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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

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Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
Tangle
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Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2656 of 5179 (732428)
07-07-2014 1:43 PM
Reply to: Message 2647 by jar
07-07-2014 6:50 AM


Re: The state as of this date
Jar writes:
How would you know I feel less secure?
I think it was something about you thinking that the government - local and federal - might at any time come after you, that you feared home invasion and kidnap, civil unrest and living too close to Mexicans.
And is "feeling secure" desirable or healthy?
Well yes, it is. It's right there at the bottom of our needs, probably just after food. Ask an Iraqi.
Edited by Tangle, : No reason given.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2647 by jar, posted 07-07-2014 6:50 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2664 by jar, posted 07-07-2014 5:23 PM Tangle has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2661 of 5179 (732455)
07-07-2014 4:11 PM
Reply to: Message 2659 by New Cat's Eye
07-07-2014 2:57 PM


CS writes:
How do your laws go about determining whether or not an amount of force was reasonable?
We ask what a reasonable person using the minimun force necessary to protect themselves would have done in the circumstances. This includes using lethal force if that is reasonable.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2659 by New Cat's Eye, posted 07-07-2014 2:57 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2662 by New Cat's Eye, posted 07-07-2014 4:44 PM Tangle has replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2663 of 5179 (732464)
07-07-2014 5:17 PM
Reply to: Message 2662 by New Cat's Eye
07-07-2014 4:44 PM


Minimum is assumed, but the actual test is whether the force was excessive or not. It's what was reasonable in the circumstances that matters most.
Reasonable Force
A person may use such force as is reasonable in the circumstances for the purposes of:
self-defence; or
defence of another; or
defence of property; or
prevention of crime; or
lawful arrest.
In assessing the reasonableness of the force used, prosecutors should ask two questions:
was the use of force necessary in the circumstances, i.e. Was there a need for any force at all? and
was the force used reasonable in the circumstances?
The courts have indicated that both questions are to answered on the basis of the facts as the accused honestly believed them to be (R v Williams (G) 78 Cr App R 276), (R. v Oatbridge, 94 Cr App R 367).
To that extent it is a subjective test. There is, however, an objective element to the test. The jury must then go on to ask themselves whether, on the basis of the facts as the accused believed them to be, a reasonable person would regard the force used as reasonable or excessive.
It is important to bear in mind when assessing whether the force used was reasonable the words of Lord Morris in (Palmer v R 1971 AC 814);
"If there has been an attack so that self defence is reasonably necessary, it will be recognised that a person defending himself cannot weigh to a nicety the exact measure of his defensive action. If the jury thought that that in a moment of unexpected anguish a person attacked had only done what he honestly and instinctively thought necessary, that would be the most potent evidence that only reasonable defensive action had been taken ..."
The fact that an act was considered necessary does not mean that the resulting action was reasonable: (R v Clegg 1995 1 AC 482 HL). Where it is alleged that a person acted to defend himself/herself from violence, the extent to which the action taken was necessary will, of course, be integral to the reasonableness of the force used.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2662 by New Cat's Eye, posted 07-07-2014 4:44 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2696 of 5179 (732583)
07-08-2014 6:23 PM
Reply to: Message 2694 by New Cat's Eye
07-08-2014 5:45 PM


And the one common factor? They all had access to guns.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2694 by New Cat's Eye, posted 07-08-2014 5:45 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(2)
Message 2857 of 5179 (734182)
07-26-2014 4:09 PM
Reply to: Message 2856 by mram10
07-26-2014 3:09 PM


This is why the rest of the world worries about Americans.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2856 by mram10, posted 07-26-2014 3:09 PM mram10 has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2864 of 5179 (735901)
08-27-2014 5:11 PM


Burgers, bullets and....... babies.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(2)
Message 2929 of 5179 (745034)
12-18-2014 10:37 AM
Reply to: Message 2924 by Faith
12-18-2014 4:17 AM


Re: Where did I say I oppose laws regulating guns?
Faith writes:
But why are you arguing with me about the need for laws regulating guns? Where have I said I oppose that? It's possible, I suppose, that I said something somewhere that sounds like I oppose it though I don't remember saying it and nobody has quoted me on the subject, but as I sit here now I don't have any objection at all to reasonable laws regulating private ownership of guns.
You're kidding me? You ranted for hundreds of posts about what a bad idea more gun control would be. You wanted to arm teachers for god's sake.
Message 55 of 2928 (684015)
It's not that we have too many guns it's that they aren't in service when they are needed, and we certainly DON'T need more gun control. The founders knew what they were doing. When guns are not available to private citizens for self defense and defense in such situations as these shootings, soon the whole population is at the mercy of criminal and government powers, standing armies and so on. The founders knew what they were doing. BUT more of the citizen owners of guns need to be packing them, especially these days.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2924 by Faith, posted 12-18-2014 4:17 AM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 2931 by Faith, posted 12-18-2014 4:46 PM Tangle has replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 2936 of 5179 (745073)
12-18-2014 6:14 PM
Reply to: Message 2931 by Faith
12-18-2014 4:46 PM


Re: Where did I say I oppose laws regulating guns?
Faith writes:
But why are you arguing with me about the need for laws regulating guns? Where have I said I oppose that?
OK, yes I think a lot of the gun control you guys want is crazy.
QED.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2931 by Faith, posted 12-18-2014 4:46 PM Faith has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 3041 of 5179 (745276)
12-21-2014 11:49 AM


There's a publicly available paper on international comparisons of gun homicides here:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/...485564/pdf/cmaj00266-0071.pdf
It's quite old now but...
Results: Positive correlations were obtained between the rates of household gun ownership and the national rates of homicide and suicide as well as the proportions of homicides and suicides committed with a gun. There was no negative correlation between the rates of ownership and the rates of homicide and suicide committed by other means; this indicated that the other means were not used to "compensate" for the absence of guns in countries with a lower rate of gun ownership.
Conclusion: Larger studies are needed to examine more closely possible confounding factors such as the national tendency toward violent solutions, and more information on the type and availability of guns will be helpful in future studies. Nevertheless, the correlations detected in this study suggest that the presence of a gun in the home increases the likelihood of homicide or suicide.
It goes on to say:
Unfortunately, any further waiting for more convincing evidence may jeopardize more rigorous approaches to gun control, since beyond a certain point significantly reducing the number of guns in the hands of private citizens becomes a hopeless task. Therefore, the crucial policy question is: How much time do we have left to wait for more research, particularly in countries where gun ownership is not widespread and where social policies aimed at restraining its increase might be most beneficial in terms of reducing violence?
Pity no-one took any notice. And still aren't.
Similar results in this later one (not public)
Firearm Availability and Homicide Rates across 26 High-Incom... : Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery
Results: In simple regressions (no control variables) across 26 high-income nations, there is a strong and statistically significant association between gun availability and homicide rates.
Conclusion: Across developed countries, where guns are more available, there are more homicides.
The point surely is that not only is it difficult to imagine the circumstances whereby more guns could feasibly lead to fewer deaths by guns, it's also backed up by several empirical studies.
Game over really unless Faith can find some contrary evidence from somewhere we can trust.
Edited by Tangle, : No reason given.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 3113 of 5179 (745455)
12-23-2014 4:14 AM
Reply to: Message 3110 by ICANT
12-23-2014 3:03 AM


Re: guns / crime
Traditionally crime rates of all kinds have fallen throughout the Western world for the last 20 years. There's a lot of interesting ideas on why this has happened which is worthy of a thread of its own, but it does not affect the fact that the more guns there are in a society the more deaths are caused by them - even if those deaths are in decline.
There's plenty of evidence shown here of that being true and none brought here to contradict it.
Plus there is the difficulty in suggesting a possible mechanism where the more guns there are in a society the fewer deaths there are from them. What possible reason could be imagined for that? What evidence can you bring for such an effect?
Edited by Tangle, : No reason given.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3110 by ICANT, posted 12-23-2014 3:03 AM ICANT has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 3115 of 5179 (745461)
12-23-2014 7:36 AM


I'm pretty sure this graph has been quoted before but here it is again:
Same pattern, more guns, more deaths from guns.
And before we get the 'if they didn't have guns, they'd use something else' argument. No they wouldn't it's the opportunity presented by guns that is the majority lethal component here. Guns are just too bloody efficient at killing - they're a force-magnifyier.
Once opportunity is reduced, crime reduces - there's stacks of evidence for that effect.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 3127 of 5179 (745484)
12-23-2014 11:21 AM
Reply to: Message 3124 by New Cat's Eye
12-23-2014 9:56 AM


Re: guns / crime
Cat Sci writes:
In the above situation, the more Protestants you have the more suicides you have, but being a Protestant doesn't necessarily cause people to commit suicide.
Nope. We're not moving from an average to an individual analysis so the ecological fallacy does not apply. All that is being said is that the number of guns in a society predicts the number of gun deaths in a society. It says nothing about which individuals cause those deaths it remains at an average level of analysis.
You can keep repeating it: "But the more Protestants you have the more suicides you have!" and your still not going to convince anybody because it is vapid and/or vacuous.
Nope. We know that it is the gun that is causal simply because we are measuring deaths by firearm. We are making no assumptions about the individuals that use those guns.
Your question about whether Percy would avoid black people because they have a higher propensity to cause gun deaths is also spurious. In the total absense of guns, black people could be no more likely than anyone else to cause gun deaths. Equally, if black people had fewer guns, we claim that they would commit fewer gun deaths. We claim a relationship only to the volume of guns in society. After that, there are other variables to consider.
Obviously, Percy would not avoid all black people because it is not being black that is causal, but equally obviously he would be quite likely to avoid locations where the risk of being shot are high. Those areas can be poor black neighbourhoods but they could also be hispanic or white - to greater or lessor degrees.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3124 by New Cat's Eye, posted 12-23-2014 9:56 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 3129 of 5179 (745495)
12-23-2014 12:12 PM
Reply to: Message 3128 by herebedragons
12-23-2014 11:57 AM


Re: guns / crime
herebedragons writes:
Percy, and no one else as far as I can tell, is not arguing that the answer is to reduce the number of legal gun owners
I am - or I would be if we ever get beyond this simple denial of straight forward evidence stage. Those of us that live in societies with extremely low gun ownership because of strong gun laws know the value of living (almost) free of gun violence.
Edited by Tangle, : No reason given.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3128 by herebedragons, posted 12-23-2014 11:57 AM herebedragons has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 3147 of 5179 (745542)
12-24-2014 3:29 AM
Reply to: Message 3143 by Faith
12-23-2014 9:54 PM


Re: guns / crime
Faith writes:
Oh NONSENSE! How hard can it be to get this simple point
Well exactly. The first simple point you need to get is the only one we're making which is that the number of guns in a society predict the numbers of deaths by guns in a society. We say that the more guns there are, the more deaths by guns there will be. THAT is a simple point which is supported by both empirical and theoretical evidence - and is also simple common sense.
After that, no-one is doubting that there are multiple other variables at work making some areas in those societies more dangerous than others and some types of gun owners more dangerous by others.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3143 by Faith, posted 12-23-2014 9:54 PM Faith has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9515
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 3152 of 5179 (745577)
12-24-2014 12:39 PM


I was just looking back through this thread because all of this last weeks' or so postings are deja vu. Here's my post #44 - almost exactly 2 year's ago.
Tangle writes:
The rest of the world looks at you and can't understand your lack of obvious action - I could see it in Obama's eyes - he knows that he can't and won't do anything and that he's got another 4 years where there will be another two, 3 or 4 of these and he won't do anything because he can't.
And the gun lobby maniacs will carry on their fantasy arguments.
People's beliefs are truly weird.
And so it goes.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

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