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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

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Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 476 of 5179 (684733)
12-18-2012 1:53 PM
Reply to: Message 470 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 1:47 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
You claimed that firearms are extremely durable, and used Revolutionary firearms as an example to prove your point.
And firearms are extremely durable. They're an extremely durable class of goods. For instance, firearms from the Revolutionary war can still be fired.
You do not know how durable Revolutionary firearms were.
I've not made any claims whatsoever about the durability of Revolutionary firearms. None at all.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 470 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 1:47 PM Rahvin has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 478 of 5179 (684735)
12-18-2012 1:55 PM
Reply to: Message 477 by RAZD
12-18-2012 1:53 PM


Re: post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy
Ever heard of the Coincidental Correlation (post hoc ergo propter hoc) logical fallacy?
You mean like "we banned guns, and then murders were lower after that"?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 477 by RAZD, posted 12-18-2012 1:53 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 480 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:02 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 481 of 5179 (684738)
12-18-2012 2:02 PM
Reply to: Message 479 by Panda
12-18-2012 2:00 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
But, as usual, you avoid the actual point of this thread: gun deaths were greatly reduced.
Gun deaths. Not car deaths. Not drug deaths. Not crime rates. Not homicides.
GUN deaths (or firearm homicides and firearm suicides if that helps you).
Who cares, though? What good is it to reduce one category of deaths at the expense of a greater increase in others? Again, gratz on the guns or whatever, but if more people were murdered in aggregate, what the fuck was it worth? I don't think society has a vested interest in shifting how people are murdered. Can you explain why you think it does?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 479 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:00 PM Panda has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 488 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:12 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 482 of 5179 (684740)
12-18-2012 2:03 PM
Reply to: Message 480 by Panda
12-18-2012 2:02 PM


Re: post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy
I don't recognize this text from anyone else's post, but you attribute it to someone.
Who do I attribute it to? Be specific.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 480 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:02 PM Panda has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 490 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:15 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 504 of 5179 (684770)
12-18-2012 3:54 PM
Reply to: Message 488 by Panda
12-18-2012 2:12 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
Fuck those kids, right?
Which kids? I don't follow; you're clearly trying to evade the question. Answer it, instead: if we reduce gun deaths, but increase stabbing deaths by more, why is that a good thing? Shouldn't the goal be less homicides without regard to how they're committed?
They weren't.
They were, though:
http://www.aic.gov.au/statistics/homicide.html
It's funny how you link without quoting or showing, describing it one way; when I actually go there and look, the truth is the opposite. Please, when you discuss with me, remember that misrepresenting your sources violates the forum guidelines.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 488 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:12 PM Panda has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 506 by vimesey, posted 12-18-2012 3:58 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 507 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 3:59 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 505 of 5179 (684771)
12-18-2012 3:56 PM
Reply to: Message 490 by Panda
12-18-2012 2:15 PM


Re: post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy
Oh, I see: no-one said it.
Oh, I see - so when you said that I attributed this to "someone", you were saying something you knew not to be true. There's a name for what that's called, but I don't seem to be allowed to tell you what it is. Perhaps you can use your imagination.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 490 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 2:15 PM Panda has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 523 by Panda, posted 12-18-2012 5:26 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 509 of 5179 (684776)
12-18-2012 4:00 PM
Reply to: Message 496 by Tangle
12-18-2012 2:33 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
So your hypothesis is that because the UK population isn't armed, burglars don't concern themselves with whether anyone is home or not.
Well, no. That's not my hypothesis, it was Rahvin's:
quote:
A criminal has no way of knowing whether a given home contains a gun owner or not; most home invaders try to commit their crimes while the victims are away, so as to avoid the police or any form of confrontation. For the remainder...the possibility of a homeowner with a gun being present simply escalates the threat.
You've jumped into a conversation I've been having with him.
I'd be amazed if it was much different in the UK - but you presumably do so can you share please.
I've already done so. Again, Tangle, you can't maintain a studied ignorance of my sources and then claim that I've not provided any. I'm not required to repeat myself to every newcomer. If this is a conversation you want to be a part of, it's your responsibility to get caught up.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 496 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 2:33 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 514 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 4:29 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 510 of 5179 (684777)
12-18-2012 4:02 PM
Reply to: Message 500 by xongsmith
12-18-2012 3:18 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Crash - you have to enlarge to salient points of the graph. You cant get away with white non-grided graphs.
I don't understand what you're talking about, but it strikes me that if the only complaint you have about my numbers is that they're poorly formatted, you've conceded my major points.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 500 by xongsmith, posted 12-18-2012 3:18 PM xongsmith has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 511 of 5179 (684778)
12-18-2012 4:04 PM
Reply to: Message 502 by Theodoric
12-18-2012 3:31 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
This is one of a long list of things that Crash threw out without any support.
But it is the support. You can't claim that my support isn't supported, that makes no sense.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 502 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 3:31 PM Theodoric has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 512 of 5179 (684779)
12-18-2012 4:05 PM
Reply to: Message 506 by vimesey
12-18-2012 3:58 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
Seriously ?
Yeah, which ones. There's a context for my remarks, here, and it didn't involve children, so unspecified "kids" are a non sequitur I don't understand. Since I wasn't ever talking about fucking children, I'm just wondering which kids Panda wants to fuck. He'll have to tell me; fucking children isn't my thing. Whatever works for him, though.

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 Message 506 by vimesey, posted 12-18-2012 3:58 PM vimesey has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 513 of 5179 (684782)
12-18-2012 4:10 PM
Reply to: Message 507 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 3:59 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
Strange how that line goes down over time.
If you concentrate only on the part that goes down, years after the gun ban went into effect, then you're just cherry-picking. I'm prepared to accept that the eventual decline in crime is associated with Australia's gun ban, but the trend is U-shaped, the same U-shaped curve seen in every OECD country over the same period:
including those that didn't pass much in the way of gun control.
So why, Rahvin, should I believe that Australia's eventual small decrease in the homicide rate was solely the result of a gun law passed almost a decade earlier, and not just Australia following the same trend everyone else followed?
Edited by Adminnemooseus, : Reduce image size.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 507 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 3:59 PM Rahvin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 520 by kofh2u, posted 12-18-2012 5:06 PM crashfrog has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 515 of 5179 (684785)
12-18-2012 4:31 PM
Reply to: Message 496 by Tangle
12-18-2012 2:33 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
I can't find numbers on occupied burglary in the UK but the FBI tell us that it happens in 60% of all burglaries in the USA.
This "source" is a website that sells home security systems. It's not the FBI.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 496 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 2:33 PM Tangle has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 516 of 5179 (684786)
12-18-2012 4:35 PM
Reply to: Message 514 by Tangle
12-18-2012 4:29 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Find your own source. But make sure you can tell the difference between a website hawking security systems and the FBI.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 514 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 4:29 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 517 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 4:57 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 519 of 5179 (684797)
12-18-2012 5:03 PM
Reply to: Message 517 by Tangle
12-18-2012 4:57 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
* FBI Crime Statistics
Here in the US, the government keeps track of crime via the Bureau of Justice Statistics. While I'm sure the FBI keeps track of crime to some extent, there's no such thing as "FBI Crime Statistics."
But once again, I'm flabbergasted at the difference in skepticism you're showing, here. Anything I say is subject to intense doubt and challenge, but a website produces a claim from whole cloth that works to your advantage, and you adopt it without question.
Btw. Your OECD graphs are interesting but don't, of course tell us anything about guns.
They're not meant to tell you anything about guns, and I never said they were about guns. They were about homicides. Is there some reason that wasn't clear in your post? I told you precisely what claim they were produced to support. That they don't support another claim, which I didn't make, is irrelevant.
even though the US is miles ahead of everybody else in the violence game.
Oh, no doubt. But in all types of assaults - not just gun assaults.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 517 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 4:57 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 521 by vimesey, posted 12-18-2012 5:13 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 524 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 5:29 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 528 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 5:37 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 522 of 5179 (684806)
12-18-2012 5:25 PM
Reply to: Message 521 by vimesey
12-18-2012 5:13 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
My recollection, looking at this two days ago, was that the US had an occupied burglaries rate of about 10%, while in the UK it was 40%.
But that's just from memory, so I can't stand on those exact figures. Regardless, yes, my position is that the UK has a much higher rate of occupied burglary/home invasion than the US.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 521 by vimesey, posted 12-18-2012 5:13 PM vimesey has not replied

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