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Author | Topic: Gun Control Again | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jon Inactive Member |
but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums. Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Of course the gains and risks are important. Yes. And we often ignore the fact that the gains aren't worth the risks. People citing statistics need to realize that they are nice tidbits of information but that they don't usually have much impact on human behavior.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Seriously. I thought Jon was the naive poster boy on EvC. Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Again, what's your point? If you knew how to follow a line of discussion you wouldn't have to ask such stupid questions.
NoNukes said:
quote: I'm saying that if ignoring consequences is wrong, then we are all guilty of being wrong in pretty much everything we do. And we can take that position, or we can acknowledge that calling certain people wrong for behaving just like everyone else doesn't move the debate anywhere and is, instead, probably counter productive to creating open dialogue. Now I know you hate open dialoguepreferring witless, irrelevant one-liners to meaningful conversationbut it's actually a good thing and worth giving a try.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
I think what you're trying to say is that everyone accepts a degree of risk, but that's not the same thing as ignoring consequences. What actually takes place is a balancing of risks and benefits. But that's not what 'actually takes place'. If it were, no one would drive to get supper. Instead, we would all wait and travel to purchase groceries only as often as necessary. Supposing our risk of dying in a car accident is 1% per trip and our risk of dying from starvation increases by .25% for each day we go without food. It would make sense, based on these statistics, that we should buy no less than four days' worth of food for each drive we make to the store,and preferably more if we want to decrease our risk of death in a car accident even further. That would make a drive for only one day's worth of food (or worse, only one meal) a statistically foolish thing. Yet we all get in the car Saturday night and head on down to the restaurant. Even you and I do it, though we know the risks and are perfectly capable of avoiding them. We aren't 'wrong' in doing this, of course; we're just human.
This is the first I'm aware of someone arguing that gun owners know guns diminish safety but want them anyway. Gun owners perhaps know guns statistically diminish safety but, much like you and I when we go to pick up supper, don't believe they will end up on the bad side of those statistics. And the conversation doesn't go anywhere by calling such people 'wrong' or implying they are stupidly making their decision out of some irrational love affair with firearms. They might after all just be humans.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Some behaviors simply do not have much of an upside. The upside is all the people who successfully protect themselves with a firearm who would have otherwise perished. Just like the statistical upside of all the people who die in car accidents on their way to pick up supper is all the people who don't die of hunger who otherwise would have (zero, unfortunately). Edited by Jon, : No reason given.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Can you actually defend the statement that the risks involved with getting supper outweigh the gains? Yes. The risk involved in dying from not eating a single meal is zero. The risk involved in driving a car to a restaurant is greater than zero.
Even a person who has bothered to consider the risks associated with getting dinner will rationally make the decision to get dinner. Sure; because they don't care. People rarely make such calculations. And when they do, they often assume they won't end up on the bad end of the statistics. And if you consider them to be rational, then you can only describe someone who buys a gun for protection likewise. I personally think both are irrational, but accept that irrationality is a part of being human. Edited by Jon, : No reason given.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
The statistics you're using for your example are off by a very large amount. The fatality rate for vehicles in the US is one per 100 million vehicle miles. If the round trip drive to dinner is around 10 miles then the risk of being killed is around 0.00001%, not 1%. While riding in a car is probably most people's activity of greatest risk, it's still a very, very small one. You'll notice I said 'supposing'. I was just making up numbers to illustrate my point.
For comparison, in the US the odds of being struck by lightening in any given year are about the same as driving to dinner ten times. Sure. Lots of things have risks and many times people put themselves at risk unnecessarily.
But the risk of dying while driving to dinner is far, far less than you thought, and it isn't an example of people foolishly ignoring serious consequences of perceptible probability. It's not just the risk of dying while driving, it's the risk of dying while driving compared to the risk of dying from skipping a single meal. Our odds of living are better skipping the meal than getting in the car. You know it. I know it. Yet we're both gonna get in that car, aren't we?
All the arguments from the gun advocates have been about how gun possession makes them safer. That's possible. I haven't paid attention to their arguments much. Personally I don't own a gun. And I understand the statistics quite well. But if I lived in an area where I felt I might need protection (or had dangerous enemies, etc.) I may still consider getting a gun.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
You weren't arguing that the risk of starving to death from missing one meal is less than being killed while driving to dinner, something that no one would dispute (ignoring that some people are diabetic or have other health issues). That's exactly what I was, and still am, arguing.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
In the real world, people's actions are motivated by their assessment of the likelihood of the consequences of their actions. What a load of fantastical bullshit.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
More crap.
Even when a person is aware of all the known risks, they still often engage in the risky behavior. But that's because people aren't risk-reward analyzing machines; they're human beings. You and I both know that over 3000 people are going to die in car accidents today. And yet we're both going to hop in our cars and go for a ride. Telling someone they are wrong to own a gun for protection isn't any more likely to get them to give up their guns than telling someone else they are wrong to drive for pleasure is going to get them to give up their wheels. The whole issue is a pointless waste of time. Energy is better spent making guns and gun storage safer, making neighborhoods safer so people feel less need for guns, and so forth. Just like energy is better spent improving car safety, intersection safety, setting speed limits, and implementing better public transportation than trying to convince people to stop driving. If you stick to your current path you'll accomplish nothing, and you'll have spent a good deal of time and effort doing it.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
If you can't convince people that guns are dangerous, how can you convince them to buy safer guns? Just make the guns safer. A lot of the safety features on cars aren't plainly apparent to consumers. But people still buy cars with safety features because it's just a reality that that's how cars are made. Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
Just to correct some erroneous information posted above, on average approximately 90 people are killed in motor vehicle related accidents each day in the US. I used the international figures from this website since I don't know where Dr Adequate lives.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
quote: Did you ? The global figures from the website say:
Each year nearly 400,000 people under 25 die on the world's roads, on average over 1,000 a day.
Well I'm over 25; I don't know about Dr Adequate, but I assumed he was too. That's why I used the general figures that make no reference to age (first bullet):
quote: Of course it doesn't matter. The point is that it is more dangerous to go out to supper on Saturday night than it is to skip supper on Saturday night. People still go out to supper. And society's response isn't to shout at people daring to risk life and limb for good steak, but instead to make cars safer, intersections safer, improve driver education, etc. The same approach, if taken with guns, would be much more effective than throwing statistics at a single mother trying to convince her not to buy a gun she feels she desperately needs to protect her children and herself.Love your enemies!
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Jon Inactive Member |
The primary reason that guns tend to harm the people they are bought to protect more often than protect them is because the safety measures required are never seriously discussed.
How safe do you think cars would be if there were only two sides to a debate about automobile usage: One side saying automobiles are necessary to get around and the other side saying it's stupid to own them because they end up killing people? When both sides are locked into a nonsense position that nothing should be done except precisely what they want done, then it is very difficult to see how anything will ever be done.
Aside from the specific problems with that analogy there is one very basic difference that is being ignored. The purpose of owning and using a car is very different from the purpose of owning a gun. Buying a gun to protect your life and your families lives has - on average - the opposite effect. The car does what it is meant to do but the gun does not. No. I am saying there is a cost-benefit associated with going out for supper vs. not going out for supper and a cost-benefit associated with owning a gun vs. not owning a gun. Your chance of dying is greater if you get in your car and go out for supper instead of staying home and not eating a meal that night. Much like your chance of dying is greater if you buy a gun instead of hope no one tries to break into your house and kill you. The 'purpose' of each thing has no relevancy whatsoever.
A better analogy might be skipping vaccinations to protect your child's health. Due to scaremongering there are people who believe that is a good idea, but it isn't. Are you really saying that we should try to make things safer for those who mistakenly refuse to vaccinate instead of countering the misinformation and encouraging vaccination ? My analogy was to show that statistical probabilities don't rule people's decision-making-processes. If they did, no one would drive for supper on Saturday night and no one would own a gun.Love your enemies!
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