There are two possible outcomes for this random trial, a mutation does occur at a particular site in the genome or a mutation does not occur at a particular site in a genome. So we are dealing with a simple binomial probability problem.
Not necessarily a simple binomial problem. It is possible that the probability that a mutation occurs at a given site
is affected by environmental concerns. But the evidence suggests that this probability is not, generally speaking, correlated with the mutation being beneficial in any given environment, let alone the environment that produced the increased rate. For example, radiation may produce mutations, but those mutations generally don't make it more likely that the offspring are radiation proof.
You are correct, I should lay more groundwork to establish that my assertions are correct...
I'll talk about the second trial in a later post.
It is an improvement that you are electing to add to the discussion. But let me note that in your current posts you do not present mathematics. You merely talk about the need to do so.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
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