Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
3 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,906 Year: 4,163/9,624 Month: 1,034/974 Week: 361/286 Day: 4/13 Hour: 1/0


EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

Summations Only

Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3489 of 5179 (759805)
06-15-2015 11:45 AM
Reply to: Message 3488 by Dr Adequate
06-15-2015 11:10 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums.
Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3488 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 11:10 AM Dr Adequate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3492 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 11:58 AM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3496 of 5179 (759819)
06-15-2015 12:49 PM
Reply to: Message 3494 by NoNukes
06-15-2015 12:14 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Of course the gains and risks are important.
Yes. And we often ignore the fact that the gains aren't worth the risks.
People citing statistics need to realize that they are nice tidbits of information but that they don't usually have much impact on human behavior.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3494 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 12:14 PM NoNukes has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3498 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 2:08 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3497 of 5179 (759822)
06-15-2015 12:52 PM
Reply to: Message 3495 by NoNukes
06-15-2015 12:22 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Seriously. I thought Jon was the naive poster boy on EvC.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3495 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 12:22 PM NoNukes has not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3499 of 5179 (759847)
06-15-2015 2:57 PM
Reply to: Message 3498 by Dr Adequate
06-15-2015 2:08 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Again, what's your point?
If you knew how to follow a line of discussion you wouldn't have to ask such stupid questions.
NoNukes said:
quote:
NoNukes in Message 3468:
But it turns out that guns in the house is are more likely to hurt and kill people who belong in the house than they are to hurt and kill criminals. We cannot say the same thing about a car.
Not thinking about the consequences is exactly what people are saying is wrong.
I'm saying that if ignoring consequences is wrong, then we are all guilty of being wrong in pretty much everything we do.
And we can take that position, or we can acknowledge that calling certain people wrong for behaving just like everyone else doesn't move the debate anywhere and is, instead, probably counter productive to creating open dialogue.
Now I know you hate open dialoguepreferring witless, irrelevant one-liners to meaningful conversationbut it's actually a good thing and worth giving a try.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3498 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 2:08 PM Dr Adequate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3500 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 3:30 PM Jon has replied
 Message 3501 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 3:50 PM Jon has replied
 Message 3507 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 6:18 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3502 of 5179 (759859)
06-15-2015 4:13 PM
Reply to: Message 3501 by Percy
06-15-2015 3:50 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
I think what you're trying to say is that everyone accepts a degree of risk, but that's not the same thing as ignoring consequences. What actually takes place is a balancing of risks and benefits.
But that's not what 'actually takes place'. If it were, no one would drive to get supper.
Instead, we would all wait and travel to purchase groceries only as often as necessary. Supposing our risk of dying in a car accident is 1% per trip and our risk of dying from starvation increases by .25% for each day we go without food. It would make sense, based on these statistics, that we should buy no less than four days' worth of food for each drive we make to the store,and preferably more if we want to decrease our risk of death in a car accident even further.
That would make a drive for only one day's worth of food (or worse, only one meal) a statistically foolish thing.
Yet we all get in the car Saturday night and head on down to the restaurant. Even you and I do it, though we know the risks and are perfectly capable of avoiding them.
We aren't 'wrong' in doing this, of course; we're just human.
This is the first I'm aware of someone arguing that gun owners know guns diminish safety but want them anyway.
Gun owners perhaps know guns statistically diminish safety but, much like you and I when we go to pick up supper, don't believe they will end up on the bad side of those statistics.
And the conversation doesn't go anywhere by calling such people 'wrong' or implying they are stupidly making their decision out of some irrational love affair with firearms.
They might after all just be humans.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3501 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 3:50 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3504 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 5:02 PM Jon has replied
 Message 3506 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 6:07 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3503 of 5179 (759860)
06-15-2015 4:27 PM
Reply to: Message 3500 by NoNukes
06-15-2015 3:30 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Some behaviors simply do not have much of an upside.
The upside is all the people who successfully protect themselves with a firearm who would have otherwise perished.
Just like the statistical upside of all the people who die in car accidents on their way to pick up supper is all the people who don't die of hunger who otherwise would have (zero, unfortunately).
Edited by Jon, : No reason given.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3500 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 3:30 PM NoNukes has not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3505 of 5179 (759866)
06-15-2015 5:27 PM
Reply to: Message 3504 by NoNukes
06-15-2015 5:02 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Can you actually defend the statement that the risks involved with getting supper outweigh the gains?
Yes.
The risk involved in dying from not eating a single meal is zero.
The risk involved in driving a car to a restaurant is greater than zero.
Even a person who has bothered to consider the risks associated with getting dinner will rationally make the decision to get dinner.
Sure; because they don't care. People rarely make such calculations. And when they do, they often assume they won't end up on the bad end of the statistics.
And if you consider them to be rational, then you can only describe someone who buys a gun for protection likewise.
I personally think both are irrational, but accept that irrationality is a part of being human.
Edited by Jon, : No reason given.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3504 by NoNukes, posted 06-15-2015 5:02 PM NoNukes has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3508 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 6:25 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3509 of 5179 (759877)
06-15-2015 6:34 PM
Reply to: Message 3506 by Percy
06-15-2015 6:07 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
The statistics you're using for your example are off by a very large amount. The fatality rate for vehicles in the US is one per 100 million vehicle miles. If the round trip drive to dinner is around 10 miles then the risk of being killed is around 0.00001%, not 1%. While riding in a car is probably most people's activity of greatest risk, it's still a very, very small one.
You'll notice I said 'supposing'. I was just making up numbers to illustrate my point.
For comparison, in the US the odds of being struck by lightening in any given year are about the same as driving to dinner ten times.
Sure. Lots of things have risks and many times people put themselves at risk unnecessarily.
But the risk of dying while driving to dinner is far, far less than you thought, and it isn't an example of people foolishly ignoring serious consequences of perceptible probability.
It's not just the risk of dying while driving, it's the risk of dying while driving compared to the risk of dying from skipping a single meal.
Our odds of living are better skipping the meal than getting in the car. You know it. I know it.
Yet we're both gonna get in that car, aren't we?
All the arguments from the gun advocates have been about how gun possession makes them safer.
That's possible.
I haven't paid attention to their arguments much.
Personally I don't own a gun. And I understand the statistics quite well.
But if I lived in an area where I felt I might need protection (or had dangerous enemies, etc.) I may still consider getting a gun.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3506 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 6:07 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3510 by Theodoric, posted 06-15-2015 6:51 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3511 of 5179 (759893)
06-15-2015 8:10 PM
Reply to: Message 3508 by Percy
06-15-2015 6:25 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
You weren't arguing that the risk of starving to death from missing one meal is less than being killed while driving to dinner, something that no one would dispute (ignoring that some people are diabetic or have other health issues).
That's exactly what I was, and still am, arguing.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3508 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 6:25 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3512 of 5179 (759895)
06-15-2015 8:11 PM
Reply to: Message 3507 by Dr Adequate
06-15-2015 6:18 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
In the real world, people's actions are motivated by their assessment of the likelihood of the consequences of their actions.
What a load of fantastical bullshit.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3507 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 6:18 PM Dr Adequate has not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3516 of 5179 (759920)
06-16-2015 7:14 AM
Reply to: Message 3515 by Dr Adequate
06-16-2015 12:08 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
More crap.
Even when a person is aware of all the known risks, they still often engage in the risky behavior.
But that's because people aren't risk-reward analyzing machines; they're human beings.
You and I both know that over 3000 people are going to die in car accidents today. And yet we're both going to hop in our cars and go for a ride.
Telling someone they are wrong to own a gun for protection isn't any more likely to get them to give up their guns than telling someone else they are wrong to drive for pleasure is going to get them to give up their wheels.
The whole issue is a pointless waste of time. Energy is better spent making guns and gun storage safer, making neighborhoods safer so people feel less need for guns, and so forth. Just like energy is better spent improving car safety, intersection safety, setting speed limits, and implementing better public transportation than trying to convince people to stop driving.
If you stick to your current path you'll accomplish nothing, and you'll have spent a good deal of time and effort doing it.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3515 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-16-2015 12:08 AM Dr Adequate has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3520 by ringo, posted 06-16-2015 12:19 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3525 of 5179 (760013)
06-16-2015 6:46 PM
Reply to: Message 3520 by ringo
06-16-2015 12:19 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
If you can't convince people that guns are dangerous, how can you convince them to buy safer guns?
Just make the guns safer.
A lot of the safety features on cars aren't plainly apparent to consumers. But people still buy cars with safety features because it's just a reality that that's how cars are made.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3520 by ringo, posted 06-16-2015 12:19 PM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3528 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-16-2015 10:32 PM Jon has not replied
 Message 3540 by ringo, posted 06-17-2015 3:23 PM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3526 of 5179 (760017)
06-16-2015 7:43 PM
Reply to: Message 3517 by Percy
06-16-2015 7:34 AM


Re: Daily Vehicle Deaths
Just to correct some erroneous information posted above, on average approximately 90 people are killed in motor vehicle related accidents each day in the US.
I used the international figures from this website since I don't know where Dr Adequate lives.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3517 by Percy, posted 06-16-2015 7:34 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3527 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-16-2015 10:23 PM Jon has not replied
 Message 3529 by PaulK, posted 06-17-2015 1:08 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3530 of 5179 (760053)
06-17-2015 7:47 AM
Reply to: Message 3529 by PaulK
06-17-2015 1:08 AM


Re: Daily Vehicle Deaths
quote:
I used the international figures from this website since I don't know where Dr Adequate lives.
Did you ? The global figures from the website say:
Each year nearly 400,000 people under 25 die on the world's roads, on average over 1,000 a day.
Well I'm over 25; I don't know about Dr Adequate, but I assumed he was too. That's why I used the general figures that make no reference to age (first bullet):
quote:
"Road Crash Statistics" from ASIRT:
Nearly 1.3 million people die in road crashes each year, on average 3,287 deaths a day.
Of course it doesn't matter. The point is that it is more dangerous to go out to supper on Saturday night than it is to skip supper on Saturday night. People still go out to supper. And society's response isn't to shout at people daring to risk life and limb for good steak, but instead to make cars safer, intersections safer, improve driver education, etc.
The same approach, if taken with guns, would be much more effective than throwing statistics at a single mother trying to convince her not to buy a gun she feels she desperately needs to protect her children and herself.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3529 by PaulK, posted 06-17-2015 1:08 AM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3531 by PaulK, posted 06-17-2015 8:10 AM Jon has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3533 of 5179 (760058)
06-17-2015 8:39 AM
Reply to: Message 3531 by PaulK
06-17-2015 8:10 AM


Re: Daily Vehicle Deaths
The primary reason that guns tend to harm the people they are bought to protect more often than protect them is because the safety measures required are never seriously discussed.
How safe do you think cars would be if there were only two sides to a debate about automobile usage: One side saying automobiles are necessary to get around and the other side saying it's stupid to own them because they end up killing people?
When both sides are locked into a nonsense position that nothing should be done except precisely what they want done, then it is very difficult to see how anything will ever be done.
Aside from the specific problems with that analogy there is one very basic difference that is being ignored. The purpose of owning and using a car is very different from the purpose of owning a gun. Buying a gun to protect your life and your families lives has - on average - the opposite effect. The car does what it is meant to do but the gun does not.
No. I am saying there is a cost-benefit associated with going out for supper vs. not going out for supper and a cost-benefit associated with owning a gun vs. not owning a gun.
Your chance of dying is greater if you get in your car and go out for supper instead of staying home and not eating a meal that night. Much like your chance of dying is greater if you buy a gun instead of hope no one tries to break into your house and kill you.
The 'purpose' of each thing has no relevancy whatsoever.
A better analogy might be skipping vaccinations to protect your child's health. Due to scaremongering there are people who believe that is a good idea, but it isn't. Are you really saying that we should try to make things safer for those who mistakenly refuse to vaccinate instead of countering the misinformation and encouraging vaccination ?
My analogy was to show that statistical probabilities don't rule people's decision-making-processes. If they did, no one would drive for supper on Saturday night and no one would own a gun.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3531 by PaulK, posted 06-17-2015 8:10 AM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3535 by PaulK, posted 06-17-2015 9:09 AM Jon has replied

Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024