You cannot prove something doesn't exist if it in fact does not exist.
You're right, which is why your statement that saying evidence that there is no water on the moon means we can't ever find other evidence that says there is water is wrong. We can never prove a lack of something (except by proving a mutually exclusive alternative), all we can do is amass evidecne and weigh it. If there is no evidence, the scale tips, ever so slightly, to nonexistence.
That isn't a lack of evidence, so how does it relate to the current discussion?
Well, for most things, there is no complete lack of evidence. There si something on whcih to buold a tentative conclusion. For the moon water thing, we found hydrogen, which is slight evidence for, we also know that in a vaccuum, water quickly boils away, we also knew there were permanently shadowed craters and that if ice got buried beneath regolith, it might be protected slightly, and that water can react with other compounds to create a new compound that has "water" locked inside. All of that was evidence that was weighed, along with every new study of the moon. So, it wasn't a lack of evidence, by any means, it was a pile of evidence, much of which was ambiguous, just like the tracks in the snow.
I never said or implied that anyone would have to accept a claim without evidence, only that the phrase the "absence of evidence, is evidence of absence."
In an absolute sense, a lack of evidence can't be evidence of anything...however, it is compelling reason to reject belief in the claim, and can be held up as a rational reason for dismissing the claim...in colloquial language, it's evidence to be weighed and is exactly what you would expect to find if the claim were, in fact, false.