes knows is not suppossed to happen.
But other than that, in terms of the storm acting like a hurricane, it was pretty typical, but the fact it intensified over cold water is inexplicable really.

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by arachnophilia, posted 12-04-2005 11:59 PM randman has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 15 of 100 (265599)
12-04-2005 11:51 PM
Reply to: Message 13 by coffee_addict
12-04-2005 11:45 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
The storms defied the current models and we cannot yet explain their behaviour in certain areas.
This message has been edited by randman, 12-04-2005 11:51 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 13 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:45 PM coffee_addict has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 17 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM randman has replied
 Message 20 by ReverendDG, posted 12-04-2005 11:59 PM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 18 of 100 (265602)
12-04-2005 11:57 PM
Reply to: Message 16 by jar
12-04-2005 11:55 PM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
jar, you've got something so far stuck up your butt that you can't think straight. The media and meteorologists were all surprised very much by these 2 storms for the reasons I gave.
Admit or deny?
No throwing slurs at creationists or people that think aliens are real or whatever else your imagination conjures up.
Just admit or deny, please.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 16 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:00 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 21 of 100 (265606)
12-05-2005 12:00 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by coffee_addict
12-04-2005 11:55 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
I'm not really implying anything. The theories out there have a range from weapons systems testing to just we haven't figured it out yet. I have no ulterior motive. I live very near the ocean and pay a lot of attention to hurricanes, and these past 2 years, there has been some very strange stuff.
I could not have believed a hurricane could strengthen over cold water (70 degrees), and the storm in the south Atlantic was odd, as well as the storms continually hitting the oil producing region though I guess that's predicted.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM coffee_addict has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by coffee_addict, posted 12-05-2005 12:24 AM randman has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 23 of 100 (265608)
12-05-2005 12:02 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by ReverendDG
12-04-2005 11:59 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
This is the Coffee House, not a science forum thread. If you don't like discussion on hurricanes, don't participate. It's that simple.
I don't think meteorologists are that concerned about evolution. So it's not that sort of thread.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by ReverendDG, posted 12-04-2005 11:59 PM ReverendDG has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 25 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:09 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 24 of 100 (265609)
12-05-2005 12:05 AM
Reply to: Message 22 by jar
12-05-2005 12:00 AM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
Not inexplicable, only unexplained.
Their currently inexplicable, but if you don't like discussing anamolies that could affect a major area of the nation, then don't. Quit stinking up this thread and others with total BS, just blatant denials of facts for no reason.
It's a fact that these storms defy what we all thought a hurricane could do, and it's sort of a serious issue depending on where one lives.
So if you don't like me or don't like to discuss hurricanes or whatever, then stay the heck off the thread and quit behaving in such an asinine manner, especially to deny a basic fact like these 2 storms broke the models in terms of what we can expect.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 22 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:00 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 27 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM randman has replied
 Message 80 by macaroniandcheese, posted 12-06-2005 11:07 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 26 of 100 (265612)
12-05-2005 12:11 AM
Reply to: Message 25 by ReverendDG
12-05-2005 12:09 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
Quit acting like a jerk. Clearly, the comment on evolution was that this is a coffee house thread not discussing 2 sides of a debate as you and jar seem to believe in your drivelling manner.
It's about hurricanes and the science involved in predicting and understanding hurricanes.
What part of that do you not get?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 25 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:09 AM ReverendDG has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 29 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:15 AM randman has replied
 Message 31 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:21 AM randman has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 28 of 100 (265614)
12-05-2005 12:14 AM
Reply to: Message 27 by jar
12-05-2005 12:11 AM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
jar, you're so enraged by the evo/creo debate, you can't act like a normal human being and discuss a news story without lying because you are afraid admitting to a basic fact would hurt your side of the debate.
News flash, buddy.
This is not a debate, nor part of the evo/creo debate. You can admit that these storms behaved in an inexplicable manner not predicted by previous assumptions. It's safe. It's not going to damage your belief system in terms of evolution. So you don't have to freak out, deny reality or anything like that. The OP is not a threat to you or your evo paradigm.
Capische?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 27 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:22 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 30 of 100 (265617)
12-05-2005 12:17 AM
Reply to: Message 29 by arachnophilia
12-05-2005 12:15 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
If you'd started this off with a resaonable statement along the lines of "the storms from the last two years may lead to better understanding of tropical weather" then I'd be in full agreement.
Look at jar's comment. If I was perceived to be on his side, he would admit to the facts. He has no problem with them, as long as someone is using them not to threaten his belief system.
But since I started out in a manner threatening to him, he denies those same basic facts.
I don't expect you, arach, to see the delusion in jar's comments, but I suspect some others will. Jar, in a typical evo-mindset, thinks not of facts as independent empirically verified events, but things he should admit to, or deny, based on the person's viewpoint in discussing them. So he thinks, oh randman is attacking science, I better deny these hurricanes did anything unusual. He isn't even aware it seems that this is self-deception, delusional thinking. The facts are the facts regardless of how one tries to use them.
And he admits he would have no problem if I stated the exact same facts but with a different angle.
Well, if I stated them with a different conclusion or angle or disposition, do the facts suddenly change? Heck, he even said he followed the stories closely and that these set of facts were wrong, but anyone that followed these stories knows that these 2 hurricanes defied conventional models.
So in typical evo-fashion, facts are only true when an evo sees them as non-threatening, but if they are threatening, they are wrong, and you guys really have no problem with that. it's amazing.
This message has been edited by randman, 12-05-2005 12:22 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:15 AM arachnophilia has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 39 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:40 AM randman has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024