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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

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Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 2026 of 5179 (693194)
03-12-2013 11:32 AM
Reply to: Message 2023 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 11:15 AM


Re: Would this be enough?
So you are completely invalidating the study because you found one reference that did not totally support every part of the study.
Really???
Are you really going to stoop to that crap?
Now if you were really interested in looking at things rationally and objectively you would have actually read the study and seen that the reference you looked at #16 is a reference for this line in the report.
quote:
Other case-control studies have also found an increased risk of suicide for those with firearms in the home, with relative risks ranging from 2.1 to 4.4
Talk about manipulating data.
Just because you cannot click on a link and get the info means nothing. Are you making accusations of scholarly fraud here?
Tell you what. When you can find actual problems with the study come back and post on it. The references are all available, you will just need to do work to get them.
That you think one reference does not support all the aspects of the study, thus the study is invalidated is freaking nuts. Do you have any idea how research like this is done? Do you know the purpose of a footnote and references?
For example, #4 is titled "Does owning a firearm increase or decrease the risk of death?" and there's a link to the "FREE Full Text", but it doesn't work.
What does that have to do with the conclusions?

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2023 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 11:15 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2028 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 11:39 AM Theodoric has replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 2027 of 5179 (693195)
03-12-2013 11:38 AM
Reply to: Message 2025 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 11:25 AM


Re: Bump for Jon
Strawman, strawman, strawman.
I am and I know of no one posting here that is calling for gun confiscation.
It seems to me you are arguing against yourself.
I already did before I posted. I'm not seeing much of an argument. That's why I asked what you think it is. I'd rather be on the same page.
Jon writes:
Because history has shown us that governments never confiscate guns; obviously...
Jon seems to be implying that since governments have confiscated guns before, people in the US should be concerned about gun confiscation.
Therefore, I asked for data on previous gun confiscations. With that info we could look at the circumstances to see if they are in any way applicable to the US. Seems like the logical step to take. Then again I am seeing little logic from that side.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2025 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 11:25 AM New Cat's Eye has seen this message but not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2028 of 5179 (693196)
03-12-2013 11:39 AM
Reply to: Message 2026 by Theodoric
03-12-2013 11:32 AM


Re: Would this be enough?
So you are completely invalidating the study because you found one reference that did not totally support every part of the study.
Good day, sir.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2026 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 11:32 AM Theodoric has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2029 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 1:26 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 2029 of 5179 (693200)
03-12-2013 1:26 PM
Reply to: Message 2028 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 11:39 AM


Re: Would this be enough?
Then I evidently misunderstood your post to Percy.
What did you mean by the following statements?
CS writes:
Is that really something we can expect to be representative of "everyone"? Is the data for this really strong enough to state as a matter of fact that a gun in your house does makes you less safe?
You are using one of the original sources to try to invalidate the paper aren't you? If not, what was the point you tried to make?
CS writes:
If this was something that you didn't want to believe, wouldn't you have gone through it and torn it apart to see how good the data actually is?
How can you make a determination of how good the data is if you only look at one source?

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2028 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 11:39 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2031 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 2:45 PM Theodoric has replied

Omnivorous
Member
Posts: 3991
From: Adirondackia
Joined: 07-21-2005
Member Rating: 6.9


Message 2030 of 5179 (693201)
03-12-2013 2:23 PM
Reply to: Message 2013 by NoNukes
03-11-2013 3:09 PM


Re: Au contraire, mon ami
NoNukes writes:
Omnivorous writes:
stratospheric levels. Many a foot has eased off their pedals after their owners' insurance rates went sky high.
Jon writes:
But that's not car insurance; that's the fear of car insurance.
Quite a different thing.
That's not fear of car insurance. That's the actual reality that you can no longer afford to continue a pattern of behavior because your car insurance is too costly.
Of course; the fear of guns will do just that: get you knee-jerk, freedom-quenching legislation passed in the blink of an eye.
I note that slowing down and driving carefully would not be a knee jerk response, but is actually the rational thing to do.
Thanks for making that reply, NoNukes.
I confess I found Jon's reply to my post such a stinking, reeking turd of intellectual dishonesty that I lost my appetite for the discussion.

"If you can keep your head while those around you are losing theirs, you can collect a lot of heads."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2013 by NoNukes, posted 03-11-2013 3:09 PM NoNukes has seen this message but not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2031 of 5179 (693204)
03-12-2013 2:45 PM
Reply to: Message 2029 by Theodoric
03-12-2013 1:26 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
Then I evidently misunderstood your post to Percy.
What did you mean by the following statements?
CS writes:
Is that really something we can expect to be representative of "everyone"? Is the data for this really strong enough to state as a matter of fact that a gun in your house does makes you less safe?
You are using one of the original sources to try to invalidate the paper aren't you? If not, what was the point you tried to make?
Those aren't statements. They're called "questions". You can tell by this curvy punctuation at the end: "?"
They do not make points. They request information. The information that is being sought is if the data is actually good enough to warrant stating that conclusion matter of factly.
CS writes:
If this was something that you didn't want to believe, wouldn't you have gone through it and torn it apart to see how good the data actually is?
How can you make a determination of how good the data is if you only look at one source?
Strawman, strawman, strawman.
I am and I know of no one posting here that is calling for only looking at one source.
It seems to me you are arguing against yourself.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2029 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 1:26 PM Theodoric has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2032 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 3:30 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 2032 of 5179 (693209)
03-12-2013 3:30 PM
Reply to: Message 2031 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 2:45 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
They do not make points. They request information. The information that is being sought is if the data is actually good enough to warrant stating that conclusion matter of factly.
Come on. You are embarrassing yourself. Your insinuations are clear.
You clearly are telling Percy that there is a problem with his original source, when you have shown no problem whatsoever.
Strawman, strawman, strawman.
I am and I know of no one posting here that is calling for only looking at one source.
But you used one source to raise a red flag. You actually did it, anyone can see that that is what you did. You accuse Percy of doing something you actually did.
As always, I see you ignore what the actual points are and resort to muddying the debate.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2031 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 2:45 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2035 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 3:52 PM Theodoric has not replied

Dr Adequate
Member (Idle past 312 days)
Posts: 16113
Joined: 07-20-2006


Message 2033 of 5179 (693210)
03-12-2013 3:33 PM
Reply to: Message 2019 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 11:01 AM


Re: Would this be enough?
If this was something that you didn't want to believe, wouldn't you have gone through it and torn it apart to see how good the data actually is?
But this is what you actually do. In fact, it's what you actually keep doing again and again. I respect you personally, but when we talk about gun control that is exactly what you do. You try to make up an excuse so that you can ignore the data.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2019 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 11:01 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2034 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 3:50 PM Dr Adequate has replied
 Message 2036 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 4:12 PM Dr Adequate has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2034 of 5179 (693211)
03-12-2013 3:50 PM
Reply to: Message 2033 by Dr Adequate
03-12-2013 3:33 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
If this was something that you didn't want to believe, wouldn't you have gone through it and torn it apart to see how good the data actually is?
But this is what you actually do. In fact, it's what you actually keep doing again and again. I respect you personally, but when we talk about gun control that is exactly what you do. You try to make up an excuse so that you can ignore the data.
But I'm not ignoring the data. I'm trying to get down to it. The people who are for gun control seem to be very accepting of questionable data as long as it says that guns are bad. These same people won't accept anything but the most stringently scrutinized data to even consider something that they don't already accept.
I'll admit that I'm not buying it up front, but its not an excuse to ignore the data. Where's the data that shows that guns in homes make you less safe? All I've found in the very limited time I've had to look has been very unconvincing.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2033 by Dr Adequate, posted 03-12-2013 3:33 PM Dr Adequate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2040 by Dr Adequate, posted 03-13-2013 2:11 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2035 of 5179 (693212)
03-12-2013 3:52 PM
Reply to: Message 2032 by Theodoric
03-12-2013 3:30 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
Come on. You are embarrassing yourself. Your insinuations are clear.
You clearly are telling Percy that there is a problem with his original source,
Please stop lying about me.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2032 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 3:30 PM Theodoric has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2036 of 5179 (693217)
03-12-2013 4:12 PM
Reply to: Message 2033 by Dr Adequate
03-12-2013 3:33 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
Okay here's another one:
From the study:
Some studies have specifically examined the association between purchase of a handgun and risk of a violent death (20, 21). In a case-control study of members of a large health maintenance organization, Cummings et al. (20) found that a history of family handgun purchase was associated with an elevated risk of both homicide and suicide.
Referece #20
The association between the purchase of a handgun and homicide or suicide
quote:
Methods. A case-control study was done among the members of a large health maintenance organization. Case subjects were the 353 suicide victims and 117 homicide victims among the members from 1980 through 1992. Five control subjects were matched to each case subject on age, sex, and zip code of residence. Handgun purchase information was obtained from the Department of Licensing.
Results. The adjusted relative risk for suicide was 1.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4, 2.5) for persons with a history of family handgun purchase from a registered dealer. The adjusted relative risk for homicide, given a history of family handgun purchase, was 2.2 (95% CI = 1.3, 3.7). For both suicide and homicide, the elevated relative risks persisted for more than 5 years after the purchase.
Conclusions. Legal purchase of a handgun appears to be associated with a long-lasting increased risk of violent death.
117 homicide victims from 1980 - 1992 is what is going to determine if purchasing a gun will increase your chance of being a homicide victim? Really?
Do you really think that is good data?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2033 by Dr Adequate, posted 03-12-2013 3:33 PM Dr Adequate has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2037 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 4:25 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 2037 of 5179 (693218)
03-12-2013 4:25 PM
Reply to: Message 2036 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 4:12 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
Do you really think that is good data?
Yes. Why do you think it is not? Can you show studies that counter this?
Show multiple studies that do not come to the conclusions of the paper you are attacking.
They are using science. The weight of the evidence is against you.
You are acting like a creo. Instead of finding evidence that supports your beliefs you are attacking any data that is counter to your beliefs.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2036 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 4:12 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2038 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 4:31 PM Theodoric has not replied

New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


Message 2038 of 5179 (693219)
03-12-2013 4:31 PM
Reply to: Message 2037 by Theodoric
03-12-2013 4:25 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
Do you really think that is good data?
Yes. Why do you think it is not?
The sample size is too small and its outdated.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2037 by Theodoric, posted 03-12-2013 4:25 PM Theodoric has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2039 by Rahvin, posted 03-12-2013 6:45 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4045
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 7.4


(4)
Message 2039 of 5179 (693234)
03-12-2013 6:45 PM
Reply to: Message 2038 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 4:31 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
The sample size is too small and its outdated.
Which makes the data suspect, it makes the evidence less strong than a similar study with a larger sample size would provide.
What it does not do is allow you to simply disregard it as meaningless. When the only evidence available is a weak study, the rational response is to slightly adjust your expectations of reality pending additional information.
Instead, what you appear to be doing is simply saying "that doesn't count."
I'd love to see a more comprehensive study - I'm sure every intellectually honest person concerned with the topic would. Feel free to find us one, regardless of the results.
But the proper response to even a large degree of uncertainty in the presence of weak evidence is not "we have no idea." The proper response is "well, it's not much, but it looks like it's pointing this way."
ABE: Your criticism of the study as "outdated" is somewhat worse off, as the age of a study is irrelevant so long as the relevant context of the study remains constant...much the way that Gregor Mendel's work with peas is still perfectly valid today even in the presence of a much deeper and broader selection of work on the topic since. Since, of course, you would have mentioned the invalidating changes that time has introduced if such changes had happened instead of simply attacking the age itself, I presume that you have no rational basis for dismissal due to age, and are simply trying to handwave evidence you personally don;t like.
I'm reminded of a scene in "Liar, Liar" where Jim Carey makes an objection, and in response to the judge's query as to the grounds of the objection, Carey says "because it destroys my case!"
Edited by Rahvin, : No reason given.

The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. - Francis Bacon
"There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers
A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus
"...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds of variously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." - Barash, David 1995.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2038 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 4:31 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2041 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-13-2013 1:54 PM Rahvin has replied

Dr Adequate
Member (Idle past 312 days)
Posts: 16113
Joined: 07-20-2006


(1)
Message 2040 of 5179 (693257)
03-13-2013 2:11 AM
Reply to: Message 2034 by New Cat's Eye
03-12-2013 3:50 PM


Re: Would this be enough?
But I'm not ignoring the data. I'm trying to get down to it. The people who are for gun control seem to be very accepting of questionable data as long as it says that guns are bad.
All data is "questionable" when you look at it hard enough. There are always alternative hypotheses, alternative interpretations. But it does seem like all the "questionable" data points in the same direction. And so you question it bit by bit. On this same thread (IIRC) you have called one data set into question because it controlled for economic factors, and another because it didn't. Both may have been reasonable objections ... and yet, it turns out that whatever way you slice it, guns are dangerous (whoda thought it?)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2034 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-12-2013 3:50 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

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