Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 64 (9164 total)
0 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,901 Year: 4,158/9,624 Month: 1,029/974 Week: 356/286 Day: 12/65 Hour: 0/0


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Hurricanes defying conventional science.
jar
Member (Idle past 423 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 16 of 100 (265600)
12-04-2005 11:55 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by randman
12-04-2005 11:45 PM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
That was the post of a simpleton.
Data. It's more data in a learning experience. And it will help undersstand and make the models even better.
Sorry randman, but that's how science, unlike Creationism, ID, ouija boards, tarot cards and pyramidology works.
The most important statement in science is "That's funny?"
This message has been edited by jar, 12-04-2005 10:56 PM

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:45 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 18 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:57 PM jar has replied

  
coffee_addict
Member (Idle past 506 days)
Posts: 3645
From: Indianapolis, IN
Joined: 03-29-2004


Message 17 of 100 (265601)
12-04-2005 11:55 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by randman
12-04-2005 11:51 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
Randman, being one of your fans, I am certain that you did not open up this thread just to make that statement. You're implying something. I'm really bad with reading between the lines, so just tell me.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:51 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 21 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:00 AM coffee_addict has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 18 of 100 (265602)
12-04-2005 11:57 PM
Reply to: Message 16 by jar
12-04-2005 11:55 PM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
jar, you've got something so far stuck up your butt that you can't think straight. The media and meteorologists were all surprised very much by these 2 storms for the reasons I gave.
Admit or deny?
No throwing slurs at creationists or people that think aliens are real or whatever else your imagination conjures up.
Just admit or deny, please.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 16 by jar, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:00 AM randman has replied

  
arachnophilia
Member (Idle past 1373 days)
Posts: 9069
From: god's waiting room
Joined: 05-21-2004


Message 19 of 100 (265603)
12-04-2005 11:59 PM
Reply to: Message 14 by randman
12-04-2005 11:49 PM


Re: intensifying over cold water
here's the chart: 
quote:
Tracking info for Hurricane Epsilon
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
15 GMT 11/29/05 31.6N 50.4W 45 993 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 11/29/05 31.4N 51.2W 50 993 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 11/30/05 31.4N 51.9W 50 993 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 11/30/05 31.2N 52.5W 50 993 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 11/30/05 30.7N 53.9W 60 993 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 11/30/05 30.7N 53.9W 65 993 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 11/30/05 29.8N 54.2W 70 990 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 12/01/05 29.6N 53.4W 70 990 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 12/01/05 30.2N 52.1W 65 994 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 12/01/05 31.2N 51.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 12/01/05 31.7N 51.0W 70 991 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 12/02/05 32.2N 50.2W 65 992 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 12/02/05 32.8N 49.4W 65 992 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 12/02/05 33.7N 48.2W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
21 GMT 12/02/05 34.2N 47.4W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
03 GMT 12/03/05 34.5N 46.6W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 12/03/05 34.6N 45.7W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
15 GMT 12/03/05 34.5N 44.4W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
21 GMT 12/03/05 34.5N 43.1W 80 985 Category 1 Hurricane
03 GMT 12/04/05 34.3N 41.6W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 12/04/05 34.3N 40.4W 70 990 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 12/04/05 34.3N 39.2W 85 979 Category 1 Hurricane
21 GMT 12/04/05 34.3N 38.0W 80 982 Category 1 Hurricane
03 GMT 12/05/05 34.2N 37.3W 75 985 Category 1 Hurricane

we're talking give or take ten miles an hour here. i think that might even be within the acceptable instrument error margins. it's not steadily growning, it's kind of wobbling about.
This message has been edited by arachnophilia, 12-05-2005 12:01 AM

אָרַח

This message is a reply to:
 Message 14 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:49 PM randman has not replied

  
ReverendDG
Member (Idle past 4139 days)
Posts: 1119
From: Topeka,kansas
Joined: 06-06-2005


Message 20 of 100 (265604)
12-04-2005 11:59 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by randman
12-04-2005 11:51 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
My question for you is.. So what? You even said its a still growing area of science, after all this time reading this board you expect us to gasp in horror, at the idea that something in science didn't work exactly as thought?
come on rand you should know better, do we have to keep repeating science isn't perfect in every thread?
yes they didn't follow the models, as I said so what? we make some new ones and test them, if they work, good if they don't, they don't.. that if you havn't guessed it, is science in action
edit:to correct some typos
This message has been edited by ReverendDG, 12-05-2005 12:02 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:51 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 23 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:02 AM ReverendDG has replied
 Message 36 by Rrhain, posted 12-05-2005 12:36 AM ReverendDG has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 21 of 100 (265606)
12-05-2005 12:00 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by coffee_addict
12-04-2005 11:55 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
I'm not really implying anything. The theories out there have a range from weapons systems testing to just we haven't figured it out yet. I have no ulterior motive. I live very near the ocean and pay a lot of attention to hurricanes, and these past 2 years, there has been some very strange stuff.
I could not have believed a hurricane could strengthen over cold water (70 degrees), and the storm in the south Atlantic was odd, as well as the storms continually hitting the oil producing region though I guess that's predicted.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by coffee_addict, posted 12-04-2005 11:55 PM coffee_addict has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by coffee_addict, posted 12-05-2005 12:24 AM randman has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 423 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 22 of 100 (265607)
12-05-2005 12:00 AM
Reply to: Message 18 by randman
12-04-2005 11:57 PM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
jar, you've got something so far stuck up your butt that you can't think straight.
Very clear randman. LOL
The media and meteorologists were all surprised very much by these 2 storms for the reasons I gave.
Sure they were surprised. Big damn deal. What's your point? They were not impossible, only unexpected. Not inexplicable, only unexplained.
Do you have a point is is this going to be yet another thread of vague silly sophomoric assertions of incredulity?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 18 by randman, posted 12-04-2005 11:57 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 24 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:05 AM jar has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 23 of 100 (265608)
12-05-2005 12:02 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by ReverendDG
12-04-2005 11:59 PM


Re: 2 hurricanes
This is the Coffee House, not a science forum thread. If you don't like discussion on hurricanes, don't participate. It's that simple.
I don't think meteorologists are that concerned about evolution. So it's not that sort of thread.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by ReverendDG, posted 12-04-2005 11:59 PM ReverendDG has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 25 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:09 AM randman has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 24 of 100 (265609)
12-05-2005 12:05 AM
Reply to: Message 22 by jar
12-05-2005 12:00 AM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
Not inexplicable, only unexplained.
Their currently inexplicable, but if you don't like discussing anamolies that could affect a major area of the nation, then don't. Quit stinking up this thread and others with total BS, just blatant denials of facts for no reason.
It's a fact that these storms defy what we all thought a hurricane could do, and it's sort of a serious issue depending on where one lives.
So if you don't like me or don't like to discuss hurricanes or whatever, then stay the heck off the thread and quit behaving in such an asinine manner, especially to deny a basic fact like these 2 storms broke the models in terms of what we can expect.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 22 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:00 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 27 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM randman has replied
 Message 80 by macaroniandcheese, posted 12-06-2005 11:07 AM randman has replied

  
ReverendDG
Member (Idle past 4139 days)
Posts: 1119
From: Topeka,kansas
Joined: 06-06-2005


Message 25 of 100 (265611)
12-05-2005 12:09 AM
Reply to: Message 23 by randman
12-05-2005 12:02 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
This is the Coffee House, not a science forum thread. If you don't like discussion on hurricanes, don't participate. It's that simple.
I don't think meteorologists are that concerned about evolution. So it's not that sort of thread.
What are you talking about? meteorology isn't science? someone tell all those future students of meteorology, that they should learn something else because suddenly the only thing thats science is evolution according to randman!
now come on man, science is science, science doens't equal evolution and evolution doesn't equal science, you know this stop being evasive
{ABE by the way I mean talking about evolution as being the subject when i say science, when in this case i mean meteorology which is a science
This message has been edited by ReverendDG, 12-05-2005 12:12 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 23 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:02 AM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 26 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM ReverendDG has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 26 of 100 (265612)
12-05-2005 12:11 AM
Reply to: Message 25 by ReverendDG
12-05-2005 12:09 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
Quit acting like a jerk. Clearly, the comment on evolution was that this is a coffee house thread not discussing 2 sides of a debate as you and jar seem to believe in your drivelling manner.
It's about hurricanes and the science involved in predicting and understanding hurricanes.
What part of that do you not get?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 25 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:09 AM ReverendDG has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 29 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:15 AM randman has replied
 Message 31 by ReverendDG, posted 12-05-2005 12:21 AM randman has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 423 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 27 of 100 (265613)
12-05-2005 12:11 AM
Reply to: Message 24 by randman
12-05-2005 12:05 AM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
Hey, if you don't understand how science works (and your posts have made it perfectly clear that you don't) then don't start threads on science. If you'd started this off with a resaonable statement along the lines of "the storms from the last two years may lead to better understanding of tropical weather" then I'd be in full agreement.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:05 AM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 28 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:14 AM jar has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 28 of 100 (265614)
12-05-2005 12:14 AM
Reply to: Message 27 by jar
12-05-2005 12:11 AM


Re: One place to start is William Gray
jar, you're so enraged by the evo/creo debate, you can't act like a normal human being and discuss a news story without lying because you are afraid admitting to a basic fact would hurt your side of the debate.
News flash, buddy.
This is not a debate, nor part of the evo/creo debate. You can admit that these storms behaved in an inexplicable manner not predicted by previous assumptions. It's safe. It's not going to damage your belief system in terms of evolution. So you don't have to freak out, deny reality or anything like that. The OP is not a threat to you or your evo paradigm.
Capische?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 27 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by jar, posted 12-05-2005 12:22 AM randman has replied

  
arachnophilia
Member (Idle past 1373 days)
Posts: 9069
From: god's waiting room
Joined: 05-21-2004


Message 29 of 100 (265615)
12-05-2005 12:15 AM
Reply to: Message 26 by randman
12-05-2005 12:11 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
what are you on about now, randman?
are you honestly saying that you think any debate is offtopic? you think that saying "haha, the scientific models were wrong!" doesn't warrant some discussion?
what do you suspect? we're not gonna sit around here and fellate you for taking potshots at science based on clear misunderstandings of what a model is.

אָרַח

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:11 AM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 30 by randman, posted 12-05-2005 12:17 AM arachnophilia has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4928 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 30 of 100 (265617)
12-05-2005 12:17 AM
Reply to: Message 29 by arachnophilia
12-05-2005 12:15 AM


Re: 2 hurricanes
If you'd started this off with a resaonable statement along the lines of "the storms from the last two years may lead to better understanding of tropical weather" then I'd be in full agreement.
Look at jar's comment. If I was perceived to be on his side, he would admit to the facts. He has no problem with them, as long as someone is using them not to threaten his belief system.
But since I started out in a manner threatening to him, he denies those same basic facts.
I don't expect you, arach, to see the delusion in jar's comments, but I suspect some others will. Jar, in a typical evo-mindset, thinks not of facts as independent empirically verified events, but things he should admit to, or deny, based on the person's viewpoint in discussing them. So he thinks, oh randman is attacking science, I better deny these hurricanes did anything unusual. He isn't even aware it seems that this is self-deception, delusional thinking. The facts are the facts regardless of how one tries to use them.
And he admits he would have no problem if I stated the exact same facts but with a different angle.
Well, if I stated them with a different conclusion or angle or disposition, do the facts suddenly change? Heck, he even said he followed the stories closely and that these set of facts were wrong, but anyone that followed these stories knows that these 2 hurricanes defied conventional models.
So in typical evo-fashion, facts are only true when an evo sees them as non-threatening, but if they are threatening, they are wrong, and you guys really have no problem with that. it's amazing.
This message has been edited by randman, 12-05-2005 12:22 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:15 AM arachnophilia has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 39 by arachnophilia, posted 12-05-2005 12:40 AM randman has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024